{"id":2431,"date":"2011-07-06T10:02:01","date_gmt":"2011-07-06T07:02:01","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/?p=2431"},"modified":"2011-07-06T10:02:12","modified_gmt":"2011-07-06T07:02:12","slug":"isinma-meselesi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/i\/isinma-meselesi\/","title":{"rendered":"Is\u0131nma Meselesi"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Ge\u00e7ti\u011fimiz g\u00fcnlerde \u00f6nemli veriler a\u00e7\u0131kland\u0131. Bunlar ekonominin temel dengeleri ve gidi\u015fat\u0131 hakk\u0131nda bilgi verdikleri i\u00e7in kendi ba\u015flar\u0131na zaten \u00f6nemli bigilerdi. Biraraya geldiklerinde ise tekil i\u015flevlerinin \u00f6tesinde \u00f6nemli bir i\u015f daha yapt\u0131lar. Son s\u0131ralarda \u00e7ok yo\u011fun tart\u0131\u015f\u0131lan ve neredeyse bir ayr\u0131\u015fmaya neden olan &#8220;ekonominin \u0131s\u0131nmas\u0131&#8221; konusuna da g\u00fcncel bir katk\u0131 yapt\u0131lar. Is\u0131nma meselesinin bir kez daha g\u00fcndeme ta\u015f\u0131n\u0131p, ekonomiye ili\u015fkin son verilerin \u0131\u015f\u0131\u011f\u0131nda irdenlemesine imkan sa\u011flad\u0131lar.<\/p><div class=\"bilge-yaziust\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-1938037992\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"9580705384\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p>\u00d6nce 2011 y\u0131l\u0131n\u0131n birinci \u00fc\u00e7 ay\u0131na ait b\u00fcy\u00fcme bulgular\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131kland\u0131. Bir \u00f6nceki y\u0131l\u0131n ayn\u0131 d\u00f6nemine k\u0131yasla 2011 y\u0131l\u0131n\u0131n birinci \u00e7eyre\u011finde ekonomi y\u00fczde 11 gibi y\u00fcksk bir h\u0131zda b\u00fcy\u00fcm\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc.Bu h\u0131z\u00a0 bizi d\u00fcnyan\u0131n birinci s\u0131ras\u0131na yerle\u015ftiriyordu. Ekonominin b\u00f6yle bir h\u0131zda b\u00fcy\u00fcyor olmas\u0131 genel bir memnuniyet yaratt\u0131<\/p>\n<p>Olay\u0131n ilk s\u0131cakl\u0131\u011f\u0131 ge\u00e7tikten sonra farkl\u0131 sesler de \u00e7\u0131kmaya ba\u015flad\u0131. Bu kadar y\u00fcksek h\u0131zda b\u00fcy\u00fcmenin sonu\u00e7ta ekonominin dengelerini bozaca\u011f\u0131, \u0131s\u0131nmas\u0131na neden olaca\u011f\u0131, bunun da ciddi problemler yarataca\u011f\u0131 \u00f6ne s\u00fcr\u00fcl\u00fcyordu. Bu nedenle y\u00fcksek b\u00fcy\u00fcme performans\u0131n\u0131n biraz daha so\u011fukkanl\u0131 ve temkinli kar\u015f\u0131lanmas\u0131n\u0131n daha do\u011fru olaca\u011f\u0131 s\u00f6yleniyordu.<\/p>\n<p>*\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 *\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 *<\/p>\n<p>B\u00fcy\u00fcme verilerinin hemen ard\u0131ndan en son d\u0131\u015f ticaret verileri a\u00e7\u0131kland\u0131. 2011 y\u0131l\u0131n\u0131n May\u0131s ay\u0131nda d\u0131\u015f ticaretimiz 10.1 milyar dolar a\u00e7\u0131k vermi\u015fti.Y\u0131ll\u0131k bazda ithalat\u0131m\u0131z y\u00fczde 42.6\u00a0 oran\u0131nda b\u00fcy\u00fcrken ihracat\u0131m\u0131z\u0131n b\u00fcy\u00fcme oran\u0131 y\u00fczde 11.7&#8217;de kalm\u0131\u015ft\u0131. \u0130hracat\u0131 yeterince h\u0131zland\u0131ramad\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131z, ithalattaki \u00e7\u0131lg\u0131n b\u00fcy\u00fcmeyi yava\u015flatmay\u0131 beceremedi\u011fimiz anla\u015f\u0131l\u0131yordu.