{"id":2599,"date":"2011-07-11T11:10:33","date_gmt":"2011-07-11T08:10:33","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/?p=2599"},"modified":"2011-07-11T11:10:33","modified_gmt":"2011-07-11T08:10:33","slug":"cari-acik-70-milyar-dolari-buldu","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/i\/cari-acik-70-milyar-dolari-buldu\/","title":{"rendered":"Cari A\u00e7\u0131k 70 Milyar Dolar\u0131 Buldu"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Merkez Bankas\u0131&#8217;n\u0131n verilerine g\u00f6re, May\u0131s ay\u0131nda 7.75 milyar dolar olan cari a\u00e7\u0131k, y\u0131ll\u0131kland\u0131r\u0131lm\u0131\u015f bazda 68.2 milyar dolara ula\u015ft\u0131.<\/p><div class=\"bilge-yaziust\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-173121297\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"9580705384\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p>T\u00fcrkiye&#8217;nin cari \u0130\u015flemler hesab\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131, y\u0131l\u0131n ilk 5 ay\u0131nda, ge\u00e7en y\u0131l\u0131n ayn\u0131 d\u00f6nemine g\u00f6re y\u00fczde 121,3 artarak, 37 milyar 274 milyon dolar oldu.<\/p>\n<p>Merkez Bankas\u0131\u00a0taraf\u0131ndan a\u00e7\u0131klanan 2011 y\u0131l\u0131 May\u0131s ay\u0131na ili\u015fkin \u00f6demeler dengesi verilerine g\u00f6re,\u00a0cari a\u00e7\u0131k\u00a02011 y\u0131l\u0131 Ocak-May\u0131s d\u00f6neminde bir \u00f6nceki y\u0131l\u0131n ayn\u0131 d\u00f6nemine g\u00f6re 20 milyar 435 milyon dolar art\u0131\u015f g\u00f6sterdi. Ge\u00e7en y\u0131l\u0131n ilk 5 ay\u0131nda,cari a\u00e7\u0131k\u00a016 milyar 839 milyon dolar d\u00fczeyindeydi.<\/p>\n<p>Ge\u00e7en y\u0131l May\u0131s&#8217;ta 2 milyar 944 milyon dolar a\u00e7\u0131k veren cari i\u015flemler hesab\u0131nda, bu y\u0131l\u0131n ayn\u0131 ay\u0131nda 7 milyar 753 milyon dolar a\u00e7\u0131k meydana geldi.<\/p>\n<p>Cari i\u015flemler a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n artmas\u0131nda d\u0131\u015f ticaret a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131ndaki art\u0131\u015f etkili oldu.<\/p>\n<p>Ocak-May\u0131s d\u00f6neminde 37.3 milyar dolara ula\u015fancari a\u00e7\u0131k, y\u0131ll\u0131kland\u0131r\u0131lm\u0131\u015f bazda 68 milyar 174 milyon dolara ula\u015ft\u0131. Y\u0131ll\u0131kland\u0131r\u0131lm\u0131\u015f\u00a0cari a\u00e7\u0131k\u00a0y\u00fczde 160 art\u0131\u015f kaydetti.<\/p>\n<p><strong>&#8220;CAR\u0130 A\u00c7IK\u00a0T\u00dcKET\u0130ME DAYANIYOR&#8221;<\/strong><br \/>\nMerkez Bankas\u0131\u00a0Dan\u0131\u015fman\u0131 Zafer Y\u00fckseler&#8217;in haz\u0131rlad\u0131\u011f\u0131 \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmada, son d\u00f6nemde y\u00fckselen cari a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131, h\u0131zl\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fcmeye ba\u011flaman\u0131n ger\u00e7ek\u00e7i olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131 belirtildi ve b\u00fcy\u00fcmenin de temeline olu\u015fturan t\u00fcketimin etkisine dikkat \u00e7ekildi.<\/p>\n<p>\u00c7al\u0131\u015fmada, &#8221;2005\u20132010 d\u00f6neminde, T\u00fcrkiye&#8217;de cari i\u015flemler a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n y\u00fckselmesinin temel nedeni tasarruf oran\u0131ndaki d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f. Bu durum, yurti\u00e7i talep a\u011f\u0131rl\u0131kl\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fcme stratejisi uygulayan Yunanistan, \u0130spanya, \u0130talya ve ABD gibi \u00fclkelerde de a\u00e7\u0131k\u00e7a g\u00f6r\u00fclmektedir&#8221; de\u011ferlendirmesine yer verildi.