{"id":2751,"date":"2011-07-14T09:41:02","date_gmt":"2011-07-14T06:41:02","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/?p=2751"},"modified":"2011-07-14T09:41:21","modified_gmt":"2011-07-14T06:41:21","slug":"yeni-hukumet","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/i\/yeni-hukumet\/","title":{"rendered":"Yeni H\u00fck\u00fcmet"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Son yay\u0131nlanan verileri k\u0131saca g\u00f6relim. May\u0131sta sanayi \u00fcretiminin y\u0131ll\u0131k art\u0131\u015f h\u0131z\u0131 y\u00fczde 8\u2019e geriledi. Takvim ve mevsim etkisi temizlenince Nisana g\u00f6re y\u00fczde 0,3 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f var. \u0130kinci \u00e7eyrekte\u00a0<a name=\"aspx1\" target=\"_blank\"><\/a><span><strong>daha<\/strong><\/span>makul bir b\u00fcy\u00fcme h\u0131z\u0131na i\u015farettir.<\/p><div class=\"bilge-yaziust\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-534557842\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"9580705384\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p>D\u0131\u015f ticaret miktar endekslerini izlemeye de\u011fer buluyorum. Takvim\u00a0<a name=\"aspx1\" target=\"_blank\"><\/a><span><strong>ve<\/strong><\/span>\u00a0mevsim etkisi temizlenince Nisandan may\u0131sa ihracatta y\u00fczde 6 ithalatta y\u00fczde 1,5 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor. Ekonomide yava\u015flaman\u0131n d\u0131\u015f a\u00e7\u0131\u011fa etkisi s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 olabilir.<\/p>\n<p>May\u0131sta y\u0131ll\u0131k cari i\u015flemler a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131 68 milyar dolara y\u00fckseldi. Haziranda 70 milyar dolar\u0131 a\u015faca\u011f\u0131 kesinle\u015fti. Bu gidi\u015fle y\u0131l sonunda 80 milyar\u00a0<a name=\"aspx1\" target=\"_blank\"><\/a><span><strong>dolar<\/strong><\/span>\u00a0hi\u00e7 u\u00e7uk durmuyor. Y\u0131lba\u015f\u0131nda i\u015fin buraya gelece\u011fini s\u00f6ylemi\u015ftim.<\/p>\n<p>\u00d6demeler dengesinde ilgin\u00e7 bir geli\u015fme\u00a0<a name=\"aspx1\" target=\"_blank\"><\/a><span><strong>var<\/strong><\/span>. Net hata noksan kalemi yeniden y\u00fckseli\u015fe ge\u00e7ti. Y\u0131ll\u0131k giri\u015f 12 milyar dolara ula\u015ft\u0131. D\u0131\u015f a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131n d\u00f6viz kuru \u00fczerindeki bask\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 hafifletiyor. Herhalde ayr\u0131 bir yaz\u0131 konusu yapar\u0131m.<\/p>\n<p><strong>\u00d6ncelik siyasi sorunlarda<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Se\u00e7im \u00f6ncesinde iktisat politikas\u0131 opsiyonlar\u0131 \u00fczerine uzun bir dizi yazd\u0131m. Siyasi tercihlerin \u00f6nemini belirttim. Ayr\u0131nt\u0131l\u0131 bir analiz i\u00e7in yeni h\u00fck\u00fcmeti beklemek gerekti\u011fini ifade ettim.<\/p>\n<p>Se\u00e7im sonras\u0131nda beklenmedik siyasi gerginlik olu\u015ftu. S\u00fcreci izlediniz. CHP ve BDP milletvekilleri yemin etmeyi reddetti. \u00c7abuk hallolaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnm\u00fc\u015ft\u00fcm. Nitekim CHP\u2019li vekiller bu hafta yemin etti. S\u0131ra BDP\u2019lilere geldi.<\/p>\n<p>Ba\u015fbakan Erdo\u011fan \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc iktidar d\u00f6nemine h\u00fck\u00fcmette \u00e7ok az de\u011fi\u015fiklik yaparak ba\u015flad\u0131. Do\u011fal olarak h\u00fck\u00fcmete yeni bakanlar girdi. Ama h\u00fck\u00fcmetin belkemi\u011finin ayn\u0131 kald\u0131\u011f\u0131 s\u00f6ylenebilir. O a\u00e7\u0131dan \u201cistikrar h\u00fck\u00fcmeti\u201d de dendi.