{"id":29208,"date":"2013-12-12T08:36:06","date_gmt":"2013-12-12T06:36:06","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/?p=29208"},"modified":"2013-12-12T08:36:23","modified_gmt":"2013-12-12T06:36:23","slug":"seans-oncesi-fed-stresi-basladi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/i\/seans-oncesi-fed-stresi-basladi\/","title":{"rendered":"Seans \u00d6ncesi&#8230; FED stresi Ba\u015flad\u0131&#8230;"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><a href=\"http:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/12\/endeks-12-Aralik-2013.png\" data-wpel-link=\"internal\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-29209\" alt=\"endeks-12-Aralik-2013\" src=\"http:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/12\/endeks-12-Aralik-2013.png\" width=\"505\" height=\"297\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/12\/endeks-12-Aralik-2013.png 505w, https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/12\/endeks-12-Aralik-2013-300x176.png 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 505px) 100vw, 505px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>D\u00fcn borsada g\u00fcn i\u00e7i volatilite \u00e7ok y\u00fcksekti. ABD\u2019den Demokrat ve Cumhuriyet\u00e7iler aras\u0131nda b\u00fct\u00e7e konusunda anla\u015fmaya var\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6n\u00fcndeki haberler piyasalara al\u0131m getirdi. Ayr\u0131ca Merkez Bankas\u0131 Ba\u015fkan\u0131 say\u0131n Erdem Ba\u015f\u00e7\u0131\u2019n\u0131n d\u00fcn Gaziantep\u2019te yapm\u0131\u015f oldu\u011fu toplant\u0131da, banka k\u00e2rlar\u0131n\u0131 olumlu etkileyebilecek (fonlama maliyetini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcrecek) baz\u0131 kararlar\u0131n al\u0131nabilece\u011fine ili\u015fkin konu\u015fmas\u0131 banka hisselerine al\u0131m getirmi\u015fti. Fakat daha sonra hava de\u011fi\u015fti. Tahminen, PPK toplant\u0131s\u0131nda Merkez Bankas\u0131 haftal\u0131k repo ihalelerinde verdi\u011fi y\u00fczde 4.50 maliyetli fonlama miktar\u0131n\u0131 bankalar\u0131n b\u00fcy\u00fckl\u00fcklerine g\u00f6re yeniden d\u00fczenleyecek olup, b\u00fcy\u00fck bankalar bu 10 milyar TL&#8217;den, b\u00fcy\u00fckl\u00fcklerine g\u00f6re daha y\u00fcksek pay alacaklar.<\/p><div class=\"bilge-yaziust\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-3994694477\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"9580705384\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p>ABD borsalar\u0131n\u0131n a\u00e7\u0131lmas\u0131yla birlikte, ABD\u2019deki b\u00fct\u00e7e anla\u015fmas\u0131n\u0131n FED\u2019in tahvil al\u0131m\u0131n\u0131 azaltma olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 art\u0131rd\u0131\u011f\u0131 i\u00e7in, ABD borsalar\u0131nda h\u0131zl\u0131 geri \u00e7ekilme oldu. Bunun \u00fczerine d\u00fcn 75 bine yakla\u015fan BIST-100 endeksi kapan\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131 73.996 seviyesinden yapt\u0131. MSCI geli\u015fmekte olan \u00fclkeler endeksi de d\u00fcn y\u00fczde 0.97 de\u011fer kaybetti. ABD borsas\u0131nda Dow y\u00fczde 0.87 de\u011fer kaybederken, S&amp;P500 endeksi de y\u00fczde 1.13 de\u011fer kayb\u0131na u\u011frad\u0131. Bu d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fte S&amp;P isimli derecelendirme kurulu\u015funun federal harcama kesintilerine dikkat \u00e7ekerek ABD ekonomisi i\u00e7in 2014 b\u00fcy\u00fcme tahminlerini a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nde revize etmesi de etkili oldu.<\/p>\n<p>Sonu\u00e7 olarak ge\u00e7en hafta tar\u0131m d\u0131\u015f\u0131 istihdam verisinin a\u00e7\u0131klanmas\u0131yla rahatlayan piyasalarda art\u0131k tahvil azalt\u0131m olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n y\u00fczde 50 oldu\u011fu belirtiliyor. En az\u0131ndan PIMCO isimli d\u00fcnyan\u0131n en b\u00fcy\u00fck tahvil-bono fonunu y\u00f6neten \u015firket CEO\u2019su Muhammed EL Erian da b\u00f6yle s\u00f6yl\u00fcyor. \u015eu an bu beklenti fiyatlan\u0131yor ve bu sabah Asya cephesinde de genel olarak d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fler var. Sadece \u00c7in y\u00fczde 0.20 art\u0131da bulunurken, Japonya, Hindistan, G.Kore ve Hong Kong borsalar\u0131 geri \u00e7ekiliyor.