{"id":32442,"date":"2014-04-02T11:17:16","date_gmt":"2014-04-02T08:17:16","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/?p=32442"},"modified":"2014-04-02T20:42:22","modified_gmt":"2014-04-02T17:42:22","slug":"uzeyir-dogan-eurodolardaki-hareketin-arkasindaki-dinamik-ne","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/i\/uzeyir-dogan-eurodolardaki-hareketin-arkasindaki-dinamik-ne\/","title":{"rendered":"\u00dczeyir Do\u011fan &#8211; Euro\/Dolar\u2019daki hareketin arkas\u0131ndaki dinamik ne?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><strong><em>Euro\/Dolar \u00f6nceki hafta 1,3750 deste\u011finin alt\u0131na sarkmas\u0131na kar\u015f\u0131n buradan tepki vermeyi ba\u015fard\u0131 ve yeniden 1,38 civar\u0131na geldi. <\/em><\/strong><\/p><div class=\"bilge-yaziust\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-967659652\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"9580705384\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p>Buna kar\u015f\u0131n hala 1,3750\u2019nin k\u0131r\u0131lma tehlikesi devam ediyor. Paritede her ne kadar \u015fuana kadar desteklerde tutunulmu\u015f olsa da, buralardan verilen tepkilerin zay\u0131f kalmas\u0131 y\u00fckseli\u015flere temkinli yakla\u015fmam\u0131za neden oluyor. Desteklerin k\u0131r\u0131lma s\u00fcresi uzad\u0131k\u00e7a olas\u0131 bir k\u0131r\u0131lman\u0131n da sertle\u015fece\u011fi g\u00f6z \u00f6n\u00fcnde bulundurulmal\u0131. Bu nedenle yap\u0131lan i\u015flemlerde olas\u0131 bir k\u0131r\u0131lmaya kar\u015f\u0131 terste kalan pozisyonlar i\u00e7in mutlaka stop loss bulundurulmal\u0131d\u0131r. Biz mevcut konjonkt\u00fcrde temel verilerin paritedeki y\u00fckseli\u015fi ve \u015fu anki seviyeleri desteklemedi\u011fini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyoruz. Ancak \u015fuan euronun de\u011fer kaybedece\u011fi ve dolar\u0131n de\u011fer kazanaca\u011f\u0131 alg\u0131s\u0131 \u00e7ok g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc oldu\u011fu i\u00e7in euro bor\u00e7lanma iste\u011finin \u00e7oklu\u011fu euroya destek oluyor olabilir. Yani carry trade olarak adland\u0131rd\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131z i\u015flemler i\u00e7in euro talebi y\u00fcksek seyrediyor izlenimi ediniyoruz. E\u011fer paritedeki harekette bu durum etkili ise bunun sonlanaca\u011f\u0131 iki senaryo var. Bunlardan ilki Avrupa Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n euronun de\u011ferlenmesine izin vermesiyle sonlan\u0131r ki, bu durumda euro bor\u00e7lananlar\u0131n bunu kapatmak istemesiyle olu\u015facak yeni durumda parite \u00e7ok kolay bir \u015fekilde 1,40\u2019\u0131 da a\u015farak \u00e7ok daha y\u00fcksek seviyelere gidebilir. ECB\u2019nin b\u00f6yle bir durumdan rahats\u0131z olaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnsek de bu olas\u0131l\u0131k da s\u0131f\u0131r de\u011fil. Di\u011fer se\u00e7enek ise yeterince pozisyon al\u0131nd\u0131ktan sonra hi\u00e7bir \u015fey yap\u0131lmasa bile euroya talebin azalaca\u011f\u0131 i\u00e7in ABD\u2019den gelecek haber ve veriler paritede h\u0131zl\u0131 bir d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f s\u00fcreci ba\u015flatabilir. Biz bu olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 daha y\u00fcksek g\u00f6r\u00fcyoruz. Buna kar\u015f\u0131n her iki senaryoda da sert hareket olabilece\u011fi g\u00f6z \u00f6n\u00fcnde bulundurulmal\u0131.<\/p>\n<p>\u00dczeyir Do\u011fan&#8217;\u0131n t\u00fcm yaz\u0131lar\u0131: <a href=\"http:\/\/www.uzeyirdogan.com\" target=\"_blank\" data-wpel-link=\"external\" rel=\"nofollow external noopener\">www.uzeyirdogan.com<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Euro\/Dolar \u00f6nceki hafta 1,3750 deste\u011finin alt\u0131na sarkmas\u0131na kar\u015f\u0131n buradan tepki vermeyi ba\u015fard\u0131 ve yeniden 1,38 civar\u0131na geldi. Buna kar\u015f\u0131n hala 1,3750\u2019nin k\u0131r\u0131lma tehlikesi devam ediyor.&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[808,801,788,781],"class_list":["post-32442","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-tumyazilar","tag-ekonomi-makaleleri","tag-ekonomi-yazarlari-listesi","tag-eur-usd-paritesi-yorumlari","tag-euro-dolar-paritesi-yorumlari"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/32442","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=32442"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/32442\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=32442"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=32442"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=32442"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}