{"id":325,"date":"2011-05-10T23:41:20","date_gmt":"2011-05-10T20:41:20","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/bilgeyatirimci.net\/?p=325"},"modified":"2011-06-13T02:45:40","modified_gmt":"2011-06-12T23:45:40","slug":"seans-icinden-10-mayis-2011","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/i\/seans-icinden-10-mayis-2011\/","title":{"rendered":"Seans \u0130\u00e7inden 10 May\u0131s 2011"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><strong>11:30<\/strong><\/p><div class=\"bilge-yaziust\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-2922297534\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"9580705384\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p>Endeks d\u00fcn 68 binin alt\u0131nda bir kapan\u0131\u015f yapm\u0131\u015ft\u0131. Bug\u00fcn a\u00e7\u0131l\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131 yakla\u015f\u0131k 300 puan yukar\u0131dan yapt\u0131. \u00c7ok hacimsiz ve g\u00f6n\u00fcls\u00fcz bir yukar\u0131 hareket izledik. Bug\u00fcn i\u00e7in, endeks \u00e7ok fazla y\u00f6n belirtmiyor. Saat 11:00 s\u0131ralar\u0131nda bir miktar sat\u0131\u015f bask\u0131s\u0131 vard\u0131 ve endeks 68.100 seviyesine kadar geriledi. Fakat \u015fu an 68.200 civar\u0131nda yatay hareket ediyor. Endeks i\u00e7in \u015fu an y\u00f6n tayini yapmak zor oldu\u011fundan bu t\u00fcr durumlarda A ve B plan\u0131n\u0131z haz\u0131r olmal\u0131d\u0131r. daha \u00f6nce gece yar\u0131s\u0131 verdi\u011fim yorumda belirtti\u011fim \u00fczere kritik seviye 67.300&#8217;\u00fcn alt\u0131nda kapan\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. Bu olursa, \u00f6zellikle endekse yak\u0131n hareket eden ka\u011f\u0131tlarda nakde ge\u00e7mek gerekir. Ama \u015fu an i\u00e7in bu olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 zay\u0131f g\u00f6rd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcm\u00fc de belirtmeliyim.<\/p>\n<p>Dolarda 1.5560 seviyesini\u015f g\u00f6r\u00fcyoruz. Tahminen 1.55 -1.57 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda k\u0131sa s\u00fcreli bir hareket yapacakt\u0131r. Fakat hen\u00fcz g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir yukar\u0131 hareket sinyali vermiyor. Bu a\u015famada k\u0131saca g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm b\u00f6yle&#8230; Bug\u00fcn biraz site ile u\u011fra\u015faca\u011f\u0131z. Bir sonraki yorumu saat 17:00 civar\u0131nda seans kapanmadan \u00f6nce verece\u011fim.<\/p>\n<div><strong>02:42<\/strong><\/div>\n<div><strong>Borsan\u0131n Y\u00f6n\u00fc ve Dinamikleri Ne S\u00f6yl\u00fcyor?<\/strong><\/div>\n<div>Ge\u00e7en haftaya \u00e7ok olumlu ba\u015flayan endeks, 70 bin seviyesini g\u00f6rd\u00fckten sonra gerilemeye ba\u015flad\u0131. \u00d6zellikle \u00e7ar\u015famba g\u00fcn\u00fcnden itibaren, d\u0131\u015f piyasalardaki olumsuz hava ile birlikte d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f yapan \u0130MKB100 endeksi, Per\u015fembe g\u00fcn\u00fc b\u00fct\u00fcn borsalar d\u00fc\u015ferken yerinde sayd\u0131 ama Cuma g\u00fcn\u00fc, d\u0131\u015f piyasalarda olu\u015fan olumlu havaya ra\u011fmen, h\u0131zl\u0131 bir gerileme yapt\u0131 ve haftay\u0131 y\u00fczde 1.5\u2019a yak\u0131n gerileme ile kapatt\u0131.<\/div>\n<div>D\u00fcnya borsalar\u0131 aras\u0131ndaki yerine bakt\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131zda ise, endeksin d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcn di\u011fer borsalara ve \u00f6zellikle de geli\u015fmekte olan \u00fclke borsalar\u0131 endeksine g\u00f6re s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 oldu\u011funu g\u00f6rd\u00fck.<\/div>\n<div><strong>Cuma g\u00fcn\u00fc ne oldu?