{"id":29223,"date":"2013-12-13T09:59:38","date_gmt":"2013-12-13T07:59:38","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/?p=29223"},"modified":"2013-12-13T09:59:38","modified_gmt":"2013-12-13T07:59:38","slug":"fed-oncesi-bist-100-ve-dolartl","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/i\/fed-oncesi-bist-100-ve-dolartl\/","title":{"rendered":"Fed \u00f6ncesi B\u0130ST 100 ve Dolar\/TL"},"content":{"rendered":"<p style=\"text-align: justify\"><b>Fed stresi borsalar\u0131 bask\u0131l\u0131yor<\/b><\/p><div class=\"bilge-yaziust\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-244776961\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"9580705384\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify\">D\u00fcnk\u00fc yorumumuzda da ifade etti\u011fimiz gibi piyasalar\u0131n ana g\u00fcndemi hala Fed\u2019in tahvil al\u0131m\u0131n\u0131 azalt\u0131p azaltmayaca\u011f\u0131 konusu. Bu ayki Fed toplant\u0131s\u0131 18 aral\u0131k \u00c7ar\u015famba g\u00fcn\u00fc sonlanacak. \u00d6nceki haftalara g\u00f6re Fed\u2019in bu hamleyi ba\u015flatmas\u0131n\u0131 bekleyenlerin say\u0131s\u0131nda art\u0131\u015f olsa da hen\u00fcz Fed\u2019in bu ay\u0131 bo\u015f ge\u00e7ece\u011fini bekleyenlerin say\u0131s\u0131 \u00e7o\u011funlukta. Buna kar\u015f\u0131n belirsizlik piyasalarda bask\u0131 olu\u015fturmaya devam ediyor. Muhtemelen \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki hafta bu konu netle\u015fene kadar da bu stresi izlemeye devam edece\u011fiz. B\u0130ST 100 ise d\u00fcn hafta ba\u015f\u0131nda 73,500\/74,000 aras\u0131nda olu\u015fan bo\u015flu\u011fu doldurdu. Kapan\u0131\u015f ise 73,071\u2019den ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti. Kapan\u0131\u015f\u0131n 73,500 alt\u0131nda olmas\u0131 olumsuz bir tablo olu\u015fturdu. Bug\u00fcn g\u00fcn i\u00e7inde yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc hareketlerde 73,500 izleyece\u011fimiz ilk \u00f6nemli diren\u00e7 olacak. G\u00fcn i\u00e7inde bu seviyelere olacak y\u00fckseli\u015flere temkinli yakla\u015fmak gerekti\u011fini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyoruz. A\u015fa\u011f\u0131da ise 73,000 alt\u0131na sarkmalar g\u00f6rebiliriz. 73,000 alt\u0131ndaki bir sonraki \u00f6nemli deste\u011fimiz ise 71,850\u2019de bulunuyor. G\u00fcn i\u00e7inde 73,000 alt\u0131na sarkmalar uzun s\u00fcrecek olur ise bu seviyeler g\u00fcndeme gelebilir. \u00d6zetle \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki hafta Fed belirsizli\u011fi kalkana kadar y\u00fckseli\u015flerde al\u0131m yapmak i\u00e7in aceleci olunmamal\u0131.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify\"><b>Dolar\/TL\u2019de Fed \u00f6ncesi kal\u0131c\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f ihtimali d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck \u00a0<\/b><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify\">Dolar\/TL d\u00fcnk\u00fc y\u00fckseli\u015fin ard\u0131ndan 2,04 direncinin hemen \u00fczerinde beklemeye ge\u00e7ti. Bu b\u00f6lge uzun s\u00fcredir bahsetti\u011fimiz gibi kurda en \u00f6nemli diren\u00e7 b\u00f6lgelerinden biri. \u00d6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki hafta ger\u00e7ekle\u015fecek Fed toplant\u0131s\u0131 \u00f6ncesinde kurdaki stres devam edebilir. Bu stres kurun 2,04 \u00fczerinde d\u00fcn de ifade etti\u011fimiz 2,06 seviyesine kadar y\u00fckselmesine neden olabilir. Kur d\u00fcn de ifade etti\u011fimiz gibi TCMB\u2019nin a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc beklenti y\u00f6netimi \u00e7abalar\u0131na ra\u011fmen gev\u015femeye \u00e7ok niyeti g\u00f6r\u00fcnm\u00fcyor. TCMB\u2019nin s\u00f6zl\u00fc ve fiili m\u00fcdahalelerinin Fed stresi bitmeden \u00e7ok fazla etkili olamayaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyoruz. Ancak Fed 18 Aral\u0131k\u2019ta politika de\u011fi\u015fikli\u011fi yapmaz ise y\u0131l sonuna kadar kurda sert bir d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f s\u00fcreci ba\u015flayabilir. Aksi durumda ise kurda 2,04 yeni k\u0131sa vadeli destek konumuna ge\u00e7ecektir.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify\"><b>(13.12.2013)<\/b><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify\"><b>\u00dczeyir DO\u011eAN<\/b><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Fed stresi borsalar\u0131 bask\u0131l\u0131yor D\u00fcnk\u00fc yorumumuzda da ifade etti\u011fimiz gibi piyasalar\u0131n ana g\u00fcndemi hala Fed\u2019in tahvil al\u0131m\u0131n\u0131 azalt\u0131p azaltmayaca\u011f\u0131 konusu. Bu ayki Fed toplant\u0131s\u0131 18&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":28623,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-29223","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-tumyazilar"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/29223","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=29223"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/29223\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/28623"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=29223"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=29223"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=29223"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}