{"id":29531,"date":"2013-12-27T09:39:51","date_gmt":"2013-12-27T07:39:51","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/?p=29531"},"modified":"2013-12-27T17:23:27","modified_gmt":"2013-12-27T15:23:27","slug":"seans-oncesi-borsa-yorumu","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/i\/seans-oncesi-borsa-yorumu\/","title":{"rendered":"Seans \u00d6ncesi Borsa Yorumu \/ Y\u00fcksek Volatilite D\u00f6nemindeyiz"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><strong><em>Grafikte BIST-100 endeksinin 93 bin seviyesinden sonraki hareketleri veriliyor. Daha \u00f6nce g\u00f6r\u00fclen 64 bin seviyesi, d\u00fcn de yeniden g\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc ve BIST-100 endeksi g\u00fcn\u00fc y\u00fczde 2.33\u2019l\u00fck d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fle kapatt\u0131.\u00a0<\/em><\/strong><\/p><div class=\"bilge-yaziust\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-30455484\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"9580705384\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-29532\" alt=\"endeks-27-Aralik-2013\" src=\"http:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/12\/endeks-27-Aralik-2013.png\" width=\"543\" height=\"346\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/12\/endeks-27-Aralik-2013.png 543w, https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/12\/endeks-27-Aralik-2013-300x191.png 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 543px) 100vw, 543px\" \/><\/p>\n<p>Ayl\u0131k bazda y\u00fczde 13.8 gerileyen endeks i\u00e7in 64 bin deste\u011finin \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131p \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmayaca\u011f\u0131 en \u00f6nemli soru olarak kar\u015f\u0131m\u0131za \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor. D\u00fcn sat\u0131\u015flar\u0131 art\u0131ran temel fakt\u00f6r, y\u00fcr\u00fctme ve yarg\u0131 aras\u0131ndaki g\u00f6rev ve yetki belirsizli\u011fi ve yap\u0131lan bir\u00e7ok a\u00e7\u0131klaman\u0131n (Muammer Akka\u015f, HSYK, Turan \u00c7olakkad\u0131) ciddi anlamda kafalar\u0131 kar\u0131\u015ft\u0131rmas\u0131yd\u0131. Bu t\u00fcr zamanlarda teknik olarak verilen destek veya diren\u00e7ler seans i\u00e7i hareketlerde anlam\u0131n\u0131 yitirebilir. G\u00fcn i\u00e7i hareketlerde son 8 g\u00fcnde endeksin hareket alan\u0131 zaman zaman 3 bin puan\u0131n \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131. Son sekiz g\u00fcndeki gerileme y\u00fczde 13.74 seviyesine ula\u015ft\u0131. Gelece\u011fe dair belirsizlik s\u00fcr\u00fcyor oldu\u011fu i\u00e7in ve endekste y\u00fcksek volatilite d\u00f6neminde oldu\u011fumuzdan dolay\u0131, 64 binin a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 ge\u00e7ilip, \u00f6rne\u011fin 62 binin g\u00f6r\u00fclmesi ve sonras\u0131nda 65 bin kapanmas\u0131 bile s\u00f6z konusu olabilir. Zaman zaman tahtalar\u0131n al\u0131\u015f kademelerindeki lot miktarlar\u0131, normalden \u00e7ok daha d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck seviyelere inebilir. Bu t\u00fcr durumlarda, kimse almak istemezken ve a\u00e7\u0131\u011fa sat\u0131\u015f i\u015flemleri nedeniyle, \u00e7ok az i\u015flemlerle 4-5 kademe fiyat hareketleri s\u00f6zkonusu olacakt\u0131r. Bazen, bo\u015falan kademelerin bir anda gelen al\u0131mlarla kalkt\u0131\u011f\u0131 ve al\u0131\u015flar\u0131n yo\u011funla\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131 da g\u00f6r\u00fclebilir. Bu t\u00fcr t\u00fcrb\u00fclans zamanlar\u0131nda, Avrupa\u2019da da oldu\u011fu gibi ge\u00e7ici s\u00fcre i\u00e7in a\u00e7\u0131\u011fa sat\u0131\u015f i\u015flemlerinin durdurulmas\u0131 bile s\u00f6z