<\/p><div class=\"bilge-content-1\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-3631220317\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"3167340272\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p>D\u0131\u015f dengede 2010&#8217;da g\u00f6zlenen bozulman\u0131n s\u00fcrece\u011fi tahmin edilen \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmada, &#8221;B\u00f6yle bir durumun, halen\u00a0cari a\u00e7\u0131k\u00a0konusunda 15 \u00fclkeden farkl\u0131 konumda bulunan T\u00fcrkiye&#8217;nin uluslararas\u0131 piyasalardaki pozisyonunu zay\u0131flataca\u011f\u0131 ve \u00fclke a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan risk olu\u015fturaca\u011f\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fclmektedir&#8221; tespiti yap\u0131ld\u0131.<\/p>\n<p>Merkez Bankas\u0131\u00a0Dan\u0131\u015fman\u0131 Y\u00fckseler&#8217;in &#8221;T\u00fcrkiye&#8217;nin Kar\u015f\u0131la\u015ft\u0131rmal\u0131 Cari \u0130\u015flemler Dengesi ve Rekabet G\u00fcc\u00fc Performans\u0131 (1997\u20132010 d\u00f6nemi)&#8221; konulu \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmas\u0131, bankan\u0131n internet sitesinde yay\u0131mland\u0131.<\/p>\n<p>\u00c7al\u0131\u015fmada, 1997\u20132010 d\u00f6neminde T\u00fcrkiye&#8217;nin d\u0131\u015f ticaret ve cari i\u015flemler dengesindeki geli\u015fmeler ve etkileyen fakt\u00f6rler irdelendi.<\/p>\n<p>Cari i\u015flemler dengesi performans\u0131n\u0131 de\u011ferlendirebilmek amac\u0131yla da \u00fclkenin d\u0131\u015f ticareti i\u00e7inde \u00f6nemli pay\u0131 bulunan ve uluslararas\u0131 piyasalarda rakip konumdaki 15 \u00fclkenin performans\u0131yla kar\u015f\u0131la\u015ft\u0131rma yap\u0131ld\u0131. Bu \u00fclkeler, Almanya, \u0130talya, Fransa, \u0130spanya, \u0130ngiltere, Yunanistan, Japonya, Rusya, Polonya, \u00c7in, G\u00fcney Kore, Tayland, Malezya, Brezilya ve ABD olarak belirlendi. 15 \u00fclke geneline ili\u015fkin verilen oran ve de\u011ferler, bu \u00fclkelerin ilgili y\u0131lda T\u00fcrkiye ile yapt\u0131klar\u0131 toplam d\u0131\u015f ticaret hacmi i\u00e7indeki paylar\u0131 dikkate al\u0131narak hesapland\u0131.<\/p><div class=\"bilge-content-2\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-1601502505\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"1818807385\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p><strong>T\u00dcRK\u0130YE&#8217;DE\u00a0CAR\u0130 A\u00c7IK, 2005-2010 D\u00d6NEM\u0130NDE Y\u00dcKSELD\u0130<\/strong><br \/>\n\u00c7al\u0131\u015fmaya g\u00f6re, 1997-2010 d\u00f6neminde cari i\u015flemler dengesi, mal ticareti dengesine ba\u011fl\u0131 hareket etti ve T\u00fcrkiye bu d\u00f6nemde kronik olarak cari i\u015flemler a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131 verdi. Bu d\u00f6nemde,\u00a0cari a\u00e7\u0131k, GSYH&#8217;nin ortalama y\u00fczde 2,9&#8217;u oran\u0131nda seyretti.<\/p>\n<p>Uluslararas\u0131 piyasalarda, ba\u015fta enerji olmak \u00fczere, temel mal fiyatlar\u0131ndaki y\u00fckselme, ekonomideki canlanma, rekabet g\u00fcc\u00fcndeki zay\u0131flama ve uluslararas\u0131 likidite bollu\u011funun finansman imkanlar\u0131n\u0131 art\u0131rmas\u0131, 2005&#8217;ten itibaren T\u00fcrkiye&#8217;de cari a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131n y\u00fckselmesine neden oldu. 1997\u20132004 d\u00f6neminde GSYH&#8217;nin y\u00fczde 1,1&#8217;i kadar olan cari i\u015flemler a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131, 2005\u20132010 d\u00f6neminde y\u00fczde 5,2&#8217;ye \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131.