{"id":33928,"date":"2014-06-03T20:41:35","date_gmt":"2014-06-03T17:41:35","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/?p=33928"},"modified":"2014-06-04T08:45:12","modified_gmt":"2014-06-04T05:45:12","slug":"emriniz-olur","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/i\/emriniz-olur\/","title":{"rendered":"\u00c7etin \u00dcnsalan &#8211; Emriniz olur"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><em><strong>Ba\u015fbakan\u2019\u0131n Merkez Bankas\u0131 ile faiz \u00e7eki\u015fmesi s\u00fcr\u00fcyor. Son olarak Merkez Bankas\u0131 Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Erdem Ba\u015f\u00e7\u0131\u2019n\u0131n Bakanlar Kurulu\u2019ndaki sunumunda bir araya geldiler. Her ne kadar yanda\u015f bas\u0131n bunu \u2018Ba\u015f\u00e7\u0131 hesap veriyor ya da verdi\u2019 diye kamuoyuna sunduysa da, bu asl\u0131nda sadece bir bilgilendirmeydi.<\/strong><\/em><\/p><div class=\"bilge-yaziust\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-1477781475\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"9580705384\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p>Nitekim Ba\u015f\u00e7\u0131, Bakanlar Kurulu\u2019nda da ekonomik gerek\u00e7eleri ortaya koydu. Fakat a\u00e7\u0131klamalardan anl\u0131yoruz ki Ba\u015fbakan \u0131srarl\u0131\u2026 Hatta bug\u00fcn \u2018faiz d\u00fc\u015ferse enflasyon da d\u00fc\u015fer\u2019 tan\u0131mlamas\u0131yla yeni bir a\u00e7\u0131l\u0131ma (!) imza att\u0131.<\/p>\n<p>Oysa faiz dedi\u011finiz \u015fey, e\u011fer tefecilik yapm\u0131yorsan\u0131z ya da tefeci olarak nitelendirilenlerin iki kat\u0131 faiz alarak bankac\u0131l\u0131k faaliyeti g\u00f6stermiyorsan\u0131z, enflasyondan kaynaklanan para \u00fczerindeki y\u0131pranman\u0131n kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131d\u0131r. Yani tefeci de\u011filseniz, ekstra bir kazan\u00e7 s\u00f6z konusu de\u011fil.<\/p>\n<p>Bu nedenle enflasyonun d\u00fc\u015fmesi faizi etkiler. Faizin d\u00fc\u015fmesi enflasyonu de\u011fil\u2026 Yani siz faizleri y\u00fczde 1\u2019e \u00e7ekin, ama maliyetin i\u00e7indeki\u00a0 kredi ba\u015fl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 bir kenara koyarsan\u0131z, girdi maliyetleri i\u00e7inde \u00e7ok b\u00fcy\u00fck bir fark olmayaca\u011f\u0131ndan bu\u011fday\u0131n fiyat\u0131 yine artar. \u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc faiz, fiyat\u0131 tek etkileyen unsur de\u011fildir.<\/p>\n<p>T\u00fcm bunlarla birlikte Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n, ekonomi kurmaylar\u0131n\u0131n, Ba\u015fbakan\u2019\u0131n ve ilgili bakanlar\u0131n nezdinde bu iktidar\u0131n, ortaya \u00e7\u0131kan vahim tablonun sorumlu ortaklar\u0131 oldu\u011funu, \u00fclkeyi kumarhaneye \u00e7evirdiklerini\u00a0 belirtmekte yarar var.<\/p>\n<p>Faizleri d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcr\u00fcp, d\u00f6vizi azd\u0131rd\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131zda da, faizleri y\u00fcksek tutup reel sekt\u00f6r\u00fcn kemiklerini k\u0131rd\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131zda da sonu\u00e7 de\u011fi\u015fmiyor. Bu fiyasko, 11 y\u0131ll\u0131k ba\u015far\u0131l\u0131 ekonomi palavras\u0131n\u0131n \u00fcr\u00fcn\u00fcd\u00fcr ve gelinen nokta iki u\u00e7lu de\u011fnek misalidir.<\/p>\n<p>Kriz ka\u00e7\u0131n\u0131lmazd\u0131r; yap\u0131lacak hareket sadece \u015fiddetini belirleyecektir. Merkez\u2019in politikas\u0131 ise nispeten \u015fiddeti azaltt\u0131\u011f\u0131 i\u00e7in sadece k\u00f6t\u00fcn\u00fcn iyisidir. Yani bu tart\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131n ortas\u0131nda Babacan\u2019\u0131n s\u00f6yledi\u011fi gibi \u00fclkeye yeni para akmayacak. Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n \u00fczerinde durdu\u011fu gibi Haziran ay\u0131ndan sonra enflasyon d\u00fc\u015fmeyecek.<\/p>\n<p>E\u011fer yine verilerle oynay\u0131p, ger\u00e7e\u011fi saklama niyeti yoksa, safiyane bir bi\u00e7imde mevsimsellik etkisine dayanarak enflasyon \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcs\u00fcnde bulunuyorlarsa, don, kurakl\u0131k ve rekolte gibi fakt\u00f6rler, d\u00f6viz kurundan kaynaklanan ekstra maliyetler, enerji giderlerinin artmas\u0131 gibi ba\u015fl\u0131klar\u0131 biraraya getirdi\u011fimizde enflasyonun d\u00fc\u015fme ihtimali yok.<\/p><div class=\"bilge-content-1\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-1559006265\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"3167340272\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p>Ama belli mi olur? Ba\u015fbakan emirle ekonomi y\u00f6netmeye \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131yor. Yak\u0131nda Merkez Bankas\u0131 binas\u0131na 25 bin polis, 50 Toma y\u0131\u011farsa \u015fa\u015f\u0131rmay\u0131n. \u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc ne yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 bilmiyor.<\/p>\n<p>Her zaman s\u00f6yl\u00fcyorum ekonominin siyaseti olmaz, politikas\u0131 olur. Emirle de\u011fil, ak\u0131lla y\u00f6netilir. Akl\u0131n\u0131 de\u011fil, emrini \u00f6ne alan\u0131n ve b\u00f6yle y\u00f6netece\u011fini zannedenin de emrini de\u011fil ama, sokak tabiriyle akl\u0131n\u0131 al\u0131r.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"mailto:cetinunsalan@yahoo.com\">cetinunsalan@yahoo.com<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Ba\u015fbakan\u2019\u0131n Merkez Bankas\u0131 ile faiz \u00e7eki\u015fmesi s\u00fcr\u00fcyor. Son olarak Merkez Bankas\u0131 Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Erdem Ba\u015f\u00e7\u0131\u2019n\u0131n Bakanlar Kurulu\u2019ndaki sunumunda bir araya geldiler. Her ne kadar yanda\u015f bas\u0131n&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":5,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[904,808,801],"class_list":["post-33928","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-tumyazilar","tag-cetin-unsalan-yazilari","tag-ekonomi-makaleleri","tag-ekonomi-yazarlari-listesi"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/33928","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/5"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=33928"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/33928\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=33928"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=33928"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=33928"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}