{"id":26324,"date":"2013-07-08T08:58:01","date_gmt":"2013-07-08T06:58:01","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/?p=26324"},"modified":"2013-07-08T08:58:01","modified_gmt":"2013-07-08T06:58:01","slug":"bist-100-ve-dolartlyi-bu-hafta-neler-bekliyor","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/i\/bist-100-ve-dolartlyi-bu-hafta-neler-bekliyor\/","title":{"rendered":"B\u0130ST 100 ve Dolar\/TL&#8217;yi bu hafta neler bekliyor?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p style=\"text-align: justify\">Veri y\u00f6n\u00fcnden daha sakin bir haftaya giriyoruz. Global takvimde g\u00fcn i\u00e7i etkileri d\u0131\u015f\u0131nda piyasalarda k\u00f6kl\u00fc de\u011fi\u015fikli\u011fe neden olacak bir veri bulunmuyor. \u0130\u00e7eride ise TCMB\u2019den gelebilecek a\u00e7\u0131klama ve ad\u0131mlar \u00f6n plana \u00e7\u0131kabilir. Rutin bir a\u00e7\u0131klama ya da toplant\u0131 olmasa da \u00f6zellikle kurlar konusundaki m\u00fcdahale \u015fekli ve gelebilecek s\u00fcrpriz kararlar yak\u0131ndan takip edilmeli. Bu kararlar kurlar taraf\u0131nda oldu\u011fu kadar borsa taraf\u0131nda da etkili olabilir. TCMB\u2019nin kurlar taraf\u0131nda k\u00fcresel konjonkt\u00fcr\u00fc de g\u00f6z ard\u0131 etmeden kura m\u00fcdahalesini kademeli olarak art\u0131raca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyoruz. Ge\u00e7ti\u011fimiz aylarda kurlardaki d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fc engellemek i\u00e7in \u00fcretilen mekanizmalar bu sefer kademeli olarak kurlar\u0131n ate\u015fini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcrmek i\u00e7in kullan\u0131labilir.<\/p><div class=\"bilge-yaziust\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-2139698242\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"9580705384\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify\"><b>B\u0130ST 100 i\u00e7in sanc\u0131l\u0131 s\u00fcre\u00e7 devam ediyor<\/b><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify\">B\u0130ST 100\u2019de ge\u00e7ti\u011fimiz haftan\u0131n ikinci yar\u0131s\u0131ndaki dalgalar olduk\u00e7a sertti. Cuma g\u00fcn\u00fc ABD\u2019den gelen istihdam verileriyle birlikte de a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc bask\u0131 yeniden artt\u0131 ve endeks haftay\u0131 73,111\u2019den tamamlad\u0131. Endekste ilk kademede takip edece\u011fimiz destek buras\u0131 idi. Fakat biz bu hafta i\u00e7inde bu deste\u011fin alt\u0131na sark\u0131lma olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 olduk\u00e7a y\u00fcksek g\u00f6r\u00fcyoruz. Gerek temel veriler gerekse de olu\u015fan teknik g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm endekste g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir toparlanma ihtimalini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcr\u00fcyor. Bu nedenle bu hafta y\u00fckseli\u015flere temkinli yakla\u015fmak faydal\u0131 olacak d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcncesindeyiz. 73,000 alt\u0131ndaki destekler s\u0131ras\u0131yla 71,700 ve 70,000 iken ana destek noktam\u0131z \u00f6nceki haftalarda s\u0131k\u00e7a ifade etti\u011fimiz 66,000\/67,000 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131 olmaya devam ediyor.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify\"><b>Dolar\/TL\u2019de k\u00fcresel konjonkt\u00fcr \u00f6nemli<\/b><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify\">Cuma g\u00fcn\u00fc ABD\u2019de a\u00e7\u0131klanan tar\u0131m d\u0131\u015f\u0131 istihdam verisi ard\u0131ndan dolar TL kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda yeniden de\u011ferlenme s\u00fcrecine girdi. Veri \u00f6ncesi diren\u00e7 konumunda bulunan 1,95 veri ard\u0131ndan \u00f6nemli bir destek noktas\u0131 oldu. Dolar\u0131n sadece TL\u2019ye kar\u015f\u0131 de\u011fil uluslararas\u0131 boyutta de\u011fer kazand\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fcyoruz. Bu da TCMB m\u00fcdahalesinin s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 kalmas\u0131ndaki ana etken. TCMB \u015fuan sadece ate\u015fin a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 y\u00fckselmesini engellemeye \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131yor. Buna kar\u015f\u0131n artan kurun enflasyon \u00fczerinde kal\u0131c\u0131 etkiler yaratmas\u0131n\u0131 engellemek i\u00e7in TCMB\u2019nin daha sert m\u00fcdahalelerde bulunmas\u0131 ve do\u011frudan sat\u0131\u015f d\u0131\u015f\u0131ndaki se\u00e7enekleri g\u00fcndeme getirmeye ba\u015flamas\u0131 \u015fa\u015f\u0131rt\u0131c\u0131 olmayacakt\u0131r. Bu se\u00e7enekler g\u00fcndeme gelecek olur ve uluslararas\u0131 konjonkt\u00fcrde dolar\u0131n de\u011fer kazanmas\u0131na neden olacak yeni bir geli\u015fme olmaz ise TCMB\u2019nin bask\u0131s\u0131 daha net \u015fekilde g\u00f6r\u00fclebilir. Teknik olarak y\u00fckselen kana i\u00e7inde 1,95 \u00fczerinde kal\u0131nd\u0131\u011f\u0131 s\u00fcrece 1,9850 civar\u0131 g\u00fcndemde olacakt\u0131r. A\u015fa\u011f\u0131da ise 1,9500\/1,9450 ilk \u00f6nemli destek b\u00f6lgemiz olacak. 1,9450 alt\u0131na sark\u0131lmad\u0131\u011f\u0131 s\u00fcrece dolar\u0131n ate\u015finde herhangi bir d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015ften bahsetmek zor olacakt\u0131r. Bu seviyenin alt\u0131na olas\u0131 bir sarkmada haftan\u0131n ana deste\u011fi 1,9150\/1,9230 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda bulunmaktad\u0131r.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify\"><b>(08.07.2013)<\/b><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify\"><b>\u00dczeyir DO\u011eAN \/ Ara\u015ft\u0131rma M\u00fcd\u00fcr\u00fc<\/b><br \/>\n<b>MARBA\u015e Menkul De\u011ferler<\/b><br \/>\n<b><a href=\"mailto:uzeyir.dogan@marbasmenkul.com.tr\">uzeyir.dogan@marbasmenkul.com.tr<\/a>\u00a0<\/b><br \/>\n<b>Telefon: (0212) 286 30 00<\/b><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Veri y\u00f6n\u00fcnden daha sakin bir haftaya giriyoruz. Global takvimde g\u00fcn i\u00e7i etkileri d\u0131\u015f\u0131nda piyasalarda k\u00f6kl\u00fc de\u011fi\u015fikli\u011fe neden olacak bir veri bulunmuyor. \u0130\u00e7eride ise TCMB\u2019den gelebilecek&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":24567,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-26324","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-tumyazilar"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/26324","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=26324"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/26324\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/24567"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=26324"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=26324"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=26324"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}