{"id":25539,"date":"2013-06-10T15:56:30","date_gmt":"2013-06-10T13:56:30","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/?p=25539"},"modified":"2013-06-10T15:56:42","modified_gmt":"2013-06-10T13:56:42","slug":"yilin-bilinmeyeni-ekonomik-buyume","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/i\/yilin-bilinmeyeni-ekonomik-buyume\/","title":{"rendered":"Y\u0131l\u0131n Bilinmeyeni: Ekonomik B\u00fcy\u00fcme"},"content":{"rendered":"
Yar\u0131n y\u0131l\u0131n ilk \u00fc\u00e7 ay\u0131nda ger\u00e7ekle\u015fen milli gelir rakamlar\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131klanacak. B\u00fcy\u00fck bir olas\u0131l\u0131kla, ge\u00e7en y\u0131l\u0131n milli gelir tahminleri de g\u00fcncellenecek. \u0130lk \u00fc\u00e7 aya y\u00f6nelik tahminler \u00e7ok geni\u015f bir aral\u0131kta. Milli\u00a0gelirin y\u00fczde 3’\u00fcn \u00fczerinde b\u00fcy\u00fcd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc tahmin edenler de var, y\u00fczde 2’nin alt\u0131nda b\u00fcy\u00fcd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc bekleyenler de.
\nY\u0131l\u0131n t\u00fcm\u00fcne y\u00f6nelik b\u00fcy\u00fcme beklentileri ise daha az de\u011fi\u015fkenlik g\u00f6steriyor. Genelde beklentiler y\u00fczde 4’te yo\u011funla\u015f\u0131yor. B\u00fcy\u00fck bir olas\u0131l\u0131kla bunun nedeni tahminin zorlu\u011fu ile beklentilerin resmi rakamlarla \u00f6rt\u00fc\u015fmesinden kaynaklan\u0131yor. Halbuki, y\u0131l\u0131n ilk yar\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n b\u00fcy\u00fcme a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan \u00e7ok parlak ge\u00e7ti\u011fi s\u00f6ylenemez.<\/p>