{"id":32480,"date":"2014-04-03T12:22:21","date_gmt":"2014-04-03T09:22:21","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/?p=32480"},"modified":"2014-04-03T15:33:50","modified_gmt":"2014-04-03T12:33:50","slug":"on-balance-volume-obv-ve-yorumlanisi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/i\/on-balance-volume-obv-ve-yorumlanisi\/","title":{"rendered":"OBV (On Balance Volume) \u0130ndikat\u00f6r\u00fc ve Yorumlan\u0131\u015f\u0131"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><em><strong>Obv-denge i\u015flem miktar\u0131, hacim tabanl\u0131 bir indikat\u00f6rd\u00fcr. Fiyatlardaki de\u011fi\u015fim ve hacim beraber de\u011ferlendirilerek \u00e7izilmektedir. Tarihi 1960\u2019lara \u00a0kadar dayanan OBV \u00a0Joseph Granville taraf\u0131ndan icat edilmi\u015ftir.<\/strong><\/em><\/p><div class=\"bilge-yaziust\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-2209811381\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"9580705384\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p><strong>Hesaplan\u0131\u015f\u0131;<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>E\u011fer fiyat\u0131n son kapan\u0131\u015f\u0131 bir \u00f6nceki kapan\u0131\u015ftan b\u00fcy\u00fckse o g\u00fcn olu\u015fan i\u015flem hacminin tamam\u0131 s\u00f6zkonusu enstr\u00fcman\u0131 alanlara ait oldu\u011fu kabul edilir. Son kapan\u0131\u015f bir \u00f6nceki kapan\u0131\u015ftan k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fckse o g\u00fcn olu\u015fan t\u00fcm i\u015flem hacmi sat\u0131c\u0131lara ait kabul edilir. Bu varsay\u0131mdan hareket eden obv ilk ba\u015flarda d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcnce pekte mant\u0131kl\u0131 gelmiyor. \u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc sadece kapan\u0131\u015fa g\u00f6re i\u015flem hacminin tamam\u0131n\u0131 al\u0131c\u0131ya veya sat\u0131c\u0131ya ait oldu\u011funu kabul etmek pekte do\u011fru g\u00f6r\u00fcnm\u00fcyor. Fakat dikkatli incelendi\u011finde \u015fa\u015f\u0131rt\u0131c\u0131 sonu\u00e7lar ortaya \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor.<\/p>\n<p>Bug\u00fcn\u00fcn kapan\u0131\u015f fiyat\u0131 d\u00fcnk\u00fc kapan\u0131\u015f fiyat\u0131ndan y\u00fcksek ise<\/p>\n<p>OBV= D\u00fcnk\u00fc obv + bug\u00fcn olu\u015fan t\u00fcm i\u015flem hacmi.<\/p>\n<p>Bug\u00fcn\u00fcn kapan\u0131\u015f fiyat\u0131 d\u00fcnk\u00fc kapan\u0131\u015f fiyat\u0131ndan d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck ise<\/p>\n<p>OBV= D\u00fcnk\u00fc obv \u2013 bug\u00fcn olu\u015fan t\u00fcm i\u015flem hacmi.<\/p>\n<p>E\u011fer bug\u00fcnk\u00fc kapan\u0131\u015f fiyat\u0131 d\u00fcnk\u00fc kapan\u0131\u015f fiyat\u0131na e\u015fitse<\/p><div class=\"bilge-content-1\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-3554909386\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"3167340272\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p>OBV= D\u00fcnk\u00fc obv. \u015eeklinde hesaplanmaktad\u0131r.<\/p>\n<p>OBV\u2019de g\u00f6r\u00fclen de\u011fi\u015fimler fiyat de\u011fi\u015fimlerinden \u00f6nce hareket ederek, \u00f6nc\u00fc bir g\u00f6sterge oldu\u011fu varsay\u0131l\u0131r. \u00a0Dow\u2019a g\u00f6re hacim piyasaya yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n ne \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde kat\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6steriyordu. Olu\u015fan bir fiyat hareketi hacimle desteklendi\u011fi \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde anlam kazan\u0131p, teknik analizde al\u0131m-sat\u0131m stratejisi i\u00e7in temel bir unsur oluyordu. Bu noktadan hareketle, fiyat\u0131n yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc hareket edece\u011fi kanaatine varan