<\/p>\n<p>T\u00fcrkiye&#8217;nin performans\u0131 s\u00f6z konusu 15 \u00fclkeyle kar\u015f\u0131la\u015ft\u0131r\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, bu \u00fclkelerin 1997-2010 d\u00f6neminde ortalama y\u00fczde 1 cari i\u015flemler fazlas\u0131 verdi\u011fi g\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc.<\/p>\n<p>T\u00fcrkiye&#8217;de cari a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131n y\u00fczde 5,2&#8217;ye y\u00fckseldi\u011fi 2005-2010 d\u00f6neminde, 15 \u00fclke genelinde cari i\u015flemler dengesi fazla vermeye devam etti ve fazlan\u0131n GSYH&#8217;ye oran\u0131 y\u00fczde 1,6&#8217;ya \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131.<\/p>\n<p>S\u00f6z konusu d\u00f6nemde, \u00c7in, Almanya, Malezya ve Japonya&#8217;n\u0131n cari i\u015flemler dengesi fazlas\u0131\/GSYH oran\u0131 y\u00fckseldi. Rusya, Tayland ve G\u00fcney Kore&#8217;nin cari i\u015flem fazlalar\u0131n\u0131n GSYH&#8217;ye oran\u0131nda ise s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 bir azal\u0131\u015f g\u00f6zlendi.<\/p>\n<p>T\u00fcrkiye gibi cari i\u015flemler a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131\/GSYH oran\u0131 h\u0131zla artan \u00fclkeler aras\u0131nda, Yunanistan (y\u00fczde 11,5), \u0130spanya (y\u00fczde 7,7) ve ABD (y\u00fczde 4,6) ilk s\u0131ralarda yer ald\u0131.<\/p>\n<p><strong>&#8221;B\u00dcY\u00dcME ZAYIFLADI, ANCAK\u00a0CAR\u0130 A\u00c7IKTA BOZULMA S\u00dcRD\u00dc&#8221;<\/strong><br \/>\nB\u00fcy\u00fcme ile cari i\u015flemler dengesi aras\u0131ndaki ba\u011f\u0131n irdelendi\u011fi \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmaya g\u00f6re, 1997\u20132010 d\u00f6neminde, y\u0131ll\u0131k ortalama GSYH b\u00fcy\u00fcme h\u0131z\u0131 15 \u00fclkede y\u00fczde 3,5, T\u00fcrkiye&#8217;de ise y\u00fczde 3,8 olarak ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti. Bu d\u00f6nemde, T\u00fcrkiye&#8217;de b\u00fcy\u00fcme a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan \u00fc\u00e7 farkl\u0131 e\u011filim g\u00f6zlendi. 1997\u20132001 d\u00f6neminde, Asya-Rusya krizleri, Marmara depremi ve \u015eubat krizi nedeniyle T\u00fcrkiye&#8217;de istikrars\u0131z bir b\u00fcy\u00fcme s\u00fcreci ya\u015fand\u0131 ve ortalama y\u0131ll\u0131k GSYH b\u00fcy\u00fcme h\u0131z\u0131 y\u00fczde 1 civar\u0131nda kald\u0131. 2002\u20132006 d\u00f6neminde, ortalama y\u0131ll\u0131k GSYH b\u00fcy\u00fcme h\u0131z\u0131 y\u00fczde 7,5&#8217;e y\u00fckseldi, 2007\u20132010 d\u00f6neminde ise bu oran y\u00fczde 2,3&#8217;e geriledi.<\/p>\n<p>Ayn\u0131 d\u00f6nemlerde, 15 \u00fclke genelinde ortalama b\u00fcy\u00fcme h\u0131z\u0131 ise s\u0131ras\u0131yla, y\u00fczde 2,7, y\u00fczde 4,0 ve y\u00fczde 3,7 oldu.<\/p>\n<p>Cari i\u015flemler dengesi a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n GSYH&#8217;ye oran\u0131, bu d\u00f6nemlerde, T\u00fcrkiye&#8217;de s\u00fcrekli y\u00fckseldi ve s\u0131ras\u0131yla, y\u00fczde 0,5, y\u00fczde 3,4 ve y\u00fczde 5,1 olarak ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti. Ayn\u0131 d\u00f6nemlerde, 15 \u00fclke genelinde cari i\u015flemler dengesi fazla verdi ve fazlan\u0131n GSYH&#8217;ye oran\u0131 s\u0131ras\u0131yla, y\u00fczde 0,3, y\u00fczde 1,2 ve y\u00fczde 1,5 oldu.<\/p>\n<p>2007\u20132010 d\u00f6neminde, ekonominin b\u00fcy\u00fcme performans\u0131 zay\u0131flarken, T\u00fcrkiye&#8217;de cari i\u015flemler dengesindeki bozulman\u0131n s\u00fcrd\u00fc\u011f\u00fc, 15 \u00fclke genelinde ise cari i\u015flemler dengesi performans\u0131n\u0131n daha da iyile\u015fti\u011fi g\u00f6zlendi.