{"id":26100,"date":"2013-06-28T08:29:27","date_gmt":"2013-06-28T06:29:27","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/?p=26100"},"modified":"2013-06-28T08:29:27","modified_gmt":"2013-06-28T06:29:27","slug":"borsa-ve-dolar-yorumu","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/i\/borsa-ve-dolar-yorumu\/","title":{"rendered":"Borsa ve Dolar Yorumu"},"content":{"rendered":"<p style=\"text-align: justify\"><span style=\"color: #800000\"><strong>B\u0130ST 100\u2019de bo\u015fluk doldurma \u00e7abas\u0131 izliyoruz<\/strong><\/span><\/p><div class=\"bilge-yaziust\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-3833370425\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"9580705384\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify\">ABD\u2019de b\u00fcy\u00fcme verisinin ard\u0131ndan ba\u015flayan Fed\u2019in varl\u0131k al\u0131mlar\u0131n\u0131 devam ettirmek zorunda olaca\u011f\u0131 beklentisi, Fed \u00fcyesi Dudley\u2019in varl\u0131k al\u0131m\u0131 takvime de\u011fil ekonomiye ba\u011fl\u0131, gerekirse Fed daha agresif al\u0131mlar da yapabilir a\u00e7\u0131klamas\u0131yla zirve yapm\u0131\u015f durumda. ABD\u2019de endeksler son \u00fc\u00e7 g\u00fcnd\u00fcr y\u00fckseli\u015fini korurken, Asya taraf\u0131 da bu sabah olduk\u00e7a olumlu bir tablo \u00e7iziyor. Borsa \u0130stanbul d\u00fcn bu havay\u0131 fiyatlad\u0131\u011f\u0131 i\u00e7in bug\u00fcn biraz daha sakin bir a\u00e7\u0131l\u0131\u015f yapabilir. Yine de a\u00e7\u0131l\u0131\u015f\u0131n bir miktar y\u00fckseli\u015fle olmas\u0131 \u015fa\u015f\u0131rt\u0131c\u0131 olmayacakt\u0131r. G\u00fcn i\u00e7inde endeks, 75,500\u2019\u00fc destek yaparak ge\u00e7ti\u011fimiz hafta i\u00e7inde olu\u015fan bo\u015flu\u011fu doldurma \u00e7abas\u0131na girebilir. Bu durumda hedef 77,750 civar\u0131 olacakt\u0131r. D\u00fcnk\u00fc b\u00fcltenlerimizde detayl\u0131 bir \u015fekilde anlatmaya \u00e7al\u0131\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131z gibi borsalar taraf\u0131nda birka\u00e7 g\u00fcnd\u00fcr en iyi senaryo fiyatlanmaya ba\u015fland\u0131. Bu durum birka\u00e7 g\u00fcn daha devam edebilir ama faizlerde ciddi bir geri \u00e7ekilme olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131 s\u00fcrece bu durum bizce s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fclemez g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyor. K\u00fcresel piyasalar i\u00e7in ABD 10 y\u0131ll\u0131klar\u0131nda %2,25 alt\u0131nda kal\u0131c\u0131 bir hareket olu\u015fmad\u0131\u011f\u0131 s\u00fcrece, ilerleyen g\u00fcnlerde borsalarda yeni sert d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015flere kar\u015f\u0131 temkinli olunmas\u0131 gerekti\u011fini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyoruz. Yurti\u00e7inde faiz ve d\u00f6viz taraf\u0131ndaki tansiyon daha h\u0131zl\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f g\u00f6steriyor olsa da, i\u00e7eride \u00e7ok \u00f6nemli beklentileri kalmayan piyasalar\u0131m\u0131z i\u00e7in bundan sonra yurtd\u0131\u015f\u0131 daha \u00f6nemli olacakt\u0131r.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify\"><span style=\"color: #800000\"><strong>Dolar\/TL\u2019de d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f devam eder mi?<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify\">TL dolar kar\u0131\u015f\u0131nda kaybetti\u011fi g\u00fcc\u00fcn\u00fc yeniden toparlamaya \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131yor. Ge\u00e7ti\u011fimiz haftalarda yurtd\u0131\u015f\u0131 etkisine paralel olarak yurti\u00e7i gerginli\u011fin de etkili olmas\u0131 TL\u2019deki de\u011fer kayb\u0131n\u0131 h\u0131zland\u0131rm\u0131\u015ft\u0131. Her iki taraftaki olumsuz havan\u0131n en az\u0131ndan \u015fimdilik da\u011f\u0131lmas\u0131yla birlikte de TL yeniden g\u00fc\u00e7lenmeye ba\u015flad\u0131. D\u00fcnk\u00fc yorumumuzda g\u00fcn i\u00e7i en g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc destek dedi\u011fimiz 1,9250 g\u00fcn boyunca \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131rken, bu sabah itibariyle bu seviyenin alt\u0131na inildi. Bu seviyenin alt\u0131nda kal\u0131nd\u0131\u011f\u0131 s\u00fcrece k\u0131s vadedeki (birka\u00e7 g\u00fcn) en g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc deste\u011fimiz olan 1,91\u2019i takip ediyor olaca\u011f\u0131z. Orta vadedeki (birka\u00e7 hafta) en \u00f6nemli deste\u011fimiz ise 1,8950 civar\u0131nda bulunuyor. Fed i\u00e7inden ortam\u0131 yat\u0131\u015ft\u0131r\u0131c\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131klamalar gelmeye ba\u015flam\u0131\u015f olsa da biz bunu piyasalardaki alg\u0131y\u0131 y\u00f6netme ad\u0131mlar\u0131 olarak g\u00f6r\u00fcyoruz. Ba\u015fka bir ifade ile \u00fc\u00e7 ay \u00f6nce ya da sonra olur bilinmez ama Fed\u2019in varl\u0131k al\u0131m program\u0131n\u0131 azaltma ve durdurma s\u00fcrecini art\u0131k daha fazla tart\u0131\u015faca\u011f\u0131z. Bu tart\u0131\u015fmalarda piyasalara sert hareketlere neden olmaya devam edecek. Yukar\u0131da bug\u00fcn 1,9250 \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131k\u0131lamad\u0131\u011f\u0131 s\u00fcrece bahsetti\u011fimiz destek b\u00f6lgeleri g\u00fcndemde olacakt\u0131r. Bug\u00fcn i\u00e7in 1,91 ile 1,9250 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda dalgalanan bir kur izleyebiliriz.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify\"><b>(28.06.2013)<\/b><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify\"><b>\u00dczeyir DO\u011eAN \/ Ara\u015ft\u0131rma M\u00fcd\u00fcr\u00fc<\/b><br \/>\n<b>MARBA\u015e Menkul De\u011ferler<\/b><br \/>\n<b><a href=\"mailto:uzeyir.dogan@marbasmenkul.com.tr\">uzeyir.dogan@marbasmenkul.com.tr<\/a>\u00a0<\/b><br \/>\n<b>Telefon: (0212) 286 30 00<\/b><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>B\u0130ST 100\u2019de bo\u015fluk doldurma \u00e7abas\u0131 izliyoruz ABD\u2019de b\u00fcy\u00fcme verisinin ard\u0131ndan ba\u015flayan Fed\u2019in varl\u0131k al\u0131mlar\u0131n\u0131 devam ettirmek zorunda olaca\u011f\u0131 beklentisi, Fed \u00fcyesi Dudley\u2019in varl\u0131k al\u0131m\u0131 takvime&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":24567,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-26100","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-tumyazilar"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/26100","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=26100"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/26100\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/24567"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=26100"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=26100"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=26100"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}