b\u00fcy\u00fck yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar al\u0131m yapmaya ba\u015flad\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, OBV de\u011ferinin y\u00fckseldi\u011fi g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcr. Bunu g\u00f6ren di\u011fer piyasa kat\u0131l\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131 da yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc pozisyon alarak, fiyat\u0131n yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc hareketini destekler. OBV\u2019nin \u00f6nc\u00fc g\u00f6sterge oldu\u011fu varsay\u0131m\u0131 alt\u0131nda bu mant\u0131k yatmaktad\u0131r. Fakat teknik indikat\u00f6rler, teknik analiz bir analist i\u00e7in tahmin y\u00f6ntemi olmaktan ziyade sadece bir strateji \u00e7izme i\u00e7in kullan\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131nda daha objektif bir analiz ortaya \u00e7\u0131kmaktad\u0131r.<\/p>\n<p>Bir\u00e7ok indikat\u00f6rde belirli referans seviyeleri var, ama obv de kullan\u0131labilecek bir referans yok. Obv de g\u00f6r\u00fclen s\u0131f\u0131r \u00e7izgisi, indikat\u00f6r hesaplan\u0131\u015f\u0131 gere\u011fi s\u00fcrekli y\u00fckselen bir de\u011fer ald\u0131\u011f\u0131ndan bir i\u015fe yaram\u0131yor. \u0130nceledi\u011finizde bir\u00e7ok grafikte zaten s\u0131f\u0131r de\u011feri \u00fczerinde oldu\u011funu g\u00f6r\u00fcrs\u00fcn\u00fcz.<\/p>\n<p><b>Ortalamas\u0131yla kesi\u015fimlerinden al\u0131nan al-sat sinyalleri.<\/b><\/p><div class=\"bilge-content-2\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-92569629\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"1818807385\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p>OBV, \u00fczerine at\u0131lan hareketli ortalamas\u0131n\u0131 yukar\u0131 k\u0131rmas\u0131 al, a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 k\u0131rmas\u0131 sat sinyali olarak yorumlanmaktad\u0131r. A\u015fa\u011f\u0131daki grafikte 10 periyotluk basit hareketli ortalamas\u0131ndan gelen al sat sinyalleri g\u00f6sterilmektedir.<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone  wp-image-32481\" alt=\"ort obv\" src=\"http:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/04\/ort-obv.png\" width=\"550\" height=\"450\" \/><\/p>\n<p><b>Uyu\u015fmazl\u0131klardan gelen al-sat sinyalleri.<br \/>\n<\/b><\/p>\n<p>Fiyat, \u00f6nceki dibe g\u00f6re yeni bir dip yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131nda yada \u00f6nceki dibe e\u015fit bir dip olu\u015fturdu\u011funda, fiyat dipleri ile OBV dipleri kar\u015f\u0131la\u015ft\u0131r\u0131larak OBV\u2019de g\u00f6r\u00fclen ikinci dibin birinci dip \u00fczerinde ger\u00e7ekle\u015fmesi pozitif uyu\u015fmazl\u0131k olarak tan\u0131mlanmaktad\u0131r. Uyu\u015fmazl\u0131klar teknik analizde trend d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015flerini g\u00f6steren g\u00fcvenilir sinyaller oldu\u011fundan indikat\u00f6rler yorumlan\u0131rken uyu\u015fmazl\u0131klara bakmakta fayda var.<\/p>\n<p>A\u015fa\u011f\u0131daki grafikte OBV ve fiyat aras\u0131nda \u00a0g\u00f6r\u00fclen pozitif uyu\u015fmazl\u0131k g\u00f6sterilmektedir.<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone  wp-image-32483\" alt=\"obv poz uyu\" src=\"http:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/04\/obv-poz-uyu.png\" width=\"550\" height=\"450\" \/><\/p>\n<p>Fiyat \u00f6nceki tepeye g\u00f6re yeni bir tepe yaparken yani fiyat tepeleri yukar\u0131 giderken OBV\u2019de g\u00f6r\u00fclen \u00a0yeni tepe, bir \u00f6nceki tepeden a\u015fa\u011f\u0131da kal\u0131yorsa bu negatif uyu\u015fmazl\u0131k olarak adland\u0131r\u0131lmaktad\u0131r. A\u015fa\u011f\u0131daki grafikte negatif uyu\u015fmazl\u0131k \u00f6rne\u011fi g\u00f6sterilmektedir.