{"id":34094,"date":"2014-06-10T18:42:36","date_gmt":"2014-06-10T15:42:36","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/?p=34094"},"modified":"2014-06-10T18:42:36","modified_gmt":"2014-06-10T15:42:36","slug":"mahfi-egilmez-buyume-ve-tahmin-revizyonu","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/i\/mahfi-egilmez-buyume-ve-tahmin-revizyonu\/","title":{"rendered":"Mahfi E\u011filmez &#8211; B\u00fcy\u00fcme ve Tahmin Revizyonu"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><strong><em>\u0130lk \u00e7eyrek b\u00fcy\u00fcmesi y\u00fczde 4,3 olarak a\u00e7\u0131kland\u0131. <\/em><\/strong><\/p><div class=\"bilge-yaziust\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-3365673583\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"9580705384\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p>Piyasa tahmin ortalamas\u0131 y\u00fczde 4 idi. Benim cnbce de Son Bask\u0131 program\u0131nda ge\u00e7en hafta a\u00e7\u0131klad\u0131\u011f\u0131m tahminim y\u00fczde 4,3 idi. Bu tahmini yaparken y\u00fczde 5,3\u2019l\u00fck ilk \u00e7eyrek sanayi b\u00fcy\u00fcmesini, tar\u0131msal \u00fcretimle, hayvansal \u00fcretimle yine in\u015faat ve ticaret kesimiyle ilgili T\u00dc\u0130K\u2019in yay\u0131nlad\u0131\u011f\u0131 \u00e7e\u015fitli verileri ele alarak hesaplama yapm\u0131\u015ft\u0131m.<\/p>\n<p>Nominal GSYH b\u00fcy\u00fcmesi y\u00fczde 14,8, reel b\u00fcy\u00fcme y\u00fczde 4,3 oldu\u011funa g\u00f6re enflasyon etkisi ilk \u00e7eyrekte olduk\u00e7a y\u00fcksek boyutta ger\u00e7ekle\u015fmi\u015f. Enflasyon bu kadar y\u00fcksek ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti\u011fine g\u00f6re talep hi\u00e7 de san\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131 kadar d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck de\u011fil demektir. Hanehalklar\u0131n\u0131n t\u00fcketim harcamalar\u0131na bakt\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131zda y\u00fczde 2,9 oran\u0131nda reel art\u0131\u015f g\u00f6r\u00fcyoruz. Devletin nihai t\u00fcketim harcamalar\u0131ndaki reel art\u0131\u015f da y\u00fczde 8,6 gibi y\u00fcksek bir oranda ger\u00e7ekle\u015fmi\u015f. Demek ki i\u00e7 talep bu t\u00fcketim art\u0131\u015flar\u0131ndan yans\u0131d\u0131\u011f\u0131 kadar\u0131yla \u00e7ok da d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck kalmam\u0131\u015f. B\u00fcy\u00fcmeyi etkileyen \u00f6nemli bir kalem de ihracat. Mal ve hizmet ihracat\u0131m\u0131z ilk \u00e7eyrekte reel olarak y\u00fczde 11,4 oran\u0131nda art\u0131\u015f g\u00f6stermi\u015f. Demek ki d\u0131\u015f talepte de ciddi bir art\u0131\u015f var. \u0130hracat\u0131m\u0131z\u0131n yar\u0131s\u0131na yak\u0131n k\u0131sm\u0131n\u0131n y\u00f6neldi\u011fi Euro b\u00f6lgesinin toparlanmaya ba\u015flamas\u0131n\u0131n etkisini burada g\u00f6rebiliyoruz.<\/p>\n<p>Yaz\u0131n\u0131n devam\u0131 i\u00e7in <a href=\"http:\/\/www.mahfiegilmez.com\/2014\/06\/buyume-ve-tahmin-revizyonu.html\" target=\"_blank\" data-wpel-link=\"external\" rel=\"nofollow external noopener\">TIKLAYINIZ<\/a>. (Mahfiegilmez.Com)<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u0130lk \u00e7eyrek b\u00fcy\u00fcmesi y\u00fczde 4,3 olarak a\u00e7\u0131kland\u0131. Piyasa tahmin ortalamas\u0131 y\u00fczde 4 idi. Benim cnbce de Son Bask\u0131 program\u0131nda ge\u00e7en hafta a\u00e7\u0131klad\u0131\u011f\u0131m tahminim y\u00fczde 4,3&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":12,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[808,801,847],"class_list":["post-34094","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-tumyazilar","tag-ekonomi-makaleleri","tag-ekonomi-yazarlari-listesi","tag-mahfi-egilmez-yazilari"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/34094","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/12"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=34094"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/34094\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=34094"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=34094"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=34094"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}