{"id":32010,"date":"2014-03-20T08:41:16","date_gmt":"2014-03-20T06:41:16","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/?p=32010"},"modified":"2014-03-20T08:53:41","modified_gmt":"2014-03-20T06:53:41","slug":"seans-oncesi-borsa-yorumu-fed-toplantisi-neler-soyledi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/i\/seans-oncesi-borsa-yorumu-fed-toplantisi-neler-soyledi\/","title":{"rendered":"Seans \u00d6ncesi Borsa Yorumu \/ FED Toplant\u0131s\u0131 Neler S\u00f6yledi?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><em><strong>D\u00fcn ak\u015fam FED toplant\u0131s\u0131 sonu\u00e7land\u0131 ve bu toplant\u0131 sonras\u0131nda FED ba\u015fkan\u0131 Janet Yellen bir konu\u015fma yapt\u0131. G\u00f6r\u00fcnen o ki, faiz art\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131 piyasalar\u0131n&#8230;<\/strong><\/em><\/p><div class=\"bilge-yaziust\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-1072152380\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"9580705384\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-32011\" alt=\"endeks-20-mart-2014\" src=\"http:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/03\/endeks-20-mart-2014.png\" width=\"607\" height=\"368\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/03\/endeks-20-mart-2014.png 607w, https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/03\/endeks-20-mart-2014-300x181.png 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 607px) 100vw, 607px\" \/><\/p>\n<p>D\u00fcn ak\u015fam FED toplant\u0131s\u0131 sonu\u00e7land\u0131 ve bu toplant\u0131 sonras\u0131nda FED ba\u015fkan\u0131 Janet Yellen bir konu\u015fma yapt\u0131. G\u00f6r\u00fcnen o ki, faiz art\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131 piyasalar\u0131n tahmin etti\u011finden daha \u00f6nce ba\u015flayacak. Fed sonras\u0131nda piyasalar olumsuza d\u00f6nd\u00fc.<\/p>\n<p>Dnk\u00fc toplant\u0131da varl\u0131k al\u0131m miktar\u0131 10 milyar dolar daha azalt\u0131ld\u0131. Al\u0131m miktar\u0131 bu durumda 55 milyar dolara inmi\u015f oluyor. Bunun 30 milyar dolar\u0131 Hazine ka\u011f\u0131tlar\u0131 ve 25 milyar dolar\u0131 da mortgage\u2019ye dayal\u0131 ka\u011f\u0131tlardan olu\u015facak. Piyasalar zaten 10 milyar dolarl\u0131k azalt\u0131m\u0131 bekliyorlard\u0131. Bundan \u00f6nceki s\u00fcre\u00e7te faiz art\u0131r\u0131m\u0131 karar\u0131 i\u00e7in enflasyon ve i\u015fsizli\u011fe bak\u0131l\u0131yordu, fakat bundan sonra faiz politikas\u0131 sadece sadece i\u015fsizlik oran\u0131na de\u011fil di\u011fer i\u015f g\u00fcc\u00fc g\u00f6stergelerine, finansal piyasalar\u0131n durumuna ve enflasyon bile\u015fenlerine de bak\u0131lacak.<\/p>\n<p>FED\u2019in daha \u00f6nceki ekonomik tahminleriyle, d\u00fcn a\u00e7\u0131klanan tahminleri kar\u015f\u0131la\u015ft\u0131rd\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131zda, \u00e7ok \u00f6nemli bri de\u011fi\u015fiklik yok. Sadece k\u0131sa vadeli b\u00fcy\u00fcme beklentilerinin \u00fcst band\u0131n\u0131 ve i\u015fsizlik oran\u0131 beklentisini hafif\u00e7e a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 \u00e7ekti. Dolay\u0131s\u0131yla \u015fu anki ortamda, gelece\u011fe ili\u015fkin beklentiler daha fazla y\u00fckselmi\u015f oldu.<\/p>\n<p>FED Karar\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131kland\u0131ktan sonra Janet Yellen bir bas\u0131n toplant\u0131s\u0131 yapt\u0131. Bu toplant\u0131da verdi\u011fi ana mesaj, \u201cEkim\u2019e do\u011fru varl\u0131k al\u0131m\u0131 s\u0131f\u0131rlanm\u0131\u015f olacak, bundan sonraki 6 ay i\u00e7inde de ilk faiz art\u0131r\u0131m\u0131 yap\u0131lm\u0131\u015f olacak\u201d \u015feklinde de\u011ferlendirilebilir. Dolay\u0131s\u0131yla daha \u00f6nce 2015\u2019in Haziran-A\u011fustos d\u00f6nemde beklenen faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131 2015\u2019in Nisan-May\u0131s aylar\u0131na kaym\u0131\u015f g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyor. Bu durum piyasalar\u0131n beklemedi\u011fi bir sonu\u00e7 oldu\u011fu i\u00e7in, geli\u015fmekte olan \u00fclke paralar\u0131 bu a\u00e7\u0131klama sonras\u0131nda y\u00fczde 1 ve \u00fczerinde de\u011fer kay\u0131plar\u0131 ya\u015farken, ABD endeksleri Dow ve S&amp;p de y\u00fczde 0.61 ve 0.70 oranlar\u0131nda gerileme yapt\u0131.