<\/strong><\/div>\n<div>Yurtd\u0131\u015f\u0131ndaki olumlu havaya kar\u015f\u0131n, g\u00fcn i\u00e7inde hisse bazl\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fler nedeniyle sat\u0131c\u0131l\u0131 bir seyir \u00a0izleyen \u0130MKB, kapan\u0131\u015fa yak\u0131n bilan\u00e7osunu a\u00e7\u0131klayan Akbank&#8217;\u0131n \u00a0k\u00e2r\u0131ndaki gerileme ile, GE Capital&#8217;in Garanti \u00a0Bankas\u0131&#8217;nda \u00a0sahip oldu\u011fu y\u00fczde 1.25 hisseyi satmak \u00fczere MKK&#8217;ya kaydettirdi\u011fi a\u00e7\u0131klamas\u0131n\u0131n bu iki hisseye getirdi\u011fi \u00a0sat\u0131\u015flarla kay\u0131plar\u0131n\u0131 daha da art\u0131rarak y\u00fczde 1.63 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fle kapand\u0131. Akbank&#8217;\u0131n ilk \u00e7eyrek net k\u00e2r\u0131, net faiz gelirleri ve marjlardaki d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn etkisiyle y\u00fczde 23 gerileyerek 744.06 milyon lira \u00a0ile beklentilerin hafif alt\u0131nda ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti. \u00a0Akbank hisseleri y\u00fczde 2.48 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fle 7.86 liradan kapand\u0131. Bankac\u0131l\u0131k endeksi ise g\u00fcn\u00fc y\u00fczde 1.91 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fle tamamlad\u0131.<\/div>\n<div><strong>Teknik Analiz<\/strong><\/div>\n<div>Teknik dinamikler, endeksin 67.500 seviyesinde Fibonacci geri d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f \u00e7izgilerinin y\u00fczde 23.6 deste\u011fi oldu\u011funu g\u00f6steriyor. Bu seviyenin alt\u0131na sarkma olabilir ve 67.300 seviyeleri g\u00f6r\u00fclebilir. Bu durum hisse pozisyonunu azaltmay\u0131 gerektirecek bir geli\u015fme de\u011fildir. \u00a0Fakat, 67.300 seviyesinin alt\u0131nda bir kapan\u0131\u015f, endeksi 65 bin seviyesine kadar \u00e7ekebilecektir. Bu y\u00fczden 67.300 seviyesi takip edilmelidir. Bu seviyenin alt\u0131nda kapan\u0131\u015f olabilir mi?<\/div>\n<div>Kan\u0131mca olmaycakt\u0131r. Ge\u00e7en hafta 68.200 seviyelerinden kapanan endekste 67.500-68.000 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda bir destek \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmas\u0131 sonras\u0131nda yeniden yukar\u0131 hareket g\u00f6rebiliriz. Endeksin 67.550-69.000 aras\u0131nda kanal olu\u015fturmas\u0131 olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 daha y\u00fcksektir. Fakat, 67.300\u2019\u00fcn algt\u0131nda bir kapan\u0131\u015f olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n \u00e7ok y\u00fckselmesi durumunda stop-loss yap\u0131lmal\u0131d\u0131r. \u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc bu durumda 64.500&#8217;e kadar d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 artar.<\/div>\n<div>D\u00fcn endeks 68 bini destek yaparak hareket etti ve 67.500 seviyelerine gerilemedi. Bu a\u015famada \u00e7ok ani ve h\u0131zl\u0131 hareket beklemeyin. Her an bir\u015fey olacakm\u0131\u015f gibi yakla\u015f\u0131rsan\u0131z, gereksiz yerlerde al\u0131m sat\u0131mlar yapars\u0131n\u0131z. Dolay\u0131s\u0131yla zarar edersiniz.<\/div>\n<div><strong>Dolar\/TL Kurunda Son Geli\u015fmeler ve Y\u00f6n<\/strong><br \/>\nDolar ge\u00e7en haftaya 1.5185 seviyelerinden ba\u015flad\u0131ktan sonra Per\u015fembe g\u00fcn\u00fcne kadar y\u00fckseli\u015fini s\u00fcrd\u00fcrd\u00fc. \u00d6zellikle AB Merkez Bankas\u0131 ba\u015fkan\u0131 Trichet\u2019in faizleri 1.25 seviyesinde b\u0131rakmas\u0131 ve gelecekteki faiz art\u0131rma olas\u0131l\u0131klar\u0131na ili\u015fkin net bir sinyal vermemesi, dolar\u0131n d\u00fcnya piyasalar\u0131nda hem Euro\u2019ya hem de di\u011fer paralara kar\u015f\u0131 de\u011fer kazanmas\u0131n\u0131 sa\u011flad\u0131. Bu nedenle TL kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda da y\u00fckseldi ve ge\u00e7en Per\u015fembe itibariyle 1.5492 seviyesine kadar \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131. Cuma g\u00fcn\u00fc ise, ABD\u2019deki istihdam verilerinin a\u00e7\u0131klanmas\u0131yla birlikte, dolarda d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f vard\u0131. Bu durum Dolar\/TL kuruna da yans\u0131d\u0131 ve Cuma g\u00fcn\u00fc dolar\u0131n kapan\u0131\u015f de\u011feri 1.5360 seviyesinden oldu.