{"id":2980,"date":"2011-07-20T09:40:22","date_gmt":"2011-07-20T06:40:22","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/?p=2980"},"modified":"2011-07-20T09:40:58","modified_gmt":"2011-07-20T06:40:58","slug":"mesela","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/i\/mesela\/","title":{"rendered":"Mesela!"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Geli\u015fmi\u015f ekonomilerin sorun ve a\u00e7mazlar\u0131 bir anlamda k\u00fcresel g\u00fcndeme ipotek koydu, felaket senaryolar\u0131 u\u00e7u\u015fmaya ba\u015flad\u0131. Oyun i\u00e7indeki k\u0131s\u0131r oyunlar karma\u015f\u0131kla\u015ft\u0131k\u00e7a riskten ka\u00e7\u0131nma e\u011filimi g\u00fc\u00e7lendi, bu durumdan rahats\u0131z olanlar ne yapaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 \u015fa\u015f\u0131rd\u0131. ABD y\u00f6netimi de bor\u00e7lanma tavan\u0131n\u0131n art\u0131r\u0131lmamas\u0131 ihtimaline kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k bir B plan\u0131 haz\u0131rlamaya ba\u015flam\u0131\u015f. Merak ediyorum bug\u00fcne kadar ikna edemedikleri cumhuriyet\u00e7i \u00e7o\u011funlu\u011fu ikna edecek bir hamle mi ar\u0131yorlar, yoksa ger\u00e7ekten bor\u00e7lanma tavan\u0131 art\u0131r\u0131lmadan durumu idare etmenin bir yolu var m\u0131?.. ABD y\u00f6netimi ve piyasalar yeni bor\u00e7lanma imkan\u0131 yaratmadan g\u00fcn\u00fc kurtarman\u0131n bir yolu olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 her f\u0131rsatta dile getirdi\u011fine g\u00f6re, Temsilciler Meclisi&#8217;nde \u00e7o\u011funluk durumundaki Cumhuriyet\u00e7iler&#8217;in nas\u0131r\u0131na basarak geri ad\u0131m att\u0131racak bir hamle aran\u0131yor&#8230;<\/p><div class=\"bilge-yaziust\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-1015351736\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"9580705384\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p>Malum y\u00f6netim bor\u00e7lanma tavan\u0131n\u0131n art\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131n\u0131 istiyor ve durumun k\u00f6t\u00fcle\u015fmesini \u00f6nlemek ad\u0131na vergi gelirlerini art\u0131rarak b\u00fct\u00e7e a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fcltmeye, bor\u00e7 y\u00fck\u00fcn\u00fcn artmas\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6nlemeye \u00e7al\u0131\u015faca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 beyan ediyor. Uzla\u015fmaz tav\u0131r sergileyen kar\u015f\u0131 taraf ise vergilerin art\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131na kar\u015f\u0131 \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor ve b\u00fct\u00e7e disiplini i\u00e7in harcama kesintisi talep ediyor ve ancak bu ko\u015fulda bor\u00e7lanma tavan\u0131n\u0131 bir miktar art\u0131rabilece\u011fini ifade ediyor. Piyasalar ise bu \u00e7eki\u015fmeyi 2012 ba\u015fkanl\u0131k se\u00e7imlerine y\u00f6nelik k\u0131s\u0131r bir \u00e7eki\u015fme olarak g\u00f6r\u00fcyor ve bir \u015fekilde 2 A\u011fustos&#8217;tan \u00f6nce a\u015f\u0131laca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnmek zorunda kal\u0131yor. Asl\u0131nda durum biraz daha farkl\u0131. Federal Reserve artan enflasyon bask\u0131s\u0131 nedeniyle yeni bir parasal geni\u015flemeye gidecek durumda de\u011fil; hal b\u00f6yle olunca durgunluktan \u00e7\u0131kmak ad\u0131na kamu harcamalar\u0131 \u00f6zel bir \u00f6nem ta\u015f\u0131yor, fakat Cumhuriyet\u00e7iler bu ger\u00e7e\u011fi g\u00f6rmek istemiyor. E\u011fer muhalefetin dedi\u011fi olur ve \u00f6zellikle sosyal harcamalarda ciddi kesintiler yap\u0131lmas\u0131 s\u00f6z konusu olur ise durgunlu\u011fun derinle\u015fmesi, kredi notunun d\u00fc\u015fmesi ve Obama&#8217;n\u0131n se\u00e7imleri kaybetmesi ka\u00e7\u0131n\u0131lmaz hale gelebilir. Y\u00f6netim bor\u00e7lanma tavan\u0131n\u0131n art\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131n\u0131 sa\u011flayarak bu a\u00e7mazdan nas\u0131l \u00e7\u0131kabilir?