{"id":29466,"date":"2013-12-24T22:46:09","date_gmt":"2013-12-24T20:46:09","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/?p=29466"},"modified":"2013-12-27T13:30:05","modified_gmt":"2013-12-27T11:30:05","slug":"erdemli-masallar","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/i\/erdemli-masallar\/","title":{"rendered":"\u00c7etin \u00dcnsalan &#8211; Erdemli masallar"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><strong><em><span style=\"line-height: 1.5em;\">Bir masumu idam ettikten sonra, hakim yan\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6ylerse ne olur? Leblebi \u00e7ekirdek gibi insanlar\u0131n birbirini \u00f6ld\u00fcrd\u00fc\u011f\u00fc bu \u00fclkede, cinayeti i\u015fleyen \u00e7\u0131k\u0131p \u2018pardon\u2019 diyebilir mi? Bu \u00fclkede m\u00fcmk\u00fcn; \u00f6rneklerini g\u00f6rd\u00fck.<\/span>\u00a0<\/em><\/strong><\/p><div class=\"bilge-yaziust\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-2308679250\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"9580705384\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p>En hafifinden y\u0131llarca insanlar i\u00e7eride yat\u0131p, sonra da yanl\u0131\u015fl\u0131k oldu\u011fu anla\u015f\u0131lmad\u0131 m\u0131 baz\u0131 davalarda? Hatta Ferhan \u015eensoy\u2019un \u2018Pardon\u2019 isimli filmi ya da oyunu tam da bunun \u00fczerine kuruludur. Peki sonra ne oluyor? Koca bir s\u0131f\u0131r. Ya\u015fayan, ya\u015fad\u0131\u011f\u0131yla kal\u0131yor.<\/p>\n<p>Peki ekonomide durum \u00e7ok mu farkl\u0131? Bir \u00fclke d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcn ki, finansal krizin dibinde dola\u015f\u0131rken, en g\u00fcvenilir kurum olmas\u0131 gereken Merkez Bankas\u0131, bizzat Ba\u015fkan\u0131 arac\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131yla inanmad\u0131\u011f\u0131 bir \u015fey s\u00f6yl\u00fcyor. Diyor ki: Sene sonunda kur 1,92\u2026<\/p>\n<p>Daha o g\u00fcn dolar\u0131n ate\u015fi y\u00fckselmeye ba\u015fl\u0131yor. Sonra da aylar ge\u00e7ip de dolar 2,09\u2019u g\u00f6rd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcnde bir toplant\u0131 yap\u0131p \u2018yan\u0131lm\u0131\u015f\u0131m\u2019 diyor. Yan\u0131lm\u0131\u015f, sadece yan\u0131lm\u0131\u015f. Bitti mi? Her \u015fey halloldu mu?<\/p>\n<p>Finans piyasalar\u0131 zaten Ba\u015f\u00e7\u0131\u2019n\u0131n bu ifadesinin ger\u00e7ek\u00e7i olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 biliyordu. T\u0131pk\u0131 Erdem Ba\u015f\u00e7\u0131 gibi\u2026 Ama reel piyasalara geldi\u011finizde durum de\u011fi\u015fiyor. Firmalar \u00e7ok ciddi bir pozisyon a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131yla \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131yor. Ayn\u0131 zamanda da finans s\u0131k\u0131\u015f\u0131kl\u0131\u011f\u0131 i\u00e7inde oldu\u011fu i\u00e7in, yap\u0131lan her a\u00e7\u0131klamay\u0131 can kula\u011f\u0131yla dinliyor.<\/p>\n<p>Ba\u015f\u00e7\u0131 bu aradaki fark\u0131, mesela 14 ay vadeyle mal satan yan sanayiciye a\u00e7\u0131klayabilecek mi? Bu arada 14 \u2013 15 ayl\u0131k vadeler de ekonominin ne kadar iyi (!) oldu\u011funu g\u00f6steriyor. Ba\u015fka t\u00fcrl\u00fc mal satma \u015fans\u0131 olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131 i\u00e7in mal veriliyor; ama vadesi geldi\u011finde o \u00f6deme de yap\u0131lm\u0131yor.<\/p>\n<p>\u00d6zellikle finans yap\u0131s\u0131 sorunlu k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fck ve orta boy i\u015fletmeler belki de Merkez Bankas\u0131 Ba\u015fkan\u0131\u2019na g\u00fcvenerek bor\u00e7 al\u0131yor. Anadolu\u2019ya \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131zda buna \u00e7ok inanan m\u00fcte\u015febbis oldu\u011funu g\u00f6receksiniz. Hele de k\u00f6r\u00fc k\u00f6r\u00fcne AKP\u2019li ise\u2026<\/p>\n<p>\u015eimdi bu do\u011fan zarar ne olacak? Ba\u015f\u00e7\u0131\u2019n\u0131n \u2018yan\u0131lm\u0131\u015f\u0131m\u2019 ifadesi t\u00fcm sorunlar\u0131 halledecek mi? \u0130nsand\u0131r, yan\u0131l\u0131r diyeceksiniz ama yan\u0131lmamas\u0131, emin olmadan konu\u015fmamas\u0131 gereken bir makamda oturuyor. \u00d6yleyse b\u00f6yle bir \u015fans\u0131 yok.