<\/p>\n<p><strong>&#8221;T\u00dcRK\u0130YE, KISMEN AYRI\u015eMAYA BA\u015eLADI&#8221;<\/strong><br \/>\nT\u00fcrkiye&#8217;de cari i\u015flemler a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131na ili\u015fkin veriler, b\u00fcy\u00fcme h\u0131z\u0131ndaki art\u0131\u015f\u0131n cari i\u015flemler a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 y\u00fckseltti\u011fi, ekonomik daralma d\u00f6nemlerinde ise ithalatla birlikte cari i\u015flemler a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n azald\u0131\u011f\u0131na i\u015faret ediyor. Bu e\u011filim, gerek ekonomi \u00e7evrelerinde gerek toplumda, &#8221;cari a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131n h\u0131zl\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fcmenin bir sonucu oldu\u011fu&#8221; kan\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 yerle\u015ftirdi.<\/p>\n<p>15 \u00fclke verisi incelendi\u011finde, sadece b\u00fcy\u00fcmenin de\u011fil, b\u00fcy\u00fcmenin kayna\u011f\u0131n\u0131n da\u00a0cari a\u00e7\u0131ka\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan \u00f6nemli oldu\u011fu g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor. Nitekim genelde d\u0131\u015f talebe dayal\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fcmenin a\u011f\u0131rl\u0131kl\u0131 oldu\u011fu \u00c7in, G\u00fcney Kore, Malezya, Tayland ve Almanya gibi \u00fclkelerde y\u00fcksek b\u00fcy\u00fcme h\u0131zlar\u0131n\u0131n, cari i\u015flemler a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131na yol a\u00e7mas\u0131 s\u00f6z konusu de\u011fil. Ancak, genelde yurti\u00e7i talebe dayal\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fcmeyi benimseyen, Yunanistan, \u0130spanya, \u0130talya ve ABD gibi \u00fclkelerde, b\u00fcy\u00fcme h\u0131z\u0131ndaki y\u00fckseli\u015f\u00a0cari a\u00e7\u0131ktaki y\u00fckseli\u015fi de beraberinde getiriyor.<\/p>\n<p>1997-2010 d\u00f6neminde T\u00fcrkiye&#8217;nin b\u00fcy\u00fcme ve\u00a0cari a\u00e7\u0131k\u00a0performans\u0131 incelendi\u011finde, T\u00fcrkiye&#8217;de yurti\u00e7i talebe dayal\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fcyen \u00fclkelerin \u00f6zelliklerinin hakim oldu\u011fu g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor. Ancak, 2006 y\u0131l\u0131 sonras\u0131nda ortalama b\u00fcy\u00fcme h\u0131z\u0131 d\u00fc\u015ferken, cari i\u015flemler a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131\/GSYH oran\u0131n\u0131n y\u00fcksek seviyede kalmas\u0131, T\u00fcrkiye&#8217;nin bu ikinci gruptan da k\u0131smen ayr\u0131\u015fmaya ba\u015flad\u0131\u011f\u0131na i\u015faret ediyor.<\/p>\n<p>\u00c7al\u0131\u015fmada, &#8221;T\u00fcrkiye&#8217;nin gerek ortalama y\u0131ll\u0131k GSYH b\u00fcy\u00fcme h\u0131z\u0131 gerek g\u00f6reli b\u00fcy\u00fcme performans endeksinin e\u011filimi dikkate al\u0131nd\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, cari i\u015flemler dengesindeki bozulman\u0131n kayna\u011f\u0131 olarak, T\u00fcrkiye&#8217;nin 15 \u00fclkeye g\u00f6re daha h\u0131zl\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fcd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc ifade etmek ger\u00e7ek\u00e7i g\u00f6r\u00fclmemektedir&#8221; tespitine yer verildi.<\/p>\n<p><strong>TASARRUF A\u00c7I\u011eI, YATIRIMDAN \u00c7OK T\u00dcKET\u0130MDEN KAYNAKLANIYOR<\/strong><br \/>\nCari i\u015flemler performans\u0131nda \u00f6nemli fakt\u00f6rlerden yat\u0131r\u0131m ve tasarruf oranlar\u0131na bak\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131nda da T\u00fcrkiye&#8217;deki tasarruf a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131 dikkati \u00e7ekti.