{"id":27236,"date":"2013-08-19T08:44:09","date_gmt":"2013-08-19T06:44:09","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/?p=27236"},"modified":"2013-08-19T08:44:09","modified_gmt":"2013-08-19T06:44:09","slug":"dolartl-eurodolar-altin-yorumlarim","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/i\/dolartl-eurodolar-altin-yorumlarim\/","title":{"rendered":"Dolar\/TL &amp; Euro\/Dolar &amp; Alt\u0131n Yorumlar\u0131m"},"content":{"rendered":"<p style=\"text-align: justify\"><b>Dolar\/TL ve PPK etkisi<\/b><\/p><div class=\"bilge-yaziust\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-1843583071\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"9580705384\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify\">Ge\u00e7ti\u011fimiz haftalarda Dolar\/TL\u2019de TCMB\u2019nin m\u00fcdahalelerine ve gerek yurtd\u0131\u015f\u0131 gerekse de yurti\u00e7inde esen olumlu havaya kar\u015f\u0131n 1,90\u2019\u0131n alt\u0131na sark\u0131lamam\u0131\u015f olmas\u0131 yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc yeni g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc denemelerin gelebilece\u011finin i\u015faret\u00e7isi oldu. Son d\u00f6nemde kaybetti\u011fi rezervlerin b\u00fcy\u00fck bir k\u0131sm\u0131n\u0131 tekrar yerine koymas\u0131na ra\u011fmen, \u00f6nceki m\u00fcdahalelerde \u015fok d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015flerin ya\u015fanmam\u0131\u015f olmas\u0131, olacak yeni bir \u015fokta TCMB\u2019nin i\u015fi \u00f6ncekine g\u00f6re daha da zorla\u015ft\u0131racakt\u0131r. Teknik olarak yukar\u0131da 1,95 ilerleyen g\u00fcnlerde izleyece\u011fimiz en \u00f6nemli diren\u00e7. Bu seviyenin \u00fczerine olacak bir harekette, bir \u00f6nceki zirve olan 1,97 bu sefer kuru tutamayabilir ve yeni zirveler g\u00f6rebiliriz. Sal\u0131 g\u00fcn\u00fc ger\u00e7ekle\u015fecek olan Para Politikas\u0131 Kurulu toplant\u0131s\u0131 kur a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan en \u00f6nemli g\u00fcndem maddesi. Toplant\u0131 sonunda yap\u0131lan a\u00e7\u0131klamalar kuru 1,9000-1,9150 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131na \u00e7ekecek olur ise, bu ani gerileme al\u0131m f\u0131rsat\u0131 yaratabilir. A\u015fa\u011f\u0131da ilk ve en \u00f6nemli destekler de bahsetti\u011fimiz bu seviyeler olacak. \u015euan i\u00e7in 1,90 alt\u0131nda kal\u0131c\u0131 bir hareket olu\u015fma ihtimalini oluk\u00e7a d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck g\u00f6r\u00fcyoruz. Bu nedenle bu b\u00f6lgelere do\u011fru olacak her geri \u00e7ekilmeyi al\u0131m f\u0131rsat\u0131 olarak g\u00f6r\u00fcyoruz.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify\"><b>Euro\/Dolar\u2019da y\u00fckseli\u015fleri sat\u0131\u015f f\u0131rsat\u0131 olarak g\u00f6rmeye devam ediyoruz<\/b><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify\">Paritede May\u0131s 2011 ve \u015eubat 2013\u2019te g\u00f6r\u00fclen zirvelerin olu\u015fturdu\u011fu uzun vadeli d\u00fc\u015fen trend 1,3350 civar\u0131nda bulunuyordu ve parite ge\u00e7ti\u011fimiz hafta bu trendin \u00fczerindeki rakamlar\u0131 test etmeye ba\u015flad\u0131. Bu haftaya ise bu seviyenin hemen alt\u0131ndan ba\u015flad\u0131. Euro B\u00f6lgesi b\u00fcy\u00fcme rakamlar\u0131n\u0131n beklentileri a\u015fmas\u0131 \u00fczerine Euro\u2019nun toparlanma e\u011filimine girdi\u011fini g\u00f6rsek de paritede direksiyonun hala Fed\u2019in elinde oldu\u011funu d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyoruz. Fed\u2019in varl\u0131k al\u0131m\u0131 ile ilgili tavr\u0131 paritedeki y\u00f6n\u00fc tayin edecek. Eyl\u00fcl ay\u0131na yakla\u015f\u0131ld\u0131k\u00e7a da varl\u0131k al\u0131m\u0131n\u0131n azalt\u0131lmas\u0131 daha fazla tart\u0131\u015f\u0131lacak gibi duruyor. Bu da paritede a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc \u015foklar\u0131n ya\u015fanma olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 artt\u0131r\u0131yor. Her ne kadar parite uzun vadeli trendini a\u015f\u0131yor izlenimi verse de biz bu harekete \u015fimdilik temkinli yakla\u015fmak