{"id":28832,"date":"2013-11-19T09:22:39","date_gmt":"2013-11-19T07:22:39","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/?p=28832"},"modified":"2013-11-19T09:22:39","modified_gmt":"2013-11-19T07:22:39","slug":"tcmb-oncesi-bist-100-ve-dolartl","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/i\/tcmb-oncesi-bist-100-ve-dolartl\/","title":{"rendered":"TCMB \u00f6ncesi B\u0130ST 100 ve Dolar\/TL"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><strong>B\u0130ST 100\u2019de bug\u00fcn dinlenme ve g\u00fcn i\u00e7i s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 bir d\u00fczeltme g\u00f6r\u00fclebilir<\/strong><\/p><div class=\"bilge-yaziust\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-2346417711\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"9580705384\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify\">B\u0130ST 100 d\u00fcnk\u00fc y\u00fckseli\u015fiyle birlikte d\u00f6rt g\u00fcnl\u00fck s\u00fcre i\u00e7inde dip seviyelerine g\u00f6re yakla\u015f\u0131k 5 bin puanl\u0131k bir \u00e7\u0131k\u0131\u015f ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirdi. Yellen\u2019in varl\u0131k al\u0131m program\u0131n\u0131n devam edece\u011fi mesaj\u0131n\u0131 vermesi rakamlardan da g\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc\u011f\u00fc B\u0130ST \u00fczerinde olduk\u00e7a etkili oldu. Bu alg\u0131y\u0131 de\u011fi\u015ftirecek \u00f6nemli bir haber ya da veri ak\u0131\u015f\u0131 olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131 s\u00fcrece de bu olumlu etkinin devam etmesi beklenebilir. Fakat bu borsa art\u0131k d\u00fc\u015fmez \u015feklinde yorumlanmamal\u0131d\u0131r. \u00a0Bu d\u00f6rt g\u00fcndeki sert y\u00fckseli\u015fin ard\u0131ndan bug\u00fcn endeks bir s\u00fcre soluklanmay\u0131 tercih edebilir. Bu esnada belki bir miktar geri \u00e7ekilme de g\u00f6rebiliriz. Orta vadede yeniden 73,500 alt\u0131na inilmedi\u011fi s\u00fcrece olacak bu sat\u0131\u015flar\u0131 k\u0131sa vadeli d\u00fczeltmeler olarak takip etmek ediyor olaca\u011f\u0131z. Daha k\u0131sa vadede ise daha \u00f6ncede bahsetti\u011fimiz s\u0131ras\u0131yla 74,850 ve 74,00 civar\u0131nda bulunan 50 ve 100 g\u00fcnl\u00fck hareketli ortalamalar g\u00fcn i\u00e7i destek olarak takip edilebilir. Haber ak\u0131\u015f\u0131 olaraksa bug\u00fcn i\u00e7eride TCMB a\u00e7\u0131klamalar\u0131 \u00f6n plana \u00e7\u0131kacak. TCMB ek parasal s\u0131k\u0131la\u015ft\u0131rma vurgusunu art\u0131racak olur ise negatif etki g\u00f6rebiliriz. Aksi durumda yani ek s\u0131k\u0131la\u015ft\u0131rma vurgusu d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck tonda kal\u0131r ve d\u00f6viz munzamlar\u0131 s\u00fcrpriz bir kararla d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcr\u00fclecek olursa borsa ve TL taraf\u0131nda olumlu bir tablo olu\u015fabilir. Bu durumda yukar\u0131da 76,200 ara diren\u00e7 ve 76,750 en g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc diren\u00e7 seviyesi olarak takip edilebilir.<\/p>\n<p><strong>TCMB Dolar\/TL\u2019deki Yellen etkisini destekleyecek mi?<\/strong><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify\">Yellen sonras\u0131 dolar\/TL\u2019de ba\u015flayan d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f devam ediyor. Bu d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn devam edip etmeyece\u011fi bug\u00fcn TCMB\u2019den gelen a\u00e7\u0131klamalara ba\u011fl\u0131 olacak. TCMB y\u0131lsonu kur tahminlerinde \u0131srarc\u0131 olacak ve bu y\u00f6nde bizler i\u00e7in s\u00fcrpriz say\u0131lacak ad\u0131mlar atacak olur ise kurdaki bu d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f devam edebilir. Son d\u00f6nemde TCMB\u2019den gelen a\u00e7\u0131klamalar\u0131n a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc etkisinin s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 oldu\u011funu g\u00f6rm\u00fc\u015ft\u00fck. Yellen\u2019in a\u00e7\u0131klamalar\u0131 sonras\u0131 olu\u015fan tablo TCMB\u2019nin a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc etki olu\u015fturabilecek a\u00e7\u0131klamalar\u0131n\u0131n daha iyi fiyatlanmas\u0131n\u0131 sa\u011flayabilir. Bu nedenle TCMB e\u011fer kurda a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc bir hareket istiyorsa bu toplant\u0131dan daha iyi bir ortam bulamayabilir. Bu nedenle kurlar \u00fczerinde etkisi olacak s\u00fcrpriz bir karar g\u00f6rme olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131z da g\u00f6z ard\u0131 edilmemelidir. Bu nedenle bug\u00fcn en az\u0131ndan TCMB kararlar\u0131 esnas\u0131nda riskleri y\u00f6netilebilir boyutlarda tutmakta ve e\u011fer \u00e7ok y\u00fcksek kald\u0131ra\u00e7lar kullan\u0131l\u0131yor ise bunu azaltmakta fayda olacakt\u0131r. Teknik olaraksa \u00f6nceki g\u00fcnlerde de ifade eti\u011fimiz 2,00-2,04 band\u0131n\u0131 takip ediyor olaca\u011f\u0131z.<\/p>\n<p><b>(19.11.2013)<\/b><\/p>\n<p><b>\u00dczeyir DO\u011eAN<\/b><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>B\u0130ST 100\u2019de bug\u00fcn dinlenme ve g\u00fcn i\u00e7i s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 bir d\u00fczeltme g\u00f6r\u00fclebilir B\u0130ST 100 d\u00fcnk\u00fc y\u00fckseli\u015fiyle birlikte d\u00f6rt g\u00fcnl\u00fck s\u00fcre i\u00e7inde dip seviyelerine g\u00f6re yakla\u015f\u0131k 5&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":28623,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-28832","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-tumyazilar"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/28832","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=28832"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/28832\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/28623"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=28832"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=28832"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=28832"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}