{"id":29874,"date":"2014-01-09T08:35:18","date_gmt":"2014-01-09T06:35:18","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/?p=29874"},"modified":"2014-01-09T08:48:27","modified_gmt":"2014-01-09T06:48:27","slug":"seans-oncesi-borsa-yorumu-disaridan-gelen-sinyaller-olumsuz","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/i\/seans-oncesi-borsa-yorumu-disaridan-gelen-sinyaller-olumsuz\/","title":{"rendered":"Seans \u00d6ncesi Borsa Yorumu \/ D\u0131\u015far\u0131dan Gelen Sinyaller Olumsuz"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><em><strong>\u00d6nceki g\u00fcn 68.599 seviyesinden kapanan BIST-100 endeksi d\u00fcn y\u00fczde 1.85 oran\u0131nda d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fle 67.332 seviyesinden kapand\u0131. Bu d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015flerde Citigroup ve JP Morgan\u2019\u0131n T\u00fcrkiye i\u00e7in&#8230;<\/strong><\/em><\/p><div class=\"bilge-yaziust\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-675753813\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"9580705384\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-29875\" alt=\"endeks-09-Ocak-2014\" src=\"http:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/01\/endeks-09-Ocak-2014.png\" width=\"559\" height=\"323\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/01\/endeks-09-Ocak-2014.png 559w, https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/01\/endeks-09-Ocak-2014-300x173.png 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 559px) 100vw, 559px\" \/><\/p>\n<p>\u00d6nceki g\u00fcn 68.599 seviyesinden kapanan BIST-100 endeksi d\u00fcn y\u00fczde 1.85 oran\u0131nda d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fle 67.332 seviyesinden kapand\u0131. Bu d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015flerde Citigroup ve JP Morgan\u2019\u0131n T\u00fcrkiye i\u00e7in azalt \u00f6nerisinde bulunmas\u0131n\u0131n, derecelendirme kurulu\u015fu Moodys\u2019ten \u00f6nemli uyar\u0131lar\u0131n gelmesinin etkili oldu\u011funu s\u00f6yleyebiliriz, fakat \u00f6zellikle ikinci seansta d\u0131\u015f piyasalar\u0131n da olumsuza d\u00f6nmesi d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fc destekledi. ABD\u2019den gelen ADP istihdam raporuna g\u00f6re Aral\u0131k ay\u0131nda istihdam 238 bin ki\u015fi artt\u0131. Piyasa 200-210 bin civar\u0131nda art\u0131\u015f bekliyordu. Bu haber, d\u00fcn a\u00e7\u0131klanan FED toplant\u0131 tutanaklar\u0131yla birle\u015ftirildi\u011finde, 29 Ocak\u2019ta yap\u0131lacak FED toplant\u0131s\u0131ndan 10 milyar dolarl\u0131k tahvil azalt\u0131m\u0131 olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 belirgin \u015fekilde artm\u0131\u015f oluyor. FED toplant\u0131 tutanaklar\u0131na g\u00f6re 2014 y\u0131l\u0131 i\u00e7inde tahvil al\u0131m\u0131 t\u00fcm\u00fcyle bitirilmi\u015f olacak. \u00dcyelerin \u00e7o\u011fu bu y\u00f6nde e\u011filim belirtmi\u015f durumda. Dolay\u0131s\u0131yla bu sabah geli\u015fmekte olan piyasalar sat\u0131c\u0131l\u0131 bir seyir izliyor. ABD 10 y\u0131ll\u0131k faizleri y\u00fczde 2.9860 seviyesine tekrar y\u00fckseldi. D\u00fcn bu oran 2.9450 civar\u0131ndayd\u0131. Yar\u0131n ABD\u2019den gelecek tar\u0131m d\u0131\u015f\u0131 istihdam verisine kadar piyasalarda net bir d\u00fczelme olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 zay\u0131f. Kas\u0131m ay\u0131nda tar\u0131m d\u0131\u015f\u0131 istihdam 203 bin artm\u0131\u015ft\u0131. Aral\u0131k ay\u0131nda da 200 bin art\u0131\u015f bekleniyor. Bug\u00fcn ayr\u0131ca Avrupa Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n toplant\u0131s\u0131 var. E\u011fer s\u00fcrpriz bir faiz indirimi gelirse, piyasalar i\u00e7in olumlu olur ama, bu olumluluk ge\u00e7ici ve zay\u0131f olacakt\u0131r.