<\/p><div class=\"bilge-content-1\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-2038141267\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"3167340272\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p>Yeni h\u00fck\u00fcmetin \u00f6ncelikli g\u00fcndeminde siyasi reformlar yer al\u0131yor. Biri yeni bir anayasa yap\u0131lmas\u0131d\u0131r. T\u00fcrkiye 12 Eyl\u00fcl darbesinin giydirdi\u011fi deli g\u00f6mle\u011fini \u00e7\u0131karmakta gecikmi\u015ftir. Bu kez ba\u015far\u0131 ihtimali y\u00fcksek duruyor.<\/p>\n<p>Di\u011feri K\u00fcrt sorununa kal\u0131c\u0131 \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcmd\u00fcr. Se\u00e7im sonu\u00e7lar\u0131, meclisin yap\u0131s\u0131, d\u0131\u015f ko\u015fullar vs. m\u00fcsait bir ortam olu\u015fturuyor. Kendime \u201ctemkinli iyimser\u201d diyorum. Her iki konuda teklifler somutla\u015ft\u0131k\u00e7a g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015flerimi sizlerle payla\u015faca\u011f\u0131m.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Ekonomide istikrar ve&#8230;<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Gelelim ekonomiye. Ge\u00e7mi\u015f deneyimler bana h\u00fck\u00fcmet programlar\u0131n\u0131 fazla ciddiye almamay\u0131 \u00f6\u011fretti. Bir t\u00fcr icraat vaatleri k\u00fcmesidir. Beni esas ilgilendiren iktisat politikas\u0131 tercihleri hakk\u0131nda \u00e7ok az ipucu ta\u015f\u0131r.<\/p><div class=\"bilge-content-2\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-1634747352\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"1818807385\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p>Bir g\u00f6sterge ekonomi y\u00f6netiminin iki temel \u00e7\u0131pas\u0131n\u0131n de\u011fi\u015fmemesidir: Ba\u015fbakan Yard\u0131mc\u0131s\u0131 Babacan ve Maliye Bakan\u0131 \u015eim\u015fek. Ba\u015fbakan Erdo\u011fan\u2019\u0131n ekonomi y\u00f6netiminden memnuniyetini yans\u0131t\u0131yor. Mevcut politika anlay\u0131\u015f\u0131 s\u00fcrecek demektir.<\/p>\n<p>Teknik bir de\u011fi\u015fiklik ise spek\u00fclasyona konu oldu. \u00c7a\u011flayan\u2019\u0131n bakanl\u0131\u011f\u0131 yeniden d\u00fczenlendi ve Ekonomi Bakanl\u0131\u011f\u0131 ad\u0131n\u0131 ald\u0131. Bu durum yeni h\u00fck\u00fcmetin d\u0131\u015f a\u00e7\u0131k sorununa daha aktif m\u00fcdahale arzusunun i\u015fareti kabul edildi.<\/p>\n<p>Olabilir. Ama dereyi g\u00f6rmeden pa\u00e7alar\u0131 s\u0131vamak yanl\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. Zor tercihler kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda fiili uygulamay\u0131 g\u00f6rmeden bir \u015fey s\u00f6yleyemeyiz. Resmin k\u0131sa s\u00fcrede netle\u015fmesini bekliyorum.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Son yay\u0131nlanan verileri k\u0131saca g\u00f6relim. May\u0131sta sanayi \u00fcretiminin y\u0131ll\u0131k art\u0131\u015f h\u0131z\u0131 y\u00fczde 8\u2019e geriledi. Takvim ve mevsim etkisi temizlenince Nisana g\u00f6re y\u00fczde 0,3 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f var.&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":13,"featured_media":919,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-2751","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-tumyazilar"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2751","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/13"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=2751"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2751\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/919"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=2751"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=2751"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=2751"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}