{"id":29162,"date":"2013-12-06T08:28:45","date_gmt":"2013-12-06T06:28:45","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/?p=29162"},"modified":"2013-12-06T08:29:15","modified_gmt":"2013-12-06T06:29:15","slug":"seans-oncesi-bugun-veri-sonrasi-cok-dalgali-olabilir","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/i\/seans-oncesi-bugun-veri-sonrasi-cok-dalgali-olabilir\/","title":{"rendered":"Seans \u00d6ncesi&#8230; Bug\u00fcn Veri Sonras\u0131 \u00c7ok Dalgal\u0131 Olabilir&#8230;"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><a href=\"http:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/12\/endeks-6-Aralik-2013.png\" data-wpel-link=\"internal\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-29163\" alt=\"endeks-6-Aralik-2013\" src=\"http:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/12\/endeks-6-Aralik-2013.png\" width=\"524\" height=\"320\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/12\/endeks-6-Aralik-2013.png 524w, https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/12\/endeks-6-Aralik-2013-300x183.png 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 524px) 100vw, 524px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>D\u00fcn piyasalarda \u00f6nemli geli\u015fmeler vard\u0131. ABD\u2019den b\u00fcy\u00fcme ve haftal\u0131k i\u015fsizlik ba\u015fvurular\u0131 verileri g\u00fcndemin ilk s\u0131ras\u0131n\u0131 olu\u015ftururken, Avrupa Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n faiz karar\u0131 ve Ba\u015fkan Draghi\u2019nin konu\u015fmas\u0131 di\u011fer \u00f6nemli g\u00fcndem maddesiydi. Borsa g\u00fcne d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fle ba\u015flad\u0131ktan sonra 72.500\u2019\u00fc destek yaparak, saat 15:30\u2019u beklemeye ba\u015flad\u0131. ABD\u2019de 3. \u00c7eyrekte y\u00fczde 3.2 b\u00fcy\u00fcme beklenirken, 3.6 olarak a\u00e7\u0131kland\u0131. Ayr\u0131ca, haftal\u0131k i\u015fsizlik ba\u015fvurular\u0131n\u0131n 325 bin olmas\u0131 beklenirken, 298 bin oldu. Beklentilerden \u00e7ok olumlu gelen bu verilerden sonra BIST-100 endeksi sert gerileme yapt\u0131 ama veriler sonras\u0131nda bir \u00f6nceki g\u00fcn g\u00f6r\u00fclen 72 bin seviyesine kadar dahi gerilemedi. Seans sonuna do\u011fru al\u0131mlar yo\u011funla\u015ft\u0131 ve endeks 72.250 seviyelerinden 73 bin seviyesine kadar sert y\u00fckseldi. Fakat o s\u0131rada Dow ve S&amp;P endeksinde gerileme ba\u015flay\u0131nca yeniden sat\u0131\u015flar\u0131n geldi\u011fini g\u00f6rd\u00fck. Tahminen bug\u00fcn a\u00e7\u0131klanacak tar\u0131m d\u0131\u015f\u0131 istihdam verisi (TD\u0130) riskini almak istemeyenler sat\u0131\u015fa ge\u00e7ti ve endeks 72 binin hemen alt\u0131nda kapan\u0131\u015f yapt\u0131. Bu arada \u015funu da vurgulamam\u0131z gerekiyor. Seans kapan\u0131\u015f\u0131ndaki fiyatlar, kapan\u0131\u015ftan sadece 10 dakika \u00f6nceki fiyatlar\u0131n belirgin \u015fekilde alt\u0131nda oldu. Bug\u00fcn, yine saat 15:30\u2019a kadar borsada \u00e7ok zay\u0131f bir seyir g\u00f6rebiliriz. Fakat TD\u0130 verisi beklentilerden \u00e7ok iyi gelse bile endeksin 70 bin alt\u0131nda kapan\u0131\u015f olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 azald\u0131. D\u00fcn FED \u00fcyesi Denis Lockhart\u2019\u0131n konu\u015fmas\u0131 da, adeta \u201cBu toplant\u0131da tahvil azalt\u0131m\u0131 konu\u015fulacak ama hemen ba\u015flanmaz\u201d mealindeydi. Ayr\u0131ca FED\u2019in tahvil azalt\u0131m\u0131n\u0131n nas\u0131l yap\u0131laca\u011f\u0131na ili\u015fkin yol haritas\u0131 vererek \u015feffafl\u0131k sa\u011flamas\u0131 gerekti\u011fini de vurgulad\u0131. Bug\u00fcn, TD\u0130 verisi a\u00e7\u0131kland\u0131ktan sonra borsan\u0131n d\u00f6rt g\u00fcnd\u00fcr s\u00fcrd\u00fcrd\u00fc\u011f\u00fc d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fc daha da h\u0131zland\u0131rarak s\u00fcrd\u00fcrmesini beklemek yan\u0131lt\u0131c\u0131 olabilir. Veri geldikten sonra sert hareketler olabilir ama kal\u0131c\u0131 olur mu? Sorusu daha \u00f6nemlidir. Teknik olarak 70 bin seviyesindeki deste\u011fin a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 k\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131 olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 zay\u0131flad\u0131. Bu y\u00fczden 70 binin alt\u0131nda kapan\u0131\u015f olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131 s\u00fcrece, hisse pozisyonlar\u0131 korunmal\u0131, ya da endekse duyarl\u0131 ka\u011f\u0131tlarda al\u0131m d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fclmelidir. 