{"id":29238,"date":"2013-12-16T10:17:07","date_gmt":"2013-12-16T08:17:07","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/?p=29238"},"modified":"2013-12-16T10:17:07","modified_gmt":"2013-12-16T08:17:07","slug":"fed-stresi-altinda-bist-100-ve-dolartl","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/i\/fed-stresi-altinda-bist-100-ve-dolartl\/","title":{"rendered":"Fed stresi alt\u0131nda B\u0130ST 100 ve Dolar\/TL"},"content":{"rendered":"<p style=\"text-align: justify\"><b>Bu hafta stres katsay\u0131m\u0131z y\u00fckselecek<\/b><\/p><div class=\"bilge-yaziust\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-2850991745\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"9580705384\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify\">Fed \u00f6ncesi piyasalar y\u00f6n bulmakta zorlan\u0131yor. Bu haftaya \u00c7in\u2019den gelen zay\u0131f HSBC PMI verisi ile negatif bir ba\u015flang\u0131\u00e7 yap\u0131yoruz. Bu sabah Asya\u2019da endeksler genel olarak ekside. B\u0130ST 100\u2019\u00fcn de bu tablo alt\u0131nda g\u00fcne 73,500 civar\u0131ndan bir ba\u015flang\u0131\u00e7 yapmas\u0131 beklenebilir. Endeksin hafta i\u00e7inde 73,000\u2019e kadar gerilemenin ard\u0131ndan haftay\u0131 74,000 \u00fczerinde kapatmas\u0131 olumlu olsa da, ge\u00e7ti\u011fimiz haftaki son yorumlar\u0131m\u0131zda dile getirdi\u011fimiz gibi Fed belirsizli\u011fi \u00f6ncesi al\u0131m yapman\u0131n riskli olaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyoruz. Yaln\u0131z \u00e7ar\u015famba ak\u015fam\u0131 \u00f6ncesi d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fler sertle\u015fir ve endeks daha da ucuzlayacak olur ise portf\u00f6ylerin s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 bir miktar\u0131 ile Fed riski sat\u0131n al\u0131nabilir. Bu konudaki g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015f\u00fcm\u00fcz\u00fc ilerleyen g\u00fcnlerde payla\u015faca\u011f\u0131z. Fed \u00f6ncesinde 74,500\u2019\u00fcn \u00f6nemli bir diren\u00e7 olaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ve endeksin bu seviye \u00fczerinde kapan\u0131\u015f yapabilmek i\u00e7in gerekli hikayeyi bulmakta zorlanaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyoruz. A\u015fa\u011f\u0131da ise 73,500 ara destek olmakla birlikte 73,000 ve alt\u0131nda 71,850 \u00f6nemli desteklerimiz olacak. A\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc bask\u0131lar\u0131n hacimsiz de olsa endeksi bu seviyelere itebilece\u011fini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyoruz.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify\"><b>Dolar\/TL stresli bir \u015fekilde Fed\u2019i bekliyor<\/b><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify\">Dolar\/TL 2,04 civar\u0131ndaki seyrini devam ettiriyor. Bug\u00fcn TCMB\u2019nin ek parasal s\u0131k\u0131la\u015ft\u0131rma (EPS) g\u00fcnlerinden birini daha ya\u015fayaca\u011f\u0131z. TCMB bug\u00fcn 100 milyon dolar sat\u0131\u015f yapacak. Bu uygulamalar\u0131n normalde kuru a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 do\u011fru bask\u0131lamas\u0131 beklense de kurun \u015fuan i\u00e7in d\u0131\u015far\u0131daki beklentiler eve geli\u015fmelere daha fazla \u00f6nem verdi\u011fini s\u00f6yleyebiliriz. Sadece d\u0131\u015far\u0131dan da EPS\u2019yi destekleyecek bir ak\u0131m olursa TL\u2019nin daha h\u0131zl\u0131 g\u00fc\u00e7lenebilece\u011fini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyoruz. Aksi durumda etki s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 kalabilir. Teknik olarak bu hafta 2,04 ve \u00fczerinde 2,06 diren\u00e7leri zorlanmaya devam edilebilir. \u00d6zellikle \u00e7ar\u015famba gecesi Fed karar\u0131 sonras\u0131 ba\u015flayacak hareket y\u0131lsonu kapan\u0131\u015f\u0131 i\u00e7in \u00f6nemli olacakt\u0131r. \u00c7ar\u015famba sonras\u0131 kur hala 2,04\u2019\u00fcn alt\u0131nda olur ise y\u0131lsonu kapan\u0131\u015f\u0131 i\u00e7in 2,00 ve belki de alt\u0131ndaki rakamlar g\u00fcndeme gelebilir. 2,06 direnci a\u015f\u0131lm\u0131\u015f olur ise k\u0131sa vadeli de olsa 2,11 seviyesi g\u00fcndeme gelebilir.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify\"><b>(16.12.2013)<\/b><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify\"><b>\u00dczeyir DO\u011eAN<\/b><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Bu hafta stres katsay\u0131m\u0131z y\u00fckselecek Fed \u00f6ncesi piyasalar y\u00f6n bulmakta zorlan\u0131yor. Bu haftaya \u00c7in\u2019den gelen zay\u0131f HSBC PMI verisi ile negatif bir ba\u015flang\u0131\u00e7 yap\u0131yoruz. Bu&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":28623,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-29238","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-tumyazilar"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/29238","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=29238"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/29238\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/28623"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=29238"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=29238"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=29238"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}