<\/p>\n<p>Cumhuriyet\u00e7ileri y\u00f6nlendiren yeni muhafazakarlar\u0131n hassas noktas\u0131na odaklanan bir yakla\u015f\u0131m etkili olabilir. Tamam vergiler art\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131n; tamam harcamalar k\u0131s\u0131ls\u0131n&#8230; \u00d6zellikle askeri harcamalar gereken \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde k\u0131s\u0131ls\u0131n, 140 \u00fclkedeki Amerikan \u00fcslerinin yar\u0131s\u0131 kapat\u0131ls\u0131n! Bor\u00e7lanma tavan\u0131 art\u0131r\u0131lmaz ise daha da ileri gidebilecek hamleler tasarlanabilir&#8230; Ne dersiniz Obama y\u00f6netimi b\u00f6yle bir hamle yapabilir, bor\u00e7lanma tavan\u0131n\u0131n art\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131 veya art\u0131r\u0131lmamas\u0131 ihtimallerinde gerekli hamleleri kararl\u0131l\u0131kla uygulayabilir mi?<\/p>\n<p>ABD&#8217;ye ili\u015fkin k\u00fcresel tabular var ve art\u0131k \u015feklen de olsa tart\u0131\u015f\u0131labiliyor. S\u00f6z konusu \u00fclkenin kredi notunun d\u00fc\u015fmesi veya askeri harcamalar\u0131n k\u0131s\u0131lmas\u0131 t\u00fcrde\u015f felaketlere yol a\u00e7abilir, biri finansal kaosa di\u011feri ise g\u00fcvenlik endi\u015fesine sebep olarak istikrars\u0131zl\u0131\u011f\u0131n dayan\u0131lmaz boyutlara ula\u015fmas\u0131 ile sonlanabilir. Euro b\u00f6lgesinin sorunlu ekonomileri veya geli\u015fmekte olanlar\u0131n kredi notu d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcr\u00fclebilir, her t\u00fcrl\u00fc harcamalar\u0131n\u0131 k\u0131smas\u0131 destek i\u00e7in \u00f6n \u015fart olarak \u00f6ne s\u00fcr\u00fclebilir; fakat benzeri bir yakla\u015f\u0131m\u0131n ABD i\u00e7in g\u00fcndeme gelmesi sistemik riski art\u0131raca\u011f\u0131 i\u00e7in durum farkl\u0131la\u015f\u0131r!..<\/p>\n<p>\u0130\u00e7inde bulundu\u011fumuz k\u00fcresel ko\u015fullarda ABD&#8217;nin eski l\u00fckslerini k\u0131sa vadeden \u00f6teye s\u00fcrd\u00fcrmesi pek olas\u0131 de\u011fil ya askeri harcamalar\u0131n\u0131 dramatik boyutta k\u0131sacak ve evine \u00e7ekilecek ya da kredi notu d\u00fc\u015fecek&#8230; Asl\u0131nda olacaklar\u0131n fark\u0131ndalar ve bu nedenle \u015fimdilik pek ba\u015far\u0131l\u0131 olamasalar bile yeni bir d\u00fcnya d\u00fczeni pe\u015finde ko\u015fmaktan vazge\u00e7emiyorlar; Cumhuriyet\u00e7ileri y\u00f6nlendiren yeni muhafazakarlar askeri harcamalar\u0131n k\u0131s\u0131lmas\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6nlemek ad\u0131na geri ad\u0131m atabilir&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Geli\u015fmi\u015f ekonomilerin sorun ve a\u00e7mazlar\u0131 bir anlamda k\u00fcresel g\u00fcndeme ipotek koydu, felaket senaryolar\u0131 u\u00e7u\u015fmaya ba\u015flad\u0131. Oyun i\u00e7indeki k\u0131s\u0131r oyunlar karma\u015f\u0131kla\u015ft\u0131k\u00e7a riskten ka\u00e7\u0131nma e\u011filimi g\u00fc\u00e7lendi, bu&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":21,"featured_media":931,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-2980","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-tumyazilar"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2980","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/21"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=2980"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2980\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/931"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=2980"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=2980"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=2980"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}