{"id":28757,"date":"2013-11-15T09:37:08","date_gmt":"2013-11-15T07:37:08","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/?p=28757"},"modified":"2013-11-15T09:37:08","modified_gmt":"2013-11-15T07:37:08","slug":"bist-100-ve-dolartl-yorumum-2","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/i\/bist-100-ve-dolartl-yorumum-2\/","title":{"rendered":"B\u0130ST 100 ve Dolar\/TL Yorumum"},"content":{"rendered":"<p style=\"text-align: justify\"><strong>B\u0130ST\u2019in negatif ayr\u0131\u015fmas\u0131 son bulur mu?<\/strong><\/p><div class=\"bilge-yaziust\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-1193996129\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"9580705384\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify\">Fed ba\u015fkan aday\u0131 Janet Yellen\u2019in \u00f6nceki gece s\u0131zan konu\u015fma metninin ba\u015flatt\u0131\u011f\u0131 olumlu hava d\u00fcn de yapm\u0131\u015f oldu\u011fu sunumla devam etti. Yellen ekonomide kal\u0131c\u0131 bir toparlanma g\u00f6r\u00fclene kadar varl\u0131k al\u0131m\u0131na devam edilece\u011fi mesaj\u0131n\u0131 verdi. Yellen piyasalarda bir balon olu\u015fumu yok derken mevcut politikalar\u0131n\u0131n faydalar\u0131n\u0131n, maliyetinden \u00e7ok daha fazla oldu\u011funu vurgulad\u0131. \u00d6zetle \u00f6zellikle geli\u015fmekte olan piyasalar\u0131 s\u0131k\u0131nt\u0131ya sokan Fed\u2019in tahvil al\u0131m program\u0131nda azalt\u0131ma ba\u015flayaca\u011f\u0131 beklentisi en az\u0131ndan 2014 ilk \u00e7eyre\u011fi sonuna ve belki de daha ileriye \u00f6telenmi\u015f oldu. Bu durum B\u0130ST\u2019in negatif ayr\u0131\u015fmas\u0131n\u0131 sonland\u0131rabilir. Bu habere ra\u011fmen ilerleyen g\u00fcnlerde yeniden negatif ayr\u0131\u015fmalar g\u00f6r\u00fclecek olur ise as\u0131l o zaman endi\u015fe duyulmal\u0131d\u0131r. ECB ve FED\u2019den gelen likidite art\u0131r\u0131c\u0131 s\u00f6ylemlerin yo\u011funla\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131 bu d\u00f6nemde de B\u0130ST toparlanamaz ve yurtd\u0131\u015f\u0131na ayak uyduramaz ise s\u0131k\u0131nt\u0131n\u0131n kayna\u011f\u0131 i\u00e7eride aranmal\u0131d\u0131r. D\u00fcn B\u0130ST 100 uzun bir aradan sonra negatif ayr\u0131\u015fmadan kurtularak, d\u0131\u015far\u0131daki bu olumlu havaya kat\u0131ld\u0131 ve g\u00fcn\u00fc %2,28\u2019lik art\u0131\u015fla 73,974 puandan tamamlad\u0131. Endeksin bug\u00fcne de bir miktar y\u00fckseli\u015fle 74,500 civar\u0131ndan ba\u015flamas\u0131 muhtemel. Endekste en \u00f6nemli diren\u00e7 b\u00f6lgesi de bu b\u00f6lge. S\u0131ras\u0131yla 74,000 ve 74,550\u2019de bulunan 100 ve 50 g\u00fcnl\u00fck ortalamalar takip edece\u011fimiz ilk \u00f6nemli g\u00f6stergeler olacak. Endeksin bug\u00fcn bu ortalamalar civar\u0131nda dalgaland\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6rebiliriz. Olumlu bir a\u00e7\u0131l\u0131\u015f sonras\u0131 kar realizasyonlar\u0131na ba\u011fl\u0131 bir geri \u00e7ekilme ya\u015fanacak olur ise ilk \u00f6nemli deste\u011fin bulundu\u011fu 73,500 civar\u0131ndan k\u0131sa vadeli al\u0131m d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fclebilir. Bu durumda stop loss seviyesi 73,250 alt\u0131 olmal\u0131d\u0131r. Hedef ise ilk olarak 76,250 civar\u0131 olacakt\u0131r.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify\"><strong>TL i\u00e7in toparlanma f\u0131rsat\u0131 do\u011fdu<\/strong><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify\">Fed sonras\u0131 Dolar\/TL\u2019de hafif bir geri \u00e7ekilme ya\u015fand\u0131. Son iki g\u00fcndeki hareketle kur 2,06\u2019dan sadece 2,04\u2019e kadar geriledi. Dolar\/TL\u2019de 2,04 ilk \u00f6nemli destek. bu seviyenin alt\u0131nda 2,00-2,04 band\u0131 yeniden g\u00fcndeme gelecektir. Fed\u2019den gelen olumlu a\u00e7\u0131klamalar devam edecek olursa, kurda y\u0131l\u0131n son b\u00f6l\u00fcm\u00fcnde d\u00fczeltme g\u00f6rebiliriz ve 2,00 TL\u2019nin alt\u0131ndaki rakamlar da g\u00fcndeme gelebilir. K\u0131sa vadede yeniden 2,06 ge\u00e7ilmedi\u011fi s\u00fcrece olas\u0131 y\u00fckseli\u015f denemelerinin sat\u0131\u015f f\u0131rsat\u0131 olarak de\u011ferlendirilebilece\u011fini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyoruz. \u015euan i\u00e7in g\u00fcn i\u00e7inde zaman zaman yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc hareketler olu\u015fabilecek olsa da, son veriler do\u011frultusunda ortaya \u00e7\u0131kan mevcut konjonkt\u00fcrde yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc pozisyonlar\u0131n riskinin daha y\u00fcksek olaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyoruz.<\/p>\n<p><b>(15.11.2013)<\/b><\/p>\n<p><b>\u00dczeyir DO\u011eAN\u00a0<\/b><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>B\u0130ST\u2019in negatif ayr\u0131\u015fmas\u0131 son bulur mu? Fed ba\u015fkan aday\u0131 Janet Yellen\u2019in \u00f6nceki gece s\u0131zan konu\u015fma metninin ba\u015flatt\u0131\u011f\u0131 olumlu hava d\u00fcn de yapm\u0131\u015f oldu\u011fu sunumla devam&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":28623,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-28757","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-tumyazilar"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/28757","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=28757"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/28757\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/28623"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=28757"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=28757"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=28757"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}