gerekti\u011fini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyoruz. Burada olu\u015facak bir \u201cBo\u011fa Tuza\u011f\u0131\u201d ard\u0131ndan sert bir d\u00fczeltme ya\u015fanma riski g\u00f6z \u00f6n\u00fcnde bulundurulmal\u0131. Orta vadeli perspektifimiz s\u00fcrecin hala Euro aleyhine seyretti\u011fi y\u00f6n\u00fcnde. Bu nedenle de y\u00fckseli\u015fler \u00f6zellikle de ani olarak ger\u00e7ekle\u015fenler bizim i\u00e7in sat\u0131\u015f f\u0131rsat\u0131 olu\u015fturmaya devam ediyor. A\u015fa\u011f\u0131da ise bu sabah itibariyle test edilen 1,3325 ve ard\u0131ndan 1,3230 ilk destek b\u00f6lgelerimiz iken ana deste\u011fimiz 1,3200\u2019de bulunuyor. 1,32 alt\u0131na olacak bir sarkma yeni sat\u0131\u015flar\u0131 da tetikleyece\u011finden olas\u0131 bir d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f daha da h\u0131zlanabilir.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify\"><b>Alt\u0131n\u2019daki y\u00fckseli\u015f kal\u0131c\u0131 olabilecek mi?<\/b><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify\">Ge\u00e7ti\u011fimiz haftalarda g\u00f6r\u00fclen y\u00fckseli\u015flere ra\u011fmen alt\u0131n\u0131n d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f trendini sonland\u0131rd\u0131\u011f\u0131 ve kal\u0131c\u0131 bir y\u00fckselen trend ba\u015flatt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6ylemek zor. \u00a0Teknik olarak 1,330 dolar \u00fczerine at\u0131lm\u0131\u015f olmas\u0131 olumlu. Bu seviye \u00fczerinde kal\u0131nd\u0131\u011f\u0131 s\u00fcrece 1,400\/1,420 dolar aral\u0131\u011f\u0131 g\u00fcndeme gelebilir. Fakat alt\u0131n\u0131n yeniden g\u00fcvenli liman oldu\u011funu s\u00f6yleyebilmek i\u00e7in bu seviyelerin de a\u015f\u0131lmas\u0131 ve burada kal\u0131c\u0131 olunmas\u0131 gerekti\u011fini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyoruz. Bu b\u00f6lge ilerleyen g\u00fcnlerde olas\u0131 yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc hareketlerde izleyece\u011fimiz en \u00f6nemli diren\u00e7 olacakt\u0131r. Bu nedenle bu b\u00f6lgeye do\u011fru olacak y\u00fckseli\u015flerde sat\u0131\u015f bask\u0131s\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fclebilir. Bu hafta veri takviminin daha sakin olmas\u0131 alt\u0131n fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n teknik dinamikler do\u011frultusunda dalgalanmas\u0131na neden olabilir. Bu da 1,400\/1,420 dolar aral\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n g\u00fcndeme gelmesini sa\u011flayabilir. A\u015fa\u011f\u0131da ise 1,330 bu haftan\u0131n kritik deste\u011fi olacakt\u0131r.<\/p>\n<p><b>(19.08.2013)<\/b><\/p>\n<p><b>\u00dczeyir DO\u011eAN \/ Ara\u015ft\u0131rma M\u00fcd\u00fcr\u00fc<\/b><br \/>\n<b>MARBA\u015e Menkul De\u011ferler<\/b><br \/>\n<b><a href=\"mailto:uzeyir.dogan@marbasmenkul.com.tr\">uzeyir.dogan@marbasmenkul.com.tr<\/a>\u00a0<\/b><br \/>\n<b>Telefon: (0212) 286 30 00<\/b><\/p><div class=\"bilge-content-1\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-540410028\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"3167340272\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Dolar\/TL ve PPK etkisi Ge\u00e7ti\u011fimiz haftalarda Dolar\/TL\u2019de TCMB\u2019nin m\u00fcdahalelerine ve gerek yurtd\u0131\u015f\u0131 gerekse de yurti\u00e7inde esen olumlu havaya kar\u015f\u0131n 1,90\u2019\u0131n alt\u0131na sark\u0131lamam\u0131\u015f olmas\u0131 yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":26402,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-27236","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-tumyazilar"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/27236","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=27236"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/27236\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/26402"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=27236"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=27236"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=27236"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}