<\/p>\n<p>D\u00fcnk\u00fc yorumumda 67.500 alt\u0131nda bir kapan\u0131\u015f olmas\u0131 durumunda endeksin 65.000-65.500 seviyelerine kadar gerileme olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 oldu\u011funu, teknik g\u00f6stergelerin bu t\u00fcr bir durumda a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc sinyaller \u00fcretebilece\u011fini belirtmi\u015ftim. Yukar\u0131daki grafik 60 dakikal\u0131k hareketleri g\u00f6steriyor. Nitekim d\u00fcn TKE g\u00f6stergesi yeniden kritik 20 seviyesinin alt\u0131na geriledi. \u015eu an \u00e7ok net bir yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc trendde olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131z i\u00e7in, bu g\u00f6sterge 40\u2019\u0131n alt\u0131nda kald\u0131\u011f\u0131 s\u00fcrece geri \u00e7ekilmeler devam edebilir. Seans i\u00e7i en g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc diren\u00e7 67.750-68.000 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda bulunuyor. Bug\u00fcn bu seviyenin \u00fczerinde kapan\u0131\u015f olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 zay\u0131f g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyor. 67.150 seviyesinin alt\u0131na do\u011fru olacak gerilemelerde sat\u0131\u015flar artacakt\u0131r. \u015eu an i\u00e7in 67.000-67.200 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda zay\u0131f bir destek var. Bu destekten yukar\u0131 d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f \u00e7abalar\u0131 olabilir, fakat bug\u00fcnk\u00fc g\u00fcndem ve bu sabah d\u0131\u015f piyasalardaki genel durum itibariyle, bu \u00e7abalar\u0131n sa\u011fl\u0131kl\u0131 ve g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir y\u00fckseli\u015fi ba\u015flatmas\u0131 olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 zay\u0131f. Endeks 67 binin alt\u0131nda g\u00fcne ba\u015flarsa, 67.250-67.500 direncini yukar\u0131 k\u0131rmas\u0131 zorla\u015f\u0131r. Bu \u015fartlar alt\u0131nda yeniden 68 bin \u00fczerinde kapan\u0131\u015f olmadan, yeni pozisyon a\u00e7\u0131lmas\u0131n\u0131 sriskli g\u00f6r\u00fcyorum. Endeks bug\u00fcn yukar\u0131 hareketlerin zay\u0131f kald\u0131\u011f\u0131, a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nde hareketlerin ise zaman zaman h\u0131zland\u0131\u011f\u0131 bir g\u00fcn ya\u015fayabilir.<\/p>\n<p>Tahvil ve bono piyasas\u0131nda 2 y\u0131l vadeli g\u00f6sterge ka\u011f\u0131d\u0131n (TRT071015T12) faizi d\u00fcn \u00f6nceki g\u00fcnk\u00fc seviye olan y\u00fczde 10.02 seviyesinden kapand\u0131. ABD 10 y\u0131ll\u0131k tahvilin faizi bug\u00fcn y\u00fczde 2.9860 civar\u0131nda bulunuyor. Tahvil ve bono piyasas\u0131nda g\u00f6sterge faiz y\u00fczde 10\u2019un alt\u0131na gelirse, bono sat\u0131\u015flar\u0131 artabilir. Dolay\u0131s\u0131yla y\u00fczde 10 seviyesini \u00f6nemli bir diren\u00e7 olarak verebiliriz. Bug\u00fcn 9.90-10.15 aras\u0131nda hareket bekleyebiliriz.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u00d6nceki g\u00fcn 68.599 seviyesinden kapanan BIST-100 endeksi d\u00fcn y\u00fczde 1.85 oran\u0131nda d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fle 67.332 seviyesinden kapand\u0131. Bu d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015flerde Citigroup ve JP Morgan\u2019\u0131n T\u00fcrkiye i\u00e7in&#8230; \u00d6nceki g\u00fcn&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":102,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[769,715],"class_list":["post-29874","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-tumyazilar","tag-borsa-yorumlari-gunluk","tag-yasar-erdinc-yazilari"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/29874","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/102"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=29874"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/29874\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=29874"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=29874"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=29874"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}