{"id":2496,"date":"2011-07-07T09:50:20","date_gmt":"2011-07-07T06:50:20","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/?p=2496"},"modified":"2011-07-07T11:15:39","modified_gmt":"2011-07-07T08:15:39","slug":"istihdam-piyasasinda-beklenen-duzelme-2015te","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/i\/istihdam-piyasasinda-beklenen-duzelme-2015te\/","title":{"rendered":"\u0130stihdam Piyasas\u0131nda Beklenen D\u00fczelme 2015&#8217;te"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>2011\u2019in \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc \u00e7eyre\u011fine girdi\u011fimiz \u015fu g\u00fcnlerde, ABD Hazine Bakanl\u0131\u011f\u0131 ve \u00c7al\u0131\u015fma Bakanl\u0131\u011f\u0131 taraf\u0131ndan yak\u0131n zamanda a\u00e7\u0131klanacak olan, istihdam ve piyasa verilerinin olumlu g\u00f6sterge niteli\u011fi ta\u015f\u0131yac\u011f\u0131 beklentisi ve Moody\u2019s taraf\u0131ndan hafta i\u00e7inde, Portekiz\u2019in kredi notunun, d\u00f6rt basamak birden indirilmesi ve \u00c7in Merkez Bankas\u0131n\u0131n faizleri y\u00fckseltmesi, beklentilerim do\u011frultusunda, Euro \/ Dolar paritesi\u2019ni 1.45 psikolojik s\u0131n\u0131r\u0131n\u0131n alt\u0131na indirdi. Ayn\u0131 \u015fekilde,\u00a0 yerli ve yabanc\u0131 yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n d\u00f6viz al\u0131m\u0131n\u0131 dolar lehine\u00a0 yo\u011funla\u015ft\u0131rmas\u0131, dolar\/TL paritesi\u2019ni, son alt\u0131 ay\u0131n en y\u00fcksek seviyesi olan 1.64`\u00fcn \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131kard\u0131.\u00a0 Di\u011fer yandan r\u00f6nesans k\u0131tas\u0131, ise, 2011 y\u0131l\u0131na, Avrupa\u00a0 \u00fclkelerinin artan kamu borcunu nas\u0131l kontrol ve finanse edece\u011fi \u00fczerine derin bir sessizli\u011fe b\u00fcr\u00fcnm\u00fc\u015f durumda.<\/p><div class=\"bilge-yaziust\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-1997391632\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"9580705384\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p>2011 y\u0131l\u0131\u00a0 ABD b\u00fcy\u00fcme h\u0131z\u0131n\u0131n,\u00a0 Avrupa`dan daha iyi g\u00f6r\u00fcnmesi ve Euro B\u00f6lgesi`ndeki kamu bor\u00e7 stresinin ge\u00e7memesi, \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczde ki aylarda, Euro \/ Dolar paritesini 1,40 seviyelerine\u00a0 do\u011fru indirebilir ve Euro para biriminde ki,\u00a0 de\u011fer kayb\u0131n\u0131 artt\u0131rabilir.<\/p>\n<p>Peki, ABD\u2019nin 2011 y\u0131l\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fcme h\u0131z\u0131 ve ekonomik geli\u015fimi, istihdam verilerine ne y\u00f6nde katk\u0131 sa\u011flayacak? Acaba, i\u015fsizlik \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki aylarda ve y\u0131llarda, d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fc s\u00fcrd\u00fcrebilecek mi ? Bu sorunun yan\u0131t\u0131, ge\u00e7en aylarda FED\u2019den geldi. ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131 Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Ben Bernanke, ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fcmenin 2011 y\u0131l\u0131nda s\u00fcrece\u011fini, ancak b\u00fcy\u00fcme h\u0131z\u0131n\u0131n i\u015fsizli\u011fi yava\u015flatmaya yetecek d\u00fczeyde olmayaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 belirtti. Bernanke, istihdam piyasas\u0131n\u0131n d\u00fczelmesinin, ancak\u00a0 4-5 y\u0131l i\u00e7inde\u00a0 ger\u00e7ekle\u015febilece\u011fi ve d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck enflasyon oran\u0131n, ekonomiyi deflasyona itebilecek ters korelasyon yarataca\u011f\u0131 beklentisi i\u00e7inde.<\/p>\n<p>ABD&#8217;de tar\u0131m d\u0131\u015f\u0131 istihdam, aral\u0131k 2010\u2019da beklentilerin alt\u0131nda art\u0131\u015f g\u00f6stererek, 103 bin ki\u015fi artt\u0131. Beklentiler, art\u0131\u015f\u0131n 155 bin ki\u015fi olmas\u0131yd\u0131.\u00a0 Di\u011fer yandan ABD&#8217;de aral\u0131k ay\u0131 i\u015fsizlik oran\u0131, y\u00fczde 9.4 olarak ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti. Beklenti, % 9,7 y\u00f6n\u00fcndeydi.<\/p>\n<p>ABD ekonomisinin \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki y\u0131llarda, n\u00fcfus art\u0131\u015f h\u0131z\u0131na\u00a0 paralel olarak i\u015fsizlik oran\u0131nda azal\u0131\u015f sa\u011flamak i\u00e7in ayda ortalama 150-180 bin ki\u015fiye istihdam sa\u011flamas\u0131 gerekiyor.<\/p>\n<p><strong>\u00a0<\/strong><strong>http:\/\/bigyatirim.blogspot.com\/<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong><em>Dr. \u0130smet DEM\u0130RKOL<\/em><\/strong><em><\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>2011\u2019in \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc \u00e7eyre\u011fine girdi\u011fimiz \u015fu g\u00fcnlerde, ABD Hazine Bakanl\u0131\u011f\u0131 ve \u00c7al\u0131\u015fma Bakanl\u0131\u011f\u0131 taraf\u0131ndan yak\u0131n zamanda a\u00e7\u0131klanacak olan, istihdam ve piyasa verilerinin olumlu g\u00f6sterge niteli\u011fi ta\u015f\u0131yac\u011f\u0131&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":7,"featured_media":934,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-2496","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-tumyazilar"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2496","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/7"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=2496"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2496\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/934"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=2496"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=2496"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=2496"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}