{"id":28771,"date":"2013-11-15T15:14:45","date_gmt":"2013-11-15T13:14:45","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/?p=28771"},"modified":"2013-11-15T15:14:45","modified_gmt":"2013-11-15T13:14:45","slug":"tcmb-beklenti-anketi-aciklandi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/i\/tcmb-beklenti-anketi-aciklandi\/","title":{"rendered":"TCMB Beklenti Anketi A\u00e7\u0131kland\u0131"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>T\u00fcrkiye Cumhuriyet Merkez Bankas\u0131&#8217;n\u0131n kas\u0131m ay\u0131 Beklenti Anketi&#8217;nde, cari y\u0131l sonu t\u00fcketici enflasyonu T\u00dcFE beklentisi y\u00fczde 7,71 olarak ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti.<\/p><div class=\"bilge-yaziust\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-1688190493\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"9580705384\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p>TCMB&#8217;nin finansal ve reel sekt\u00f6rde karar al\u0131c\u0131 ve uzman ki\u015filer ile profesyoneller ve yabanc\u0131 finansal kurulu\u015flar\u0131n uzmanlar\u0131 aras\u0131ndan se\u00e7ilen 84 kat\u0131l\u0131mc\u0131yla ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirilen 2013 y\u0131l\u0131 Kas\u0131m ay\u0131 Beklenti Anketi yay\u0131mland\u0131.<\/p>\n<p>Ankete g\u00f6re, 2013 y\u0131l\u0131 kas\u0131m ay\u0131 i\u00e7in t\u00fcketici enflasyonu (T\u00dcFE) beklentisi bir \u00f6nceki anket d\u00f6neminde y\u00fczde 0,70 iken, bu anket d\u00f6neminde y\u00fczde 0,59 oldu. Aral\u0131k ay\u0131 i\u00e7in T\u00dcFE beklentisi ayn\u0131 anket d\u00f6nemlerinde s\u0131ras\u0131yla y\u00fczde 0,45 ve 0,36 oldu. 2014 y\u0131l\u0131 ocak ay\u0131 T\u00dcFE beklentisi bu anket d\u00f6neminde y\u00fczde 0,73 olarak ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti.<\/p>\n<p>Cari y\u0131l sonu T\u00dcFE beklentisi, bir \u00f6nceki anket d\u00f6neminde y\u00fczde 7,39 iken, bu anket d\u00f6neminde y\u00fczde 7,71 oldu. Bu anket d\u00f6neminde, 12 ay ve 24 ay sonras\u0131 T\u00dcFE beklentileri s\u0131ras\u0131yla y\u00fczde 6,74 ve y\u00fczde 6,28 oldu.<\/p>\n<p>2013 y\u0131l\u0131 kas\u0131m ay\u0131 anket d\u00f6neminde, kat\u0131l\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n 12 ay sonras\u0131na ili\u015fkin olas\u0131l\u0131k tahminleri de\u011ferlendirildi\u011finde, T\u00dcFE&#8217;nin ortalama olarak y\u00fczde 20,2 olas\u0131l\u0131kla y\u00fczde 6,00-6,49 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, y\u00fczde 26,5 olas\u0131l\u0131kla y\u00fczde 6,50-6,99 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, y\u00fczde 22,4 olas\u0131l\u0131kla y\u00fczde 7,00-7,49 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda art\u0131\u015f g\u00f6sterece\u011fi \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc.<\/p>\n<p>Ayn\u0131 anket d\u00f6neminde nokta tahminlere g\u00f6re ise, kat\u0131l\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n y\u00fczde 19,5&#8217;inin 12 ay sonras\u0131 T\u00dcFE enflasyonu beklentilerinin y\u00fczde 6,00-6,49 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, y\u00fczde 32,5&#8217;inin y\u00fczde 6,50-6,99 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, y\u00fczde 29,9&#8217;unun ise y\u00fczde 7,00-7,49 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda oldu\u011fu g\u00f6zlendi.<\/p>\n<p>2013 y\u0131l\u0131 kas\u0131m ay\u0131 anket d\u00f6neminde, kat\u0131l\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n 24 ay sonras\u0131na ili\u015fkin olas\u0131l\u0131k tahminleri de\u011ferlendirildi\u011finde, T\u00dcFE&#8217;nin ortalama olarak y\u00fczde 15,6 olas\u0131l\u0131kla y\u00fczde 4,50-5,49 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, y\u00fczde 40 olas\u0131l\u0131kla y\u00fczde 5,50-6,49 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, y\u00fczde 35,6 olas\u0131l\u0131kla y\u00fczde 6,50-7,49 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda art\u0131\u015f g\u00f6sterece\u011fi \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc.<\/p>\n<p>Ayn\u0131 anket d\u00f6neminde nokta tahminlere g\u00f6re 24 ay sonras\u0131 T\u00dcFE enflasyonu beklentileri de\u011ferlendirildi\u011finde, kat\u0131l\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n y\u00fczde 49,3&#8217;\u00fcn\u00fcn beklentilerinin y\u00fczde 5,50-6,49 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, y\u00fczde 34,7&#8217;sinin beklentilerinin ise y\u00fczde 6,50-7,49 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda oldu\u011fu g\u00f6zlendi.