<\/p>\n<p>\u00c7al\u0131\u015fmaya g\u00f6re, 1997\u20132010 d\u00f6neminde, 15 \u00fclke genelinde yat\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131n GSYH&#8217;ye oran\u0131, ortalama y\u00fczde 21,7 iken, T\u00fcrkiye&#8217;de oran y\u00fczde 19,6 oldu. S\u00f6zkonusu d\u00f6nemde, tasarruflar\u0131n GSYH&#8217;ye oran\u0131 da 15 \u00fclke genelinde y\u00fczde 22,7, T\u00fcrkiye&#8217;de y\u00fczde 17,8 olarak hesapland\u0131.<\/p>\n<p>Alt d\u00f6nemler itibariyle, yat\u0131r\u0131m ve tasarruf oranlar\u0131 incelendi\u011finde, 2005\u20132010 d\u00f6neminde, 15 \u00fclke genelinde tasarruf fazlas\u0131n\u0131n artt\u0131\u011f\u0131, T\u00fcrkiye&#8217;de ise tersi bir e\u011filim ya\u015fand\u0131\u011f\u0131 ve \u00f6nemli bir tasarruf a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n ortaya \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131\u011f\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc. Tasarruf a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131, yat\u0131r\u0131m oran\u0131n\u0131n y\u00fckselmesinden \u00e7ok tasarruf oran\u0131n\u0131n gerilemesinden kaynakland\u0131.<\/p>\n<p>2005\u20132010 d\u00f6neminde, 15 \u00fclke i\u00e7inde tasarruf oran\u0131ndaki gerileme dolay\u0131s\u0131yla tasarruf\/cari i\u015flemler dengesi a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131 artan \u00fclkeler, s\u0131ras\u0131yla, Yunanistan, \u0130spanya, Fransa, \u0130talya ve ABD oldu.<\/p>\n<p>T\u00fcrkiye&#8217;de hanehalk\u0131 ve firmalar\u0131n tasarruf etme e\u011filim ve olanaklar\u0131n\u0131n, son y\u0131llarda, \u00f6nemli \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde zay\u0131flad\u0131\u011f\u0131 g\u00f6zleniyor. Hane halk\u0131 bor\u00e7lulu\u011fundaki art\u0131\u015f ve firmalar\u0131n i\u015fletme art\u0131\u011f\u0131 (i\u015fletme faaliyetlerinden elde edilen gayrisafi gelir) elde etme kapasitelerinin zaman i\u00e7inde azalmas\u0131, ekonomi genelinde tasarruf oranlar\u0131n\u0131n yetersiz kalmas\u0131na neden oluyor.<\/p>\n<p>2003 y\u0131l\u0131nda hane halk\u0131 borcunun GSYH&#8217;ye oran\u0131 y\u00fczde 3 iken, 2010&#8217;da y\u00fczde 17,3&#8217;e y\u00fckseldi. Sanayi ve hizmetler sekt\u00f6r\u00fc genelinde, 2002 y\u0131l\u0131nda i\u015fletme art\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n ciroya oran\u0131 y\u00fczde 23,4 d\u00fczeyindeydi, oran, 2008&#8217;de y\u00fczde 15,3&#8217;e geriledi.<\/p>\n<p>\u00c7al\u0131\u015fmada konuya ili\u015fkin \u015fu tespitlere yer verildi:<\/p>\n<p>&#8221;T\u00fcrkiye&#8217;de, y\u00fcksek b\u00fcy\u00fcme i\u00e7in tasarruflar\u0131n yetersiz oldu\u011fu, bu nedenle y\u00fcksek b\u00fcy\u00fcme d\u00f6nemlerinde cari i\u015flemler a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131 verilmesinin normal oldu\u011fu g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015f\u00fc hakim bulunmaktad\u0131r. Ancak, bu g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn arka plan\u0131nda, y\u00fcksek b\u00fcy\u00fcme d\u00f6nemlerinde yat\u0131r\u0131m oran\u0131n\u0131n artt\u0131\u011f\u0131, tasarruf d\u00fczeyinin ise bu yat\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131lamakta yetersiz kald\u0131\u011f\u0131 inanc\u0131 yer almaktad\u0131r.