{"id":31495,"date":"2014-03-04T23:02:15","date_gmt":"2014-03-04T21:02:15","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/?p=31495"},"modified":"2014-03-05T00:54:18","modified_gmt":"2014-03-04T22:54:18","slug":"iktidarin-oncelik-hatasi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/i\/iktidarin-oncelik-hatasi\/","title":{"rendered":"\u00c7etin \u00dcnsalan &#8211; \u0130ktidar\u0131n \u00f6ncelik hatas\u0131"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><em><strong><span style=\"line-height: 1.5em;\">Ba\u015fbakan Yard\u0131mc\u0131s\u0131 Ali Babacan, Orta Vadeli Program\u0131 temel alarak bir numaral\u0131 \u00f6ncelik alanlar\u0131n\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131klad\u0131: Cari a\u00e7\u0131k\u2026 Ortada bir program kald\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnmek zaten ba\u015fl\u0131 ba\u015f\u0131na bir hata ama Babacan\u2019\u0131n s\u00f6zlerinden anl\u0131yoruz ki, daha ilgin\u00e7 bir yakla\u015f\u0131m geliyor.<\/span><\/strong><\/em><\/p><div class=\"bilge-yaziust\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-3585370594\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"9580705384\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p>Her \u015feyden evvel alt\u0131n\u0131 \u00e7izmek gerekir ki, cari a\u00e7\u0131k meselesi T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin en \u00f6nemli problemlerinin ba\u015f\u0131nda geliyor. Bunda prensip olarak anla\u015famad\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131z bir konu yok. Ekonomi y\u00f6netimiyle ayr\u0131\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131m temel fark, bunun para politikalar\u0131yla de\u011fil, reel sekt\u00f6r\u00fcn ve finans\u0131n \u00f6nceli\u011finin yap\u0131sal bak\u0131mdan de\u011fi\u015fimiyle \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fclecek bir konu oldu\u011fudur.<\/p>\n<p>Peki buna ra\u011fmen \u015fu soruyu tart\u0131\u015fmak gerekmiyor mu? Mevcut konjonkt\u00fcrde ve olas\u0131 ekonomik foto\u011frafa bakt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131zda cari a\u00e7\u0131k T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin bir numaral\u0131 \u00f6nceli\u011fi midir? Ben Ba\u015fbakan Yard\u0131mc\u0131s\u0131 Babacan ile ayn\u0131 fikirde de\u011filim.<\/p>\n<p>T\u00fcrkiye en \u00e7ok hangi temelden cari a\u00e7\u0131k veriyor? S\u0131cak para giri\u015fiyle finansman ithalat\u0131 ve \u00fcretim i\u00e7in gereken hammadde ile ara girdideki d\u0131\u015f al\u0131mlar. Ger\u00e7i son veriler t\u00fcketim mallar\u0131n\u0131n eskiye oranla nispi art\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6sterse de hakimiyet bu iki konu \u00fczerinde\u2026<\/p>\n<p>\u00d6ncelikle eskisi gibi s\u0131cak para gelmesi m\u00fcmk\u00fcn g\u00f6z\u00fckm\u00fcyor. Aksine i\u00e7erideki paran\u0131n da ka\u00e7mak i\u00e7in f\u0131rsat kollad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 biliyoruz. \u0130kinci ba\u015fl\u0131k ise ithalat ba\u011f\u0131ml\u0131s\u0131 ihracat\u2026 D\u0131\u015f pazarlardaki kaos ortam\u0131 ve en \u00f6nemli pazar pay\u0131na sahip Avrupa\u2019n\u0131n ad\u0131m ad\u0131m gitti\u011fi resesyon, \u00fcretimin de s\u0131k\u0131nt\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n artaca\u011f\u0131na i\u015faret ediyor.<\/p>\n<p>\u0130\u00e7 piyasan\u0131n da krediler \u00fczerinden daralt\u0131lmaya gidildi\u011fi \u015fu ortamda, \u00fcreticinin i\u00e7te t\u00fcketmek ad\u0131na \u00fcretim yapmas\u0131, yapsa da ithal \u00fcr\u00fcnlerle rekabet etmesi olduk\u00e7a g\u00fc\u00e7. T\u00fcrkiye ekonomisinin daralaca\u011f\u0131 ya da elde edece\u011fi b\u00fcy\u00fcme rakamlar\u0131, daralma anlam\u0131na gelece\u011fine g\u00f6re tespit \u00e7ok a\u00e7\u0131k.<\/p>\n<p>Bu foto\u011frafta T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin cari a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131 zaten gerileyecektir. Fakat yine alt\u0131n\u0131 \u00e7iziyorum ki, bu sorunun ortadan kalkt\u0131\u011f\u0131 anlam\u0131na gelmiyor. Sadece daralman\u0131n bir neticesi\u2026 Yap\u0131sal problemler halledilmedi\u011fi s\u00fcrece, yar\u0131n ekonomi canlansa ve \u00fcretime ge\u00e7ilse, cari a\u00e7\u0131k yine patlama riski ile kar\u015f\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131ya\u2026<\/p>\n<p>O zaman en ba\u015fa d\u00f6nersek T\u00fcrkiye ekonomi y\u00f6netiminin i\u00e7inde bulundu\u011fumuz ko\u015fullar ad\u0131na birinci \u00f6nceli\u011fi cari a\u00e7\u0131k olamaz; olmamal\u0131d\u0131r. Bu sorunu takip edip, \u00fcmidim olmasa da yap\u0131sal olarak \u00e7\u00f6zmenin yollar\u0131 elbette aranmal\u0131d\u0131r.