<\/p><div class=\"bilge-content-1\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-1654763138\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"3167340272\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p>Peki madem yan\u0131ld\u0131n; yapt\u0131n bir hata\u2026 Bir dur de\u011fil mi karde\u015fim? Merkez Bankas\u0131 Ba\u015fkan\u0131 toplant\u0131da yeni yan\u0131lmalara neden olacak s\u00f6ylemlerine devam ediyor. Her ay 2 milyar dolar gelecekmi\u015f de, kur daha fazla yukar\u0131 gitmeyecekmi\u015f de, enflasyonda k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fck bir sapma olacakm\u0131\u015f da\u2026<\/p>\n<p>K\u00fc\u00e7\u00fck dedi\u011fi de y\u00fczde 5 hedeflemesinden y\u00fczde 7\u2019ye gelene kadar y\u00fczde 40 sapma anlam\u0131na geliyor. Ayr\u0131ca d\u00f6viz rezervlerinin de artaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 belirtiyor. Oysa ayn\u0131 saatlerde ekonomistler d\u0131\u015f bas\u0131na, T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin cari a\u00e7\u0131k ve finansman s\u0131k\u0131nt\u0131s\u0131 k\u0131r\u0131lganl\u0131\u011f\u0131ndan bahsedip, gelecek s\u00fcre\u00e7te geli\u015fmekte olan \u00fclkelere kaynak ak\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131n kesilece\u011fini a\u00e7\u0131kl\u0131yorlar.<\/p>\n<p>D\u00fcnya burnunun ucunu g\u00f6remezken, Erdem Ba\u015f\u00e7\u0131 2016 enflasyonu konusunda h\u00fck\u00fcmetle vard\u0131klar\u0131 mutabakattan bahsediyor. Mutabakatla ekonomi y\u00f6netmek de ilgin\u00e7 bir y\u00f6ntem. \u201cKa\u00e7 olsun enflasyon? Y\u00fczde 5\u2026 Ama konjonkt\u00fcr, d\u00fcnya ekonomisi\u2026 S\u0131k\u0131nt\u0131 yapma biz onu rakamlarla ayarlar\u0131z.\u201d Bilimsellik diye buna derim.<\/p>\n<p>S\u00f6z\u00fcn \u00f6z\u00fc \u015fu: Ba\u015f\u00e7\u0131 ger\u00e7ekle\u015fmeyece\u011fini bile bile insanlar\u0131 1,92 \u00fczerinden yan\u0131ltt\u0131. Bug\u00fcn de yan\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131klad\u0131. Yetinmedi devam etti: \u201cErken konu\u015fmamak laz\u0131mm\u0131\u015f.\u201d Ha \u015funu bileydin diyece\u011fim ama, toplant\u0131daki performansa bak\u0131l\u0131rsa ders almam\u0131\u015f, halen devam ediyor.<\/p><div class=\"bilge-content-2\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-2616262272\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"1818807385\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p>Bize de erdemli masallar dinlemek d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcyor. Sonu\u00e7 mu? G\u00f6kten \u00fc\u00e7 elma d\u00fc\u015fm\u00fc\u015f. Biri \u00e7ocu\u011funa, biri \u00e7ocu\u011funa, biri \u00e7ocu\u011funa. Halk demi\u015f ki: E bizimki nerede? \u0130ktidar senfoni orkestras\u0131 hayk\u0131rm\u0131\u015f: Yand\u0131, bitti, k\u00fcl oldu. Haydi iyi geceler!<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"mailto:cetinunsalan@yahoo.com\">cetinunsalan@yahoo.com<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Bir masumu idam ettikten sonra, hakim yan\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6ylerse ne olur? Leblebi \u00e7ekirdek gibi insanlar\u0131n birbirini \u00f6ld\u00fcrd\u00fc\u011f\u00fc bu \u00fclkede, cinayeti i\u015fleyen \u00e7\u0131k\u0131p \u2018pardon\u2019 diyebilir mi? Bu&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":5,"featured_media":14653,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[904,808,801],"class_list":["post-29466","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-tumyazilar","tag-cetin-unsalan-yazilari","tag-ekonomi-makaleleri","tag-ekonomi-yazarlari-listesi"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/29466","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/5"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=29466"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/29466\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/14653"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=29466"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=29466"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=29466"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}