<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone  wp-image-32484\" alt=\"obv negatif\" src=\"http:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/04\/obv-negatif.png\" width=\"550\" height=\"450\" \/><\/p>\n<p><b>OBV \u00fczerinde trend \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmas\u0131 yaparak al-sat sinyalleri al\u0131nmas\u0131.<\/b><\/p>\n<p>Fiyat \u00a0grafi\u011finde yap\u0131lan trend \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131 gibi, OBV \u00fczerinde trend \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131 yaparak al-sat sinyalleri al\u0131nabiliyor. Trend \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131nda, OBV \u00fczerine \u00e7izilen trendin, fiyat \u00fczerine \u00e7izilen trendden daha \u00f6nce k\u0131r\u0131lmaktad\u0131r.<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone  wp-image-32486\" alt=\"asels y\u00fckselen trend\" src=\"http:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/04\/asels-y\u00fckselen-trend.png\" width=\"550\" height=\"450\" \/><\/p>\n<p>Yukar\u0131daki grafikte fiyat grafi\u011fine \u00e7izilen y\u00fckselen trend k\u0131r\u0131lmadan, OBV \u00fczerine \u00e7izilen trend k\u0131r\u0131larak daha erken sat sinyali \u00fcretmi\u015ftir.<\/p>\n<p>A\u015fa\u011f\u0131daki grafikte fiyat grafi\u011fi \u00fczerine \u00e7izilen al\u00e7alan trend k\u0131r\u0131lmadan, OBV \u00fczerine \u00e7izmi\u015f oldu\u011fumuz al\u00e7alan trend k\u0131r\u0131larak daha erken al sinyali \u00fcretmi\u015ftir.<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone  wp-image-32487\" alt=\"obv trend\" src=\"http:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/04\/obv-trend.png\" width=\"550\" height=\"450\" \/><\/p>\n<p><strong>\u00a0\u00d6nc\u00fc bir g\u00f6sterge olarak OBV<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Literat\u00fcrde \u00f6nc\u00fc g\u00f6sterge olarak tan\u0131mlanan g\u00f6stergelerin i\u00e7eri\u011fi incelendi\u011finde hacim ve momentum tabanl\u0131 g\u00f6stergeler oldu\u011funu g\u00f6r\u00fcyoruz. \u015eahsi fikrim hi\u00e7 bir g\u00f6stergenin \u00f6nc\u00fc bir nitelik ta\u015f\u0131mad\u0131\u011f\u0131d\u0131r. Fakat g\u00f6stergelerin kendine has \u00f6zellikleri ve belirli bir zaman s\u00fcreci i\u00e7erisinde yatay yada trend yapan piyasada hareket tarz\u0131 incelenerek, strateji \u00e7izmede kulland\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131z teknik analizi daha etkili hale getirebilirsiniz. yukar\u0131da OBV&#8217;yi tan\u0131mlarken kapan\u0131\u015f ve hacim ili\u015fkisi kullan\u0131larak nas\u0131l \u00e7izildi\u011fini \u00f6zetle anlatm\u0131\u015ft\u0131m. bu mant\u0131ktan hareketle, a\u015fa\u011f\u0131daki grafi\u011fi dikkatli bir \u015fekilde incelemenizi tavsiye ediyorum. ayn\u0131 yap\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f yada y\u00fckseli\u015f sinyali i\u00e7in kullan\u0131labilir.<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone  wp-image-32498\" alt=\"ekgyo obv\" src=\"http:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/04\/ekgyo-obv.png\" width=\"550\" height=\"450\" \/><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"line-height: 1.5em\">Fiyat grafi\u011finde mavi okla g\u00f6sterilen en y\u00fcksek fiyat 3.38 olarak ger\u00e7ekle\u015fmi\u015f. 3.38 direncinden ba\u015flayan a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc harekette OBV&#8217;yi incelemeye ba\u015fl\u0131yoruz. Fiyat 3.38 seviyesindeyken OBV&#8217;nin bir zirve yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fcyoruz. Fiyat a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 giderken belirli bir noktada OBV 3.38 fiyat\u0131na tekab\u00fcl eden zirveyi ge\u00e7iyor. Dikkat ederseniz bu zirve