<\/p><div class=\"bilge-content-1\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-248031207\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"3167340272\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p>Ama T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin kap\u0131s\u0131ndaki g\u00fcncel problem finansman sorunu ve i\u015fsizliktir. Daralan piyasalar ve \u00f6deme g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fckleri, nakit s\u0131k\u0131nt\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n artt\u0131\u011f\u0131 ortamda firma kapanmalar\u0131na ya da a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 i\u015ften \u00e7\u0131karmalara neden olma riski ta\u015f\u0131yor. Burada da i\u015fsizlik, can\u0131m\u0131z\u0131 daha \u00e7ok yakacak bir sorun olarak ortada duruyor.<\/p>\n<p>Finansmana gelince, daha \u00f6nce yazd\u0131m, tekrar alt\u0131n\u0131 \u00e7izeyim: Bir y\u0131l i\u00e7inde ger\u00e7ekle\u015fen 65 milyar dolarl\u0131k cari a\u00e7\u0131k finansman\u0131 ve k\u0131sa vadeli kamu\/\u00f6zel bor\u00e7 \u00f6demeleri nedeniyle yakla\u015f\u0131k taze 230 milyar dolar civar\u0131nda bir paraya ihtiyac\u0131m\u0131z var ve b\u00f6yle bir param\u0131z yok.<\/p>\n<p>\u0130\u015fin \u00f6z\u00fc cari a\u00e7\u0131k sorundur; ama g\u00fcncel geli\u015fmeler dikkate al\u0131narak y\u00f6netilmesi gereken ekonomide bug\u00fcn\u00fcn \u00f6nceli\u011fi de\u011fildir. Yeniden alt\u0131n\u0131 \u00e7iziyorum ki, \u00fczerimize gelen \u00e7\u0131\u011f finansman, tahsilat s\u0131k\u0131nt\u0131s\u0131, \u00f6deme g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc\u011f\u00fc ve i\u015fsizlik problemleridir.<\/p>\n<p>Peki Ali Babacan bunu bilmiyor mu? Ben bilmedi\u011fini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnm\u00fcyorum. Sadece silsile halinde ger\u00e7ekle\u015fecek se\u00e7imler \u00f6ncesi, zaten d\u00fc\u015fecek bir veriyi siyaseten kullanmas\u0131 i\u00e7in iktidara bug\u00fcnden ortam haz\u0131rl\u0131yor. Ama bu ne sorunlar\u0131 ortadan kald\u0131r\u0131yor; ne de Ali Babacan\u2019a yak\u0131\u015f\u0131yor.<\/p><div class=\"bilge-content-2\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-2529060657\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"1818807385\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p>Eskiden deveku\u015fu sendromundan yak\u0131n\u0131rd\u0131k; \u015fimdi bir de Mandrake sendorumu musallat oldu.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"mailto:cetinunsalan@yahoo.com\">cetinunsalan@yahoo.com<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Ba\u015fbakan Yard\u0131mc\u0131s\u0131 Ali Babacan, Orta Vadeli Program\u0131 temel alarak bir numaral\u0131 \u00f6ncelik alanlar\u0131n\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131klad\u0131: Cari a\u00e7\u0131k\u2026 Ortada bir program kald\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnmek zaten ba\u015fl\u0131 ba\u015f\u0131na bir&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":5,"featured_media":14653,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[904,808,801],"class_list":["post-31495","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-tumyazilar","tag-cetin-unsalan-yazilari","tag-ekonomi-makaleleri","tag-ekonomi-yazarlari-listesi"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/31495","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/5"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=31495"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/31495\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/14653"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=31495"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=31495"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=31495"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}