18 Aral\u0131k\u2019ta a\u00e7\u0131klanacak FED karar\u0131na kadar piyasan\u0131n \u201ctahvil azalt\u0131m\u0131\u201d olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 satmaya devam etmesini beklemek yan\u0131lt\u0131c\u0131 olur. Gelecek hafta veri a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan ABD sakin olacak. Bu s\u00fcre i\u00e7inde di\u011fer FED \u00fcyeleri pazartesi g\u00fcn\u00fc konu\u015fmalar yapacaklar. Dolay\u0131s\u0131yla bug\u00fcn endeks belki 71 bin veya alt\u0131na gerileyebilir ama kapan\u0131\u015fa do\u011fru toparlanma ve y\u00fckseli\u015f g\u00f6r\u00fcrsek \u015fa\u015f\u0131rmamak gerekir. D\u00fcn Dolar\/TL kurundaki sert gerilemeyi de g\u00f6z \u00f6n\u00fcnde bulundurursak, borsan\u0131n en az\u0131ndan gelecek hafta i\u00e7in al\u0131m f\u0131rsat\u0131 verdi\u011fini s\u00f6yleyebiliriz. Bu sabah ABD vadelileri y\u00fczde 0.25 yukar\u0131da bulunurken Asya cephesinde kar\u0131\u015f\u0131k g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm var. BIST-100 endeksi d\u00fcnk\u00fc kapan\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131n \u00fczerinde a\u00e7\u0131l\u0131\u015f yaparak 72 bin \u00fczerinde tutunmaya \u00e7al\u0131\u015facak ve TDI verisini bekleyecektir.<\/p><div class=\"bilge-yaziust\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-1938957660\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"9580705384\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p>Tahvil ve bono piyasas\u0131nda 2 y\u0131l vadeli g\u00f6sterge ka\u011f\u0131d\u0131n (TRT071015T12) faizi d\u00fcn de y\u00fckselmeye devam etti. Y\u00fczde 9.40 seviyeleri g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcrken, 10 y\u0131l vadeli ka\u011f\u0131d\u0131n faizi de 9.60 seviyelerine yakla\u015ft\u0131. ABD\u2019den gelen beklentilerin \u00fczerindeki b\u00fcy\u00fcme verisi ve haftal\u0131k i\u015fsizlik ba\u015fvurular\u0131n\u0131n beklenenden \u00e7ok fazla d\u00fc\u015fmesi, faizi yukar\u0131 \u00e7eken bir etken oldu.\u00a0Tahvilde bug\u00fcn ABD\u2019den Tar\u0131m d\u0131\u015f\u0131 istihdam verisi saat 15:30\u2019da a\u00e7\u0131klanacak. Bu s\u00fcreye kadar faizin gev\u015femesi zor. Fakat veri a\u00e7\u0131kland\u0131ktan sonra y\u00fcksek bir volatilite g\u00f6r\u00fclecektir.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>D\u00fcn piyasalarda \u00f6nemli geli\u015fmeler vard\u0131. ABD\u2019den b\u00fcy\u00fcme ve haftal\u0131k i\u015fsizlik ba\u015fvurular\u0131 verileri g\u00fcndemin ilk s\u0131ras\u0131n\u0131 olu\u015ftururken, Avrupa Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n faiz karar\u0131 ve Ba\u015fkan Draghi\u2019nin konu\u015fmas\u0131&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":102,"featured_media":24758,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-29162","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-tumyazilar"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/29162","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/102"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=29162"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/29162\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/24758"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=29162"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=29162"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=29162"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}