ge\u00e7ildi\u011finde fiyat k\u0131rm\u0131z\u0131 yukar\u0131 okla g\u00f6sterilen noktada 2.88 seviyesinde. Fiyat 3.38 seviyesi ile 2.88 seviyesi aras\u0131nda hareket ederken,<\/span><span style=\"line-height: 1.5em\">\u00a0yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc hareketlerin i\u015flem hacmiyle desteklenmesiyle beraber, OBV kendi direncini yukar\u0131 k\u0131r\u0131yor. \u00a0Burada ayr\u0131ca 5 ve 21 g\u00fcnl\u00fck \u00fcssel hareketli ortalamalar\u0131n kesi\u015fiminden ald\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131z al sinyali ile teyit ald\u0131ktan sonra al\u0131m yap\u0131labilir.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"line-height: 1.5em\">Esasen burada yap\u0131lan i\u015flem fiyat hareketinin hacimle yorumlanmas\u0131ndan ba\u015fka bir \u015fey de\u011fildir. Hacim \u00e7ubuklar\u0131 bar \u015feklinde g\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc\u011f\u00fcnden analiz yap\u0131l\u0131rken hacim \u00e7ubuklar\u0131 g\u00fcn olarak de\u011ferlendirildi\u011finde yan\u0131lt\u0131c\u0131 olabiliyor. Fakat OBV&#8217;de y\u00fckselen bir yap\u0131 oldu\u011fundan fiyat hareketinin ne y\u00f6nde ve ne kadar g\u00fc\u00e7le hareket etti\u011fi konusunda bir fikir sahibi olunabiliyor.<br \/>\n<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"line-height: 1.5em\">B<\/span><span style=\"line-height: 1.5em\">urada sistemin nas\u0131l i\u015fledi\u011fini g\u00f6stermek i\u00e7in genelde olumlu bir \u015fekilde sonu\u00e7lanan \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131 aktar\u0131yoruz. Teknik analiz, makro veriler taraf\u0131ndan desteklendi\u011fi \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde etkili olabiliyor. Likiditesi az olan bir tahtada, endeksin g\u00fc\u00e7 kaybetti\u011fi d\u00f6nemlerde bu analizler olumlu ger\u00e7ekle\u015febilece\u011fi gibi, olumsuz bir \u015fekilde de sonu\u00e7lanabilir. \u00a0Bu noktada tek bir g\u00f6stergeye ba\u011fl\u0131 kal\u0131nmamas\u0131, teknik analizin bir b\u00fct\u00fcn olarak kullan\u0131lmas\u0131 \u00f6nem arz etmektedir.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p>Ali Erkan Tanac\u0131o\u011flu<br \/>\nAra\u015ft\u0131rma Uzman Yrd.<br \/>\nGedik Yat\u0131r\u0131m<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Obv-denge i\u015flem miktar\u0131, hacim tabanl\u0131 bir indikat\u00f6rd\u00fcr. Fiyatlardaki de\u011fi\u015fim ve hacim beraber de\u011ferlendirilerek \u00e7izilmektedir. Tarihi 1960\u2019lara \u00a0kadar dayanan OBV \u00a0Joseph Granville taraf\u0131ndan icat edilmi\u015ftir. Hesaplan\u0131\u015f\u0131;&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[1120,1124,1143,1142,1144,1145,1112,1113,1114,1122,1119,1121,1123,1126,1125],"class_list":["post-32480","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-tumyazilar","tag-borsa-teknik-analiz-indikatorleri","tag-borsada-teknik-analiz-nasil-yapilir","tag-obv-indikator-nedir","tag-obv-indikatoru","tag-obv-indikatoru-nasil-yorumlanir","tag-obv-indikatoru-nedir","tag-teknik-analiz-egitim","tag-teknik-analiz-egitimi","tag-teknik-analiz-egitimleri","tag-teknik-analiz-indikator","tag-teknik-analiz-indikatorleri","tag-teknik-analiz-indikatoru","tag-teknik-analiz-nasil-yapilir","tag-teknik-analiz-nasil-yorumlanir","tag-teknik-analiz-nedir-nasil-yapilir"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/32480","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=32480"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/32480\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=32480"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=32480"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=32480"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}