{"id":30553,"date":"2014-01-24T09:55:58","date_gmt":"2014-01-24T07:55:58","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/?p=30553"},"modified":"2014-01-24T10:26:23","modified_gmt":"2014-01-24T08:26:23","slug":"uzeyir-dogan-tcmb-mudahalesi-ve-dolartl","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/i\/uzeyir-dogan-tcmb-mudahalesi-ve-dolartl\/","title":{"rendered":"\u00dczeyir Do\u011fan &#8211; TCMB m\u00fcdahalesi ve Dolar\/TL"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><strong><em>D\u00fcn kur g\u00fcne h\u0131zl\u0131 bir y\u00fckseli\u015fle ba\u015flad\u0131 2,30 civar\u0131na kadar y\u00fckseldi. <\/em><\/strong><\/p><div class=\"bilge-yaziust\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-1273638332\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"9580705384\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p>Ard\u0131ndan g\u00fcn i\u00e7inde TCMB\u2019nin m\u00fcdahaleleri ile 2,26 civar\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fclse de g\u00fcn sonunda yeniden 2,30 civar\u0131nda bir Dolar\/TL kuru g\u00f6rd\u00fck. TCMB\u2019nin d\u00fcnk\u00fc m\u00fcdahalesinin 2-3 milyar dolar aras\u0131nda oldu\u011fu tahmin ediliyor. Buna kar\u015f\u0131n kurun gev\u015fememi\u015f olmas\u0131 soru i\u015faretleri yaratt\u0131. Ancak bug\u00fcn ve ilerleyen g\u00fcnlerde d\u00f6vizde do\u011frudan m\u00fcdahalenin devam etmesi ve \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki hafta ek parasal s\u0131k\u0131la\u015ft\u0131rmalar\u0131n (EPS) gelecek olmas\u0131 kuru a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc bask\u0131layabilir. M\u00fcdahalenin ilk g\u00fcn\u00fcnde TCMB\u2019nin piyasay\u0131, piyasan\u0131n da TCMB\u2019yi test etti\u011fi bir g\u00fcn oldu\u011funu d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyoruz. \u00d6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki hafta EPS ile birlikte do\u011frudan sat\u0131\u015flara devam edilmesi kuru bask\u0131layabilir. Ancak burada yurtd\u0131\u015f\u0131 etkisi g\u00f6zden ka\u00e7\u0131r\u0131lmamal\u0131d\u0131r. D\u00fcnk\u00fc gibi yurtd\u0131\u015f\u0131ndan negatif etkinin gelmesi bu hamlelerin etkisini s\u0131n\u0131rlayabilir. Bu nedenle TCMB yurtd\u0131\u015f\u0131ndan negatif etkilerin geldi\u011fi g\u00fcnlerde bu hamleleri azaltabilir ve kur zaman zaman yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc denemeler yapabilir. Ancak piyasada kesin olarak kurun TCMB\u2019nin kontrol\u00fcnden \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131\u011f\u0131 alg\u0131s\u0131 olu\u015fmad\u0131\u011f\u0131 s\u00fcrece 2,30 \u00fczerinde her an yeni bir m\u00fcdahale gelebilir alg\u0131s\u0131 y\u00fckseli\u015fleri s\u0131n\u0131rlayacakt\u0131r. Ancak gerek yurtd\u0131\u015f\u0131 etkisiyle gerekse i\u00e7erideki dolar talebinin artarak devam etmesi durumunda kurun 2,30 \u00fczerine oturmas\u0131 panik ataklar\u0131 getirebilir. Buna dikkat etmek gerekiyor. \u00d6zetle kurda volatilitenin a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 y\u00fcksek olaca\u011f\u0131 bir d\u00f6neme girdik. Bu d\u00f6nemi tahmin etmek zor olacakt\u0131r. Ancak d\u00fcnk\u00fc gibi TCMB m\u00fcdahalelerinin zaman zaman gelece\u011fini tahmin etmek \u00e7ok zor de\u011fil. Bilinmeyense bu m\u00fcdahalelerin hangi seviyelerden ve ne b\u00fcy\u00fckl\u00fckte gelece\u011fidir. Bize kal\u0131rsa bu bilinmezlik de TCMB\u2019nin i\u015fine yarayan bir unsur olacakt\u0131r. Volatilitenin bu denli y\u00fcksek oldu\u011fu bu d\u00f6nemde k\u0131sa vadeli teknik seviye vermeyi do\u011fru da bulmuyoruz.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>D\u00fcn kur g\u00fcne h\u0131zl\u0131 bir y\u00fckseli\u015fle ba\u015flad\u0131 2,30 civar\u0131na kadar y\u00fckseldi. Ard\u0131ndan g\u00fcn i\u00e7inde TCMB\u2019nin m\u00fcdahaleleri ile 2,26 civar\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fclse de g\u00fcn sonunda yeniden 2,30&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[752,753,808,801,876],"class_list":["post-30553","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-tumyazilar","tag-dolar-tl-yorumu","tag-dolar-yorumlari","tag-ekonomi-makaleleri","tag-ekonomi-yazarlari-listesi","tag-uzeyir-dogan-yazilari"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/30553","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=30553"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/30553\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=30553"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=30553"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=30553"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}