konusu olabilir ve bu durum aniden binlerce puan yukar\u0131 hareket ba\u015flatabilir. S\u00f6z\u00fcn k\u0131sas\u0131 \u015fudur ki; bir haberle her iki y\u00f6nde sert hareketleirn olabilece\u011fi g\u00fcnlerdeyiz ve yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n yapabilece\u011fi en b\u00fcy\u00fck hata bu hareketleri yakalama \u00e7abas\u0131 olacakt\u0131r. Satmam\u0131\u015f olan yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n bu a\u015famadan sonra sat\u0131\u015fa ge\u00e7mesi \u00e7ok ak\u0131ll\u0131ca olmayacakt\u0131r. Bu g\u00fcnlere benzeyen t\u00fcrb\u00fclans d\u00f6nemlerini inceledi\u011fimizde, \u00f6rne\u011fin 6 Haziran g\u00fcn\u00fc endeks 73 bini g\u00f6r\u00fcp 76 bine yak\u0131n kapan\u0131\u015f yapm\u0131\u015f ve 5 g\u00fcnde dip ve tepe seviye aras\u0131nda 6 bin puanl\u0131k fark olu\u015fmu\u015ftur. \u00d6rne\u011fin 28 A\u011fustos 2013 g\u00fcn\u00fc endeks 63.887 seviyesini g\u00f6r\u00fcp ayn\u0131 g\u00fcn 2 bin puan yukar\u0131dan kapatm\u0131\u015f ve izleyen \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc g\u00fcnde 68.545 seviyesinden kapanm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. Bu g\u00fcnlerde de benzer hareketleri g\u00f6rebilece\u011fimiz i\u00e7in ve teknik olarak habere ba\u011fl\u0131 hareketler oldu\u011fundan, yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar izlemede kal\u0131rlarsa anlaml\u0131 olacakt\u0131r. Orta vadeli al\u0131m i\u00e7in \u015fartlar\u0131n uygun oldu\u011fu s\u00f6ylenebilir. Fakat endeksin dibi konusunda net bir \u015fey s\u00f6yleyemeyiz. Hen\u00fcz dip g\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc\u011f\u00fcne ili\u015fkin net teknik sinyaller gelmedi. Bu sabah d\u0131\u015f piyasalarda yatay bir g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm olup, borsan\u0131n a\u00e7\u0131l\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131n d\u00f6vizdeki hareketlere ba\u011fl\u0131 olaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6yleyebiliriz. Merkez Bankas\u0131 m\u00fcdahaleleri sertle\u015febilir.<\/p>\n<p>Tahvil ve bono piyasas\u0131nda 2 y\u0131l vadeli g\u00f6sterge ka\u011f\u0131d\u0131n (TRT071015T12) faizi d\u00fcn gelen haberlerle bir ara y\u00fczde 10 seviyesine yakla\u015ft\u0131 ama kapan\u0131\u015f 9.73 seviyesinden oldu. Daha \u00f6nce de belirtti\u011fimiz \u00fczere, TCMB toplant\u0131s\u0131ndan sonra fonlama maliyetleri de art\u0131yor ve TCMB TL\u2019yi s\u0131k\u0131la\u015ft\u0131r\u0131yor. Faizler y\u00fczde 9.40-10.00 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda denge bulabilir.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Grafikte BIST-100 endeksinin 93 bin seviyesinden sonraki hareketleri veriliyor. Daha \u00f6nce g\u00f6r\u00fclen 64 bin seviyesi, d\u00fcn de yeniden g\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc ve BIST-100 endeksi g\u00fcn\u00fc y\u00fczde 2.33\u2019l\u00fck&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":102,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[769,715],"class_list":["post-29531","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-tumyazilar","tag-borsa-yorumlari-gunluk","tag-yasar-erdinc-yazilari"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/29531","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/102"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=29531"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/29531\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=29531"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=29531"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=29531"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}