{"id":28406,"date":"2013-10-28T09:56:23","date_gmt":"2013-10-28T07:56:23","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/?p=28406"},"modified":"2013-10-28T09:56:46","modified_gmt":"2013-10-28T07:56:46","slug":"dusuk-buyume-bizi-keser-mi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/i\/dusuk-buyume-bizi-keser-mi\/","title":{"rendered":"D\u00fc\u015f\u00fck B\u00fcy\u00fcme Bizi Keser mi?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>T\u00fcrkiye b\u00fcy\u00fcme sendromuna girdi. \u00c7eyrekler baz\u0131nda kesintisiz b\u00fcy\u00fcmeler konu\u015fulurken, d\u00fc\u015fen b\u00fcy\u00fcme oran\u0131 da ba\u015fkalar\u0131yla mukayese edilerek, z\u00fc\u011f\u00fcrt tesellisi pe\u015finde ko\u015fuluyor.<\/p><div class=\"bilge-yaziust\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-4109293406\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"9580705384\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p>Yani siz kansere yakalanm\u0131\u015fs\u0131n\u0131z, ama son safhadaki hastayla kendinizi mukayese edip, tedaviyi reddediyorsunuz. Asl\u0131nda abart\u0131s\u0131z T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin durumu tam da bu benzetmeye uygun.<\/p>\n<p>Bir tarafta D\u00fcnya Bankas\u0131 T\u00fcrkiye Direkt\u00f6r\u00fc Martin Raiser, T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck b\u00fcy\u00fcmeye al\u0131\u015fmas\u0131 gerekti\u011fini a\u00e7\u0131kl\u0131yor. Y\u00fczde 5 ve \u00fczeri b\u00fcy\u00fcme i\u00e7in, daha k\u00f6kl\u00fc reformlar yapmas\u0131 zorunlulu\u011funu dile getiriyor. \u00d6te tarafta Ba\u015fbakan Yard\u0131mc\u0131s\u0131 Ali Babacan, ABD\u2019de bir yandan uyar\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131 s\u0131ralay\u0131p, bir yandan da gitti\u011fi\u00a0 ortama uygun olarak T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin 2023 hedeflerinden bahsederken, aradaki ekonomik ger\u00e7ekle ba\u011flant\u0131y\u0131 kurmuyor.<\/p>\n<p>B\u00fcy\u00fcmeyi tak\u0131nt\u0131 haline getirmi\u015f, ama kalk\u0131nma unsurunu g\u00f6z ard\u0131 etmi\u015f bir T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin ka\u011f\u0131t \u00fczerindeki y\u00fckselmesi, ka\u011f\u0131ttan yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131z bir u\u00e7a\u011f\u0131n g\u00f6ky\u00fcz\u00fcnde s\u00fcz\u00fclmesi gibidir. \u0130\u00e7inde yolcu ta\u015f\u0131yamaz ama belli bir s\u00fcre u\u00e7ar. Sonra da ayn\u0131 h\u0131zla yere \u00e7ak\u0131l\u0131r.<\/p>\n<p>Oysa ne D\u00fcnya Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n bize b\u00fcy\u00fcme i\u00e7in verdi\u011fi tavsiyeler, ne de bu ekonomi y\u00f6netiminin ka\u011f\u0131ttan u\u00e7ak tutkusu i\u00e7inde uygulad\u0131\u011f\u0131 politikalar T\u00fcrkiye\u2019yi hayallerdeki noktaya vard\u0131rmaya yetmeyecektir.<\/p>\n<p>Sadece y\u00fczde 5 b\u00fcy\u00fcyerek bile, mevcut i\u015fsizlerinizi yok say\u0131p, salt \u00fcniversiteden mezun olan 800 bin ki\u015finin 500 binine i\u015f bulabildi\u011finiz bir ortamda, y\u00fcksek katma de\u011ferli \u00fcretim esasl\u0131 bir politika ve buna y\u00f6nelik reformlardan s\u00f6z etmiyorsan\u0131z, bo\u015fa k\u00fcrek \u00e7ekiyor ve ba\u015fkalar\u0131n\u0131 zengin ediyorsunuz demektir.<\/p>\n<p>Hayal edildi\u011fi gibi 2023 y\u0131l\u0131nda ilk 10 ekonominin i\u00e7inde olmak istiyorsak, T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin ortalama y\u00fczde 7-9 makas\u0131nda bir \u00e7\u0131k\u0131\u015f yakalamas\u0131 gerekiyor. Bunun da s\u0131cak para ile oynayarak, finans piyasalar\u0131n\u0131 ekonominin kendisini zannederek ba\u015far\u0131lmas\u0131 m\u00fcmk\u00fcn de\u011fil.<\/p>\n<p>Refah yaratmayan, i\u015fsizli\u011fe \u00e7are olmayan ve d\u0131\u015f ticaret a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131, ba\u011flant\u0131l\u0131 olarak da cari a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131 tersine \u00e7evirmeyen bir yakla\u015f\u0131m\u0131n, toplamda yarataca\u011f\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fcme ile olu\u015fturaca\u011f\u0131 rakam, ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fckl\u00fc\u011f\u00fc de\u011fil, patlamaya haz\u0131rlanan balonun hacmini b\u00fcy\u00fctmek anlam\u0131na gelir.<\/p><div class=\"bilge-content-1\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-3737547075\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"3167340272\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p>Kesinlikle hemfikir oldu\u011fumuz bir konu var ki, d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck b\u00fcy\u00fcme rakamlar\u0131 T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin ihtiyac\u0131n\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131lamaz. Ama mevcut yap\u0131yla da ger\u00e7ek bir y\u00fcksek b\u00fcy\u00fcmenin yakalanmas\u0131 m\u00fcmk\u00fcn olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131 gibi, kronik sorunlar\u0131n a\u011f\u0131rla\u015fmas\u0131ndan ba\u015fka bir anlam ifade etmez.<\/p>\n<p>Birincisi d\u00fcnya ekonomisinde b\u00f6ylesine y\u00fcksek b\u00fcy\u00fcmeleri yakalayacak bir ortam yok, ikincisi de T\u00fcrkiye \u0131srarla yanl\u0131\u015f modelin pe\u015finde ko\u015fuyor. Sonu\u00e7: Millet\u00e7e u\u00e7uruma do\u011fru emin ad\u0131mlarla gidiyoruz. De\u011fi\u015ftirin art\u0131k \u015fu makas\u0131\u2026<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"mailto:cetinunsalan@yahoo.com\">cetinunsalan@yahoo.com<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>T\u00fcrkiye b\u00fcy\u00fcme sendromuna girdi. \u00c7eyrekler baz\u0131nda kesintisiz b\u00fcy\u00fcmeler konu\u015fulurken, d\u00fc\u015fen b\u00fcy\u00fcme oran\u0131 da ba\u015fkalar\u0131yla mukayese edilerek, z\u00fc\u011f\u00fcrt tesellisi pe\u015finde ko\u015fuluyor. Yani siz kansere yakalanm\u0131\u015fs\u0131n\u0131z, ama&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":5,"featured_media":14653,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-28406","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-tumyazilar"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/28406","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/5"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=28406"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/28406\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/14653"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=28406"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=28406"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=28406"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}