<\/p><div class=\"bilge-content-1\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-1140115818\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"3167340272\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p><strong>&#8211;\u00a0Faiz\u00a0beklentileri<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>B\u0130ST Repo ve Ters Repo-Pazar\u0131&#8217;nda olu\u015fan cari ay sonu gecelik\u00a0faiz\u00a0oran\u0131 beklentisi bir \u00f6nceki anket d\u00f6neminde y\u00fczde 6,38 iken, bu anket d\u00f6neminde y\u00fczde 6,59 oldu.\u00a0TCMB\u00a0a\u011f\u0131rl\u0131kl\u0131 ortalama fonlama maliyeti beklentisi ise ayn\u0131 anket d\u00f6nemlerinde s\u0131ras\u0131yla y\u00fczde 6,31 ve y\u00fczde 6,57 olarak ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti.<\/p>\n<p>2013 y\u0131l\u0131 kas\u0131m ay\u0131 anket d\u00f6neminde, vadesine \u00fc\u00e7 ay ya da \u00fc\u00e7 aya yak\u0131n s\u00fcre kalan Devlet \u0130\u00e7 Bor\u00e7lanma Senetleri&#8217;nin (D\u0130BS) y\u0131ll\u0131k bile\u015fik\u00a0faiz\u00a0oran\u0131 beklentileri bir \u00f6nceki anket d\u00f6nemine g\u00f6re artarak, cari ay ve 1, 3, 6, 12, 24 ay sonras\u0131 i\u00e7in s\u0131ras\u0131yla y\u00fczde 7,69, 7,66, 7,75, 7,81, 7,84 ve 7,79 oldu.<\/p>\n<p>Vadesine be\u015f y\u0131l ya da be\u015f y\u0131la yak\u0131n s\u00fcre kalan D\u0130BS&#8217;lerin 12 ay sonras\u0131 ikincil piyasa y\u0131ll\u0131k bile\u015fik\u00a0faiz\u00a0oran\u0131 beklentisi bir \u00f6nceki anket d\u00f6neminde y\u00fczde 8,66 iken, bu anket d\u00f6neminde y\u00fczde 8,86&#8217;ya y\u00fckseldi. Vadesine on y\u0131l ya da on y\u0131la yak\u0131n s\u00fcre kalan D\u0130BS&#8217;lerin 12 ay sonras\u0131 ikincil piyasa y\u0131ll\u0131k bile\u015fik\u00a0faiz\u00a0oran\u0131 beklentisi ise ayn\u0131 anket d\u00f6nemlerinde s\u0131ras\u0131yla y\u00fczde 9,04 ve y\u00fczde 9,14 olarak ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti.<\/p><div class=\"bilge-content-2\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-1111883288\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"1818807385\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p>TCMB\u00a0bir hafta vadeli repo ihale\u00a0faiz\u00a0oran\u0131 (politika\u00a0faiz\u00a0oran\u0131) cari ay beklentisi, bir \u00f6nceki anket d\u00f6nemine g\u00f6re de\u011fi\u015fmeyerek y\u00fczde 4,50 olarak ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti. Bu anket d\u00f6neminde politikafaiz\u00a0oran\u0131n\u0131n 3, 6, 12 ve 24 ay sonras\u0131 beklentileri s\u0131ras\u0131yla 4,59, 5,07, 4,95 ve 5,38 oldu.<\/p>\n<p><strong>&#8211; D\u00f6viz kuru beklentileri<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>2013 y\u0131l sonu d\u00f6viz kuru (ABD Dolar\u0131\/TL) beklentisi bir \u00f6nceki anket d\u00f6neminde 1,98 TL iken, bu anket d\u00f6neminde 2,02 TL&#8217;ye y\u00fckseldi. 12 ay sonras\u0131 d\u00f6viz kuru beklentisi ise bir \u00f6nceki anket d\u00f6neminde 2,04 TL iken, bu anket d\u00f6neminde 2,08 TL oldu.<\/p>\n<p><strong>&#8211;\u00a0Cari i\u015flemler\u00a0dengesi beklentileri<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>2013 y\u0131l\u0131\u00a0cari i\u015flemler\u00a0a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131 beklentisi, bir \u00f6nceki anket d\u00f6neminde 58,8 milyar dolar iken, bu anket d\u00f6neminde 59,1 milyar dolar oldu. 2014 y\u0131l\u0131\u00a0cari i\u015flemler\u00a0a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131 beklentisi ise ayn\u0131 anket d\u00f6nemlerinde s\u0131ras\u0131yla 61,2 milyar dolar ve 60,1 milyar dolar olarak ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti.<\/p>\n<p><strong>&#8211; GSYH b\u00fcy\u00fcme beklentileri<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>2013 y\u0131l\u0131 GSYH b\u00fcy\u00fcme beklentisi bir \u00f6nceki anket d\u00f6nemine g\u00f6re de\u011fi\u015fmeyerek y\u00fczde 3,5 oldu. 2014 y\u0131l\u0131 GSYH b\u00fcy\u00fcme beklentisi ise bir \u00f6nceki anket d\u00f6neminde y\u00fczde 3,9 iken, bu anket d\u00f6neminde y\u00fczde 3,8 olarak ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>T\u00fcrkiye Cumhuriyet Merkez Bankas\u0131&#8217;n\u0131n kas\u0131m ay\u0131 Beklenti Anketi&#8217;nde, cari y\u0131l sonu t\u00fcketici enflasyonu T\u00dcFE beklentisi y\u00fczde 7,71 olarak ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti. TCMB&#8217;nin finansal ve reel sekt\u00f6rde karar&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":26724,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-28771","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-tumyazilar"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/28771","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=28771"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/28771\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/26724"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=28771"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=28771"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=28771"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}