<\/p>\n<p>Bu sabah dolar\/TL kuru 2.2410 seviyesinde bulunuyor. Asya cephesinde k\u0131rm\u0131z\u0131 bir tablo g\u00f6r\u00fcyoruz ve geli\u015fmekte olan \u00fclkeler endeksi g\u00fcnl\u00fck bazda y\u00fczde 2\u2019ye yak\u0131n gerileme yapt\u0131. Dolay\u0131s\u0131yla Borsa \u0130stanbul\u2019da da a\u00e7\u0131l\u0131\u015fta geri \u00e7ekilme bekleyebiliriz. Fakat bu geri \u00e7ekilmenin b\u00fcy\u00fck boyutlarda olmas\u0131n\u0131 beklemiyorum. Tahminen 64.750 seviyesi bug\u00fcn destek g\u00f6revi g\u00f6recektir. Endeks y\u00fczde 1 civar\u0131nda d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fle a\u00e7\u0131labilir. Bug\u00fcn as\u0131l \u00f6nemli olan nokta 64 bin alt\u0131nda bir kapan\u0131\u015f olmamas\u0131d\u0131r. Genellikle 65 bin etraf\u0131nda bir dalgalanma g\u00f6rece\u011fimizi ve se\u00e7im \u00f6ncesinde borsan\u0131n yukar\u0131 gitme iste\u011finin canl\u0131 kalaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyorum. Fakat 64 bin a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 k\u0131r\u0131l\u0131rsa, bu g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015f\u00fcm de\u011fi\u015fecektir.<\/p>\n<p>Teknik olarak bak\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131nda ise son g\u00fcnlerde artan hacim ve yabanc\u0131 takas\u0131ndaki art\u0131\u015f olumlu olarak belirtilmelidir. Bug\u00fcn endeksin g\u00fcn i\u00e7i g\u00f6rd\u00fc\u011f\u00fc dip seviye \u00e7ok \u00f6nemli bir destek seviyesi haline d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015fecektir. Bu dip seviye daha sonra stop seviyesi olarak kullan\u0131lmas\u0131 gereken bir seviye olacakt\u0131r.<\/p>\n<p>Ge\u00e7en hafta 11.75 seviyelerine kadar \u00e7\u0131km\u0131\u015f olan g\u00f6sterge faiz, haftay\u0131 y\u00fczde 11.38 seviyesinden kapatm\u0131\u015ft\u0131. \u00d6nceki g\u00fcn faizler y\u00fczde 11.23 seviyesine geriledikten sonra d\u00fcn 11.28 seviyesinden kapand\u0131. Bug\u00fcn g\u00f6sterge faizin 11.10 ile 11.50 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda dalgalanmas\u0131n\u0131 bekleyebiliriz.<\/p><div class=\"bilge-content-1\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-3246827124\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"3167340272\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>D\u00fcn ak\u015fam FED toplant\u0131s\u0131 sonu\u00e7land\u0131 ve bu toplant\u0131 sonras\u0131nda FED ba\u015fkan\u0131 Janet Yellen bir konu\u015fma yapt\u0131. G\u00f6r\u00fcnen o ki, faiz art\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131 piyasalar\u0131n&#8230; D\u00fcn ak\u015fam FED&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":102,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[769,954,715],"class_list":["post-32010","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-tumyazilar","tag-borsa-yorumlari-gunluk","tag-canli-webinar","tag-yasar-erdinc-yazilari"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/32010","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/102"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=32010"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/32010\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=32010"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=32010"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=32010"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}