<\/p>\n<p>Sadece y\u0131ll\u0131k verilere bak\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, bu g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015f\u00fc desteklemek s\u00f6z konusu olabilir. Ancak, 1997\u20132010 d\u00f6nemi yat\u0131r\u0131m ve tasarruf oranlar\u0131 incelendi\u011finde, cari i\u015flemler dengesindeki bozulman\u0131n arka plan\u0131nda, b\u00fcy\u00fck \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde tasarruf oran\u0131ndaki gerilemenin etkili oldu\u011fu g\u00f6r\u00fclmektedir. Nitekim bu durum, 2005\u20132010 d\u00f6neminde T\u00fcrkiye&#8217;de ve yurti\u00e7i talep a\u011f\u0131rl\u0131kl\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fcme stratejisi uygulayan Yunanistan, \u0130spanya, \u0130talya ve ABD gibi \u00fclkelerde de a\u00e7\u0131k\u00e7a g\u00f6r\u00fclmektedir.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p><strong>&#8221;TEMEL NEDEN, TASARRUFTAK\u0130 D\u00dc\u015e\u00dc\u015e&#8221;<\/strong><br \/>\n\u00c7al\u0131\u015fmaya g\u00f6re 1997\u20132010 d\u00f6neminde, 15 \u00fclke ile T\u00fcrkiye&#8217;nin cari i\u015flemler dengesi performans\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131la\u015ft\u0131r\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131nda \u015fu iki nokta \u00f6n plana \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor:<\/p>\n<p>&#8221;Birincisi, T\u00fcrkiye&#8217;nin tasarruf oran\u0131n\u0131n d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck olmas\u0131 ve son y\u0131llarda bu oran\u0131n gerilemesidir. \u00d6zellikle, 2005\u20132010 d\u00f6neminde, 15 \u00fclke genelinin aksine, T\u00fcrkiye&#8217;de cari i\u015flemler a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n y\u00fckselmesinin temel nedeni tasarruf oran\u0131ndaki d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015ft\u00fcr. Finansman imkanlar\u0131ndaki art\u0131\u015f ve t\u00fcketicilerin finansman kaynaklar\u0131na eri\u015fiminin kolayla\u015fmas\u0131, t\u00fcketici kredilerini ve hanehalk\u0131 bor\u00e7lulu\u011funu art\u0131rm\u0131\u015f ve ki\u015filerin tasarruf e\u011filimlerini zay\u0131flatm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r.<\/p>\n<p>\u0130kinci husus, incelenen d\u00f6nemde T\u00fcrkiye 15 \u00fclkeye, \u00f6zellikle y\u00fckselen piyasa ekonomilerine, kar\u015f\u0131 rekabet g\u00fcc\u00fc kaybetmi\u015ftir. Bu durum, y\u00fckselen enerji ithal faturas\u0131na ek olarak, enerji-d\u0131\u015f\u0131 ithalatta da art\u0131\u015fa yol a\u00e7m\u0131\u015f, 15 \u00fclke piyasalar\u0131na y\u00f6nelik ihracat\u0131m\u0131z\u0131 ise olumsuz etkilemi\u015ftir.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p><strong>&#8221;\u0130THALAT ARTI\u015eINI YAVA\u015eLATMAK OLDUK\u00c7A G\u00dc\u00c7 G\u00d6Z\u00dcK\u00dcYOR&#8221;<\/strong><br \/>\nD\u0131\u015f dengede 2010&#8217;da g\u00f6zlenen bozulman\u0131n, 2011 ba\u015flar\u0131nda g\u00fc\u00e7lenerek devam etti\u011fi kaydedilen \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmada, \u015fu de\u011ferlendirmeler yap\u0131ld\u0131:<\/p>\n<p>&#8221;Mevcut i\u00e7 ve d\u0131\u015f ekonomik konjonkt\u00fcr ile firmalar\u0131n yat\u0131r\u0131m tercihleri dikkate al\u0131nd\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, d\u0131\u015f dengedeki bozulmay\u0131 tetikleyen ithalat art\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131n yava\u015flat\u0131lmas\u0131n\u0131n olduk\u00e7a g\u00fc\u00e7 oldu\u011fu g\u00f6r\u00fclmektedir. Ekonominin rekabet g\u00fcc\u00fc kayb\u0131 nedeniyle yerli ve yabanc\u0131 firmalar\u0131n d\u00f6viz kazand\u0131r\u0131c\u0131 alanlara yat\u0131r\u0131m yapmaktan ka\u00e7\u0131nd\u0131klar\u0131, genelde d\u0131\u015f ticarete konu olmayan konut, gayrimenkul, al\u0131\u015f veri\u015f merkezi, ofis binas\u0131, ileti\u015fim ve enerji gibi yat\u0131r\u0131m alanlar\u0131n\u0131 tercih ettikleri g\u00f6r\u00fclmektedir.