<\/p>\n<p>Bu a\u015famada teknik bir de\u011ferlendirme yapacak olursak, d\u00fcn borsam\u0131zda ger\u00e7ekten al\u0131mlar\u0131n oldu\u011funu ama seans sonuna do\u011fru sat\u0131\u015flar\u0131n artmas\u0131yla, yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc hareketin 74.900 seviyelerindeki diren\u00e7ten d\u00f6nd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc s\u00f6yleyebiliriz. Bug\u00fcn piyasam\u0131z\u0131n d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fle a\u00e7\u0131lmas\u0131 ve yeniden 73.500 \u00fczerinde destek olu\u015fturmaya \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmas\u0131n\u0131 bekleyebiliriz. Son bir iki haftal\u0131k hareketin t\u00fcm\u00fcn\u00fc de\u011ferlendirdi\u011fimizde, asl\u0131nda yukar\u0131 gitmek isteyen bir borsam\u0131z var. Fakat FED karar\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131klanana kadar s\u00fcr\u00fcncemede kalmas\u0131 ve a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 e\u011fimli olmas\u0131 olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 y\u00fcksektir. FED karar\u0131 sonras\u0131nda ise, e\u011fer sadece 5 milyar dolarl\u0131k bir azalt\u0131m olursa, yeniden yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc hareket g\u00f6rebiliriz. 10-15 milyar dolarl\u0131k bir azalt\u0131m ise, piyasada ciddi kaotik bir ortam\u0131n olu\u015fmas\u0131na ve dalga boylar\u0131n\u0131n \u00e7ok artmas\u0131na neden olabilir. Yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar bu dalgal\u0131 g\u00fcnlere haz\u0131r olmal\u0131lar. FED karar\u0131 sonras\u0131ndaki kaotik ortam\u0131n ard\u0131ndan Ocak ay\u0131n\u0131n ortalar\u0131na kadar, yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc bir piyasa bekleyebiliriz ama bu s\u0131rada dip olarak nereleri g\u00f6rece\u011fimizi s\u00f6ylemek zor. \u015eu an i\u00e7in g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc destek 72.000\u2019de bulunuyor. Bu a\u015famada endeksin 74.900 direncini a\u015fmas\u0131 art\u0131k zor. FED karar\u0131ndan \u00f6nce bu diren\u00e7 a\u015f\u0131lmaz. B\u00fcy\u00fck olas\u0131l\u0131kla gelecek hafta \u00e7ar\u015famba g\u00fcn\u00fcne kadar, endeksin yeniden 72.500&#8217;lere do\u011fru geriledi\u011fini g\u00f6rebiliriz. Bu y\u00fczden al\u0131m d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnenler beklemede kalmal\u0131lar. ENdekse duyarl\u0131 ka\u011f\u0131tlarda bulunanlar ise, sat\u0131\u015f yap\u0131p alttan al\u0131m deneyebilirler. Tabi ki bu arada FED&#8217;in tahvil al\u0131m\u0131n\u0131 Aral\u0131k de\u011fil de Ocak ay\u0131na b\u0131rakaca\u011f\u0131na dair beklentiler ve g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fler yo\u011funla\u015f\u0131rsa ya da \u00a0bu beklentileri yaratacak geli\u015fmeler ve haberler olursa, borsalarda bir anda sert yukar\u0131 d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015fler g\u00f6r\u00fclece\u011finden, yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar bu konudaki geli\u015fmeleri izlemeliler.<\/p>\n<p>Tahvil ve bono piyasas\u0131nda 2 y\u0131l vadeli g\u00f6sterge ka\u011f\u0131d\u0131n (TRT071015T12) faizi \u00f6nceki g\u00fcn 9.02 seviyelerine kadar gerilemi\u015fti. D\u00fcn piyasalarda stresin yeniden artmas\u0131yla birlikte yeniden 9.06 seviyesine kadar y\u00fckseldi. G\u00f6sterge faizin bug\u00fcn 9.00-9.30 aras\u0131nda dalgalanmas\u0131n\u0131 bekleyebiliriz.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>D\u00fcn borsada g\u00fcn i\u00e7i volatilite \u00e7ok y\u00fcksekti. ABD\u2019den Demokrat ve Cumhuriyet\u00e7iler aras\u0131nda b\u00fct\u00e7e konusunda anla\u015fmaya var\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6n\u00fcndeki haberler piyasalara al\u0131m getirdi. Ayr\u0131ca Merkez Bankas\u0131 Ba\u015fkan\u0131&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":102,"featured_media":24758,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-29208","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-tumyazilar"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/29208","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/102"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=29208"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/29208\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/24758"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=29208"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=29208"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=29208"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}