{"id":28590,"date":"2013-11-06T08:57:44","date_gmt":"2013-11-06T06:57:44","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/?p=28590"},"modified":"2013-11-06T08:58:08","modified_gmt":"2013-11-06T06:58:08","slug":"enflasyon-faiz-ve-taylor-kurali","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/i\/enflasyon-faiz-ve-taylor-kurali\/","title":{"rendered":"Enflasyon, Faiz ve Taylor Kural\u0131"},"content":{"rendered":"<div>Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n 2013 y\u0131l\u0131 i\u00e7in a\u00e7\u0131klad\u0131\u011f\u0131 enflasyon hedefi y\u00fczde 5 idi. Bu hedefi a\u00e7\u0131klad\u0131ktan k\u0131sa bir s\u00fcre sonra enflasyon tahminini y\u00fczde 5,3 olarak a\u00e7\u0131klad\u0131. Bana sorarsan\u0131z hedef a\u00e7\u0131klayan bir birimin tahmin a\u00e7\u0131klamas\u0131 do\u011fru bir i\u015f de\u011fil. Do\u011fru olan tutmayaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnd\u00fc\u011f\u00fc hedefi de\u011fi\u015ftirmek olmal\u0131. \u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc hedef a\u00e7\u0131klayan kurumun itibar\u0131 hedefe var\u0131\u015f\u0131yla \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcl\u00fcyor, tahmin tutturmas\u0131yla de\u011fil. Y\u0131l\u0131n sonuna az bir zaman kala Merkez Bankas\u0131 tahminini Temmuz ay\u0131nda y\u00fckseltti\u011fi y\u00fczde 6,2\u2019den tekrar y\u00fckselterek y\u00fczde 6,8\u2019e \u00e7\u0131kard\u0131. Piyasan\u0131n enflasyon beklentisi ise y\u00fczde 7,5 &#8211; 8 dolay\u0131nda bulunuyor.<\/div>\n<div><\/div>\n<div>ABD\u2019li iktisat\u00e7\u0131 (Hazine bakanl\u0131\u011f\u0131 da yapt\u0131) John Taylor taraf\u0131ndan geli\u015ftirilmi\u015f olan ve kendi ad\u0131n\u0131 ta\u015f\u0131yan bir para politikas\u0131 kural\u0131 var. Taylor Kural\u0131\u2019na g\u00f6re merkez bankalar\u0131n\u0131n k\u0131sa d\u00f6nem bor\u00e7 verme faiz oranlar\u0131n\u0131, ger\u00e7ekle\u015fen gayrisafi yurti\u00e7i has\u0131la ve potansiyel gayrisafi yurti\u00e7i has\u0131la aras\u0131ndaki fark ile ger\u00e7ekle\u015fen enflasyon ve hedeflenen enflasyon oran\u0131 aras\u0131ndaki sapmalarla ayn\u0131 y\u00f6nde de\u011fi\u015ftirmesi gerekiyor.<\/div>\n<div><\/div>\n<div>Yaz\u0131n\u0131n devam\u0131 i\u00e7in <a href=\"http:\/\/www.mahfiegilmez.com\/2013\/11\/enflasyon-faiz-ve-taylor-kural.html\" target=\"_blank\" data-wpel-link=\"external\" rel=\"nofollow external noopener\"><strong>TIKLAYINIZ.<\/strong><\/a> (Mahfiegilmez.com)<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n 2013 y\u0131l\u0131 i\u00e7in a\u00e7\u0131klad\u0131\u011f\u0131 enflasyon hedefi y\u00fczde 5 idi. Bu hedefi a\u00e7\u0131klad\u0131ktan k\u0131sa bir s\u00fcre sonra enflasyon tahminini y\u00fczde 5,3 olarak a\u00e7\u0131klad\u0131. Bana&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":12,"featured_media":13098,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-28590","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-tumyazilar"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/28590","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/12"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=28590"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/28590\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/13098"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=28590"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=28590"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=28590"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}