<br \/>\nG\u00f6r\u00fcnen o ki 1.55 seviyesinde \u00f6nemli bir diren\u00e7 var. E\u011fer dolar, uluslararas\u0131 piyasalarda di\u011fer paralara kar\u015f\u0131 \u00e7ok g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc olmazsa, TL\u2019ye kar\u015f\u0131 da 1.58 seviyesini yukar\u0131 a\u015fmas\u0131 zor g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyor.<br \/>\nTeknik olarak, k\u0131sa vade i\u00e7in, 1.5150 ile 1.55 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131ndaki bantta dalgalanma bekleyebiliriz.<br \/>\nOrta ve uzun vade i\u00e7in bakt\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131zda ise, dolar\u0131n seviyesini, dolara olan arz ve talep belirleyecektir. Son zamanlarda d\u0131\u015f ticaret a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n h\u0131zla art\u0131yor olmas\u0131, dolar talebini art\u0131rmaktad\u0131r. Fakat y\u0131l\u0131n ikinci yar\u0131s\u0131nda ve \u00f6zellikle de se\u00e7imden sonra, ekonomiyi so\u011futma \u00e7abalar\u0131 ba\u015far\u0131l\u0131 olur da, ithalat talebi d\u00fc\u015ferse, dolar\u0131n 1.50 seviyesinin de alt\u0131na indi\u011fini g\u00f6rebiliriz.<br \/>\nTersi olur da ekonomideki b\u00fcy\u00fcme h\u0131z\u0131 devam eder ve cari a\u00e7\u0131k artmay\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fcrse, dolarda yukar\u0131 bir hareket g\u00f6rmek m\u00fcmk\u00fcn olacakt\u0131r.<br \/>\n\u015eu anki ortamda, gelece\u011fe ili\u015fkin olarak ekonominin y\u0131l\u0131n ikinci yar\u0131s\u0131nda so\u011fuyaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcmden, dolar\u0131n y\u00f6n\u00fcn\u00fcn a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 olmas\u0131n\u0131 bekliyorum. Fakat, AB\u2019deki bor\u00e7 krizi derinle\u015fir, Yunanistan\u2019\u0131n Euro\u2019dan \u00e7\u0131kmas\u0131 gibi olaylar olursa ve dolar uluslararas\u0131 piyasalarda de\u011fer kazanmaya ba\u015flarsa, T\u00fcrk liras\u0131na kar\u015f\u0131 da de\u011fer kazanmas\u0131 s\u00f6z konusu olacakt\u0131r. Bu t\u00fcr durumlar olursa yeniden de\u011ferlendirme yapmam\u0131z gerekecektir.<\/div>\n<div>Bug\u00fcn bir sonraki yorum saat 11:30&#8217;da verilecektir.<\/div>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>11:30 Endeks d\u00fcn 68 binin alt\u0131nda bir kapan\u0131\u015f yapm\u0131\u015ft\u0131. Bug\u00fcn a\u00e7\u0131l\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131 yakla\u015f\u0131k 300 puan yukar\u0131dan yapt\u0131. \u00c7ok hacimsiz ve g\u00f6n\u00fcls\u00fcz bir yukar\u0131 hareket izledik. Bug\u00fcn&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":102,"featured_media":1051,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-325","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-tumyazilar"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/325","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/102"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=325"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/325\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/1051"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=325"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=325"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=325"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}