<\/p>\n<p>Bu yat\u0131r\u0131m tercihleri ve t\u00fcketicilerin y\u00fcksek teknolojili t\u00fcketim \u00fcr\u00fcnleri sat\u0131n alma e\u011filimleri birlikte dikkate al\u0131nd\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki d\u00f6nemde de d\u0131\u015f dengedeki bozulman\u0131n s\u00fcrece\u011fi tahmin edilmektedir. B\u00f6yle bir durumun, halen cari a\u00e7\u0131k konusunda 15 \u00fclkeden farkl\u0131 bir konumda bulunan T\u00fcrkiye&#8217;nin uluslararas\u0131 piyasalardaki pozisyonunu zay\u0131flataca\u011f\u0131 ve \u00fclke a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan risk olu\u015fturaca\u011f\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fclmektedir.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p><strong>2011 BA\u015eINDAN BU YANA CAR\u0130 A\u00c7I\u011eIN SEYR\u0130<\/strong><br \/>\nA.A muhabirinin \u00f6demeler dengesi verilerinden yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 derlemeye g\u00f6re, 2009 sonunda yakla\u015f\u0131k 14 milyar dolar olan cari a\u00e7\u0131k, 2010 y\u0131l\u0131 sonunda 47,6 milyar dolara \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131. 2011 y\u0131l\u0131 itibariyle cari a\u00e7\u0131kta art\u0131\u015f h\u0131z\u0131n\u0131n s\u00fcrmesi nedeniyle ekonomi y\u00f6netimi so\u011futma tedbirlerini hayata ge\u00e7irmeye ba\u015flad\u0131. Cari a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131n y\u0131l\u0131n son \u00e7eyre\u011finden itibaren baz etkisi nedeniyle iyile\u015fme s\u00fcrecine girmesi bekleniyor ancak y\u0131lsonu beklentisi, a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131n 60 milyar dolar\u0131 a\u015faca\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6n\u00fcnde.<\/p>\n<p>Cari a\u00e7\u0131k, Ocak-May\u0131s d\u00f6neminde 37 milyar 274 milyon dolara ula\u015ft\u0131. Aylar itibariyle a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131n seyri; Ocak&#8217;ta 6 milyar 79 milyon dolar, \u015eubat&#8217;ta 6 milyar 138 milyon dolar, Mart&#8217;ta 9 milyar 745 milyon dolar, Nisan&#8217;da 7 milyar 680 milyon dolar, May\u0131s&#8217;ta ise 7 milyar 753 milyon dolar oldu.<\/p>\n<p>kaynak<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/ekonomi.haberturk.com\/\" data-wpel-link=\"external\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow external noopener\">http:\/\/ekonomi.haberturk.com<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Merkez Bankas\u0131&#8217;n\u0131n verilerine g\u00f6re, May\u0131s ay\u0131nda 7.75 milyar dolar olan cari a\u00e7\u0131k, y\u0131ll\u0131kland\u0131r\u0131lm\u0131\u015f bazda 68.2 milyar dolara ula\u015ft\u0131. T\u00fcrkiye&#8217;nin cari \u0130\u015flemler hesab\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131, y\u0131l\u0131n ilk&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":2600,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-2599","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-tumyazilar"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2599","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=2599"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2599\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/2600"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=2599"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=2599"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=2599"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}