{"id":2715,"date":"2011-07-13T09:25:36","date_gmt":"2011-07-13T06:25:36","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/?p=2715"},"modified":"2011-07-13T09:25:59","modified_gmt":"2011-07-13T06:25:59","slug":"kurlar-nereye-gidiyor","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/i\/kurlar-nereye-gidiyor\/","title":{"rendered":"Kurlar Nereye Gidiyor"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>D\u00fcn en \u00e7ok sorulan soruydu. Ger\u00e7i Pazartesi g\u00fcnk\u00fc yaz\u0131da hem euro\/dolar hem de dolar\/TL kurlar\u0131nda bunlar\u0131n ya\u015fanaca\u011f\u0131na de\u011finmi\u015ftim. Dolar\/TL\u2019de 1.6450 yukar\u0131 ge\u00e7ildi, 1.6595\u2019e kadar bir y\u00fckseli\u015f ya\u015fand\u0131. 1.6570 seviyesi \u00f6nemliydi ve kapan\u0131\u015f bu seviyenin \u00fczerinde olmad\u0131. Bundan sonras\u0131nda ge\u00e7meden, d\u00fcn\u00fcn en \u00e7ok sorulan ikinci sorusuna ve de cevab\u0131na da de\u011finmekte fayda var! Kurlar neden y\u00fckseldi? D\u00fcn\u00fcn en fazla sorulan ikinci sorusuydu. Bir ka\u00e7 sebebi vard\u0131:<\/p><div class=\"bilge-yaziust\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-2785838697\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"9580705384\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p>Y\u00fcksek ve artmaya devam eden cari a\u00e7\u0131k yabanc\u0131 yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n pozisyonlar\u0131n\u0131 azaltmalar\u0131na, 1.50\u2019li seviyelerdeyken d\u00f6vizlerini al\u0131p, piyasadan \u00e7ekilmelerine sebep oldu. Bu d\u00f6vize ek talep getirdi.<\/p>\n<p>1- Yabanc\u0131lar\u0131n piyasadan \u00e7ekilmesi, d\u00f6viz sat\u0131\u015flar\u0131n\u0131n da azalmas\u0131n\u0131 beraberinde getirdi. B\u00fcy\u00fcyen ekonomimizin \u201crutin\u201d d\u00f6viz talebi devam edince azalan arz nedeniyle kurlar\u0131n artmas\u0131 normal!<\/p>\n<p>2- Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n \u201ckontroll\u00fc gerginlik\u201d politikas\u0131 kurlardaki y\u00fckseli\u015fi beraberinde getirdi, a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 d\u00fc\u015fmesi de \u201cistenmedi\u011finden\u201d a\u015fa\u011f\u0131ya inmesi i\u00e7in herhangi bir \u201cs\u00f6ylem\u201d de gelmeyince y\u00fckseli\u015f s\u00fcrd\u00fc.<\/p>\n<p>3- Temmuz ba\u015f\u0131nda 1.4578\u2019e kadar y\u00fckselen euronun d\u00fcn 1.3837\u2019ye kadar gerilemi\u015f olmas\u0131n\u0131n da katk\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 atlamamak laz\u0131m.<\/p>\n<p>\u00d6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki g\u00fcnlerde hareketli-volatil bir piyasada ya\u015f\u0131yor olaca\u011f\u0131z. \u201cBu turda\u201d g\u00fcnl\u00fck kapan\u0131\u015flar\u0131n 1.6570\u2019in alt\u0131nda kalmas\u0131 ihtimali y\u00fcksek. Bu haftan\u0131n kapan\u0131\u015f\u0131 \u00f6nemli. Ola ki 1.6450\u2019nin hele ki 1.6570\u2019in \u00fczerinde bir haftal\u0131k kapan\u0131\u015f g\u00f6recek olur isek, bir sonraki ana hedef 1.7345 olacakt\u0131r.<\/p>\n<p>Bu ihtimal \u015fimdilik d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck. Benim beklentim, belirtmi\u015f oldu\u011fum seviyelerin korunmas\u0131 y\u00f6n\u00fcnde. Ancak bu turda! Bir sonraki turda 1.70\u2019li seviyelere ge\u00e7eriz! 1.65\u2019li \u201cortalama seviye\u201d korunsa bile TL\u2019deki de\u011ferlenme s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 kalacakt\u0131r. \u00d6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki bir ka\u00e7 haftal\u0131k s\u00fcre\u00e7te d\u00fczeltmelerin 1,6070-1.6140 seviyelerine kadar bir geri \u00e7ekilme olabilir. Ancak daha a\u015fa\u011f\u0131s\u0131 hayli zor g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n<p>Teknik olarak oldu\u011fu kadar, yeni Ekonomi Bakan\u0131m\u0131z Zafer \u00c7a\u011flayan\u2019da d\u00fcnk\u00fc bas\u0131n toplant\u0131s\u0131nda \u201cBundan sonra kurun 1.60\u2019\u0131n alt\u0131na inmesi kritik fakt\u00f6r\u201d diyerek bir anlamda bu seviyeleri \u201cg\u00f6sterge-benchmark\u201d haline getirmi\u015f oldu!<\/p><div class=\"bilge-content-1\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-470686661\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"3167340272\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>D\u00fcn en \u00e7ok sorulan soruydu. Ger\u00e7i Pazartesi g\u00fcnk\u00fc yaz\u0131da hem euro\/dolar hem de dolar\/TL kurlar\u0131nda bunlar\u0131n ya\u015fanaca\u011f\u0131na de\u011finmi\u015ftim. Dolar\/TL\u2019de 1.6450 yukar\u0131 ge\u00e7ildi, 1.6595\u2019e kadar bir&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":19,"featured_media":910,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-2715","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-tumyazilar"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2715","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/19"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=2715"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2715\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/910"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=2715"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=2715"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=2715"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}