<\/p>\n<p>D\u0131\u015f ticarette a\u00e7\u0131k vermeye al\u0131\u015f\u0131kt\u0131k ama bu defaki a\u00e7\u0131k hem beklentileri a\u015fm\u0131\u015ft\u0131 hem de b\u00fct\u00fcn zamanlar\u0131n rekorunu k\u0131rm\u0131\u015ft\u0131. \u0130lgin\u00e7tir, en \u00e7ok konu\u015ftu\u011fumuz sorun olan cari a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131n ana belirleyicisi olmas\u0131na ra\u011fmen d\u0131\u015f ticaret dengemizi fazla konu\u015fmay\u0131z. Bu defa da b\u00f6yle oldu. Moral bozan d\u0131\u015f ticaret say\u0131lar\u0131ndan hemen cari a\u00e7\u0131\u011fa atlad\u0131k.<\/p>\n<p>Malum, \u015fu s\u0131ralarda cari a\u00e7\u0131k\u00a0 ekonomide \u0131s\u0131nman\u0131n en \u00f6nemli i\u015fareti olarak g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor.\u00a0 On milyar dolarl\u0131k May\u0131s ay\u0131 ticaret a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131 \u0131s\u0131nman\u0131n art\u0131k had safhaya geldi\u011finin kan\u0131t\u0131 olarak\u00a0 alg\u0131land\u0131. Hele bir de h\u0131zl\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fcmeyle bir araya gelince, bu \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde b\u00fcy\u00fcyen\u00a0\u00a0 ticaret a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131 &#8220;k\u0131yametin alameti&#8221; olarak takdim edildi.<\/p>\n<p>*\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 *\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 *<\/p><div class=\"bilge-content-1\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-3636333762\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"3167340272\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p>Son s\u0131ralarda a\u00e7\u0131klanan b\u00fcy\u00fcme ve d\u0131\u015f ticarete ili\u015fkin veriler ekonomide ciddi bir \u0131s\u0131nma oldu\u011funu, hemen \u00f6nlem al\u0131nmazsa i\u015fin karakolda bitece\u011fini savunanlar\u0131n elini g\u00fc\u00e7lendirdi. Is\u0131nmaya kar\u015f\u0131 Merkez Bankas\u0131n\u0131n faizi artt\u0131rmas\u0131n\u0131n gerekti\u011fini savunan bu grup tezlerini daha g\u00fcvenli bi\u00e7imde seslendirmeye ba\u015flad\u0131lar.<\/p>\n<p>Bu hafta ba\u015f\u0131nda a\u00e7\u0131klanan Haziran ay\u0131 enflasyon verileri bu g\u00fcveni\u00a0 biraz \u00f6rseledi. May\u0131s ay\u0131nda y\u00fczde 2.4 y\u00fckselmi\u015f olan t\u00fcketici fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n (T\u00dcFE) Haziran ay\u0131nda y\u00fczde 1.4 d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc\u011f\u00fc anla\u015f\u0131l\u0131yor. Haziran ay\u0131ndaki d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f b\u00fcy\u00fck \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde g\u0131da fiyatlar\u0131ndaki gerilemeden kaynaklan\u0131yor. Sonu\u00e7ta, y\u0131ll\u0131k bazda May\u0131s ay\u0131nda y\u00fczde 7.2 oran\u0131na \u00e7\u0131km\u0131\u015f olan fiyat art\u0131\u015f h\u0131z\u0131 Haziran ay\u0131nda y\u00fczde 6.2 d\u00fczeyine gerilemi\u015f oldu.<\/p>\n<p>Enflasyon ekonomideki denge bozulmas\u0131 ve \u0131s\u0131nman\u0131n temel i\u015faretlerinden birisidir. Nitekim, May\u0131s ay\u0131nda t\u00fcketici fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n h\u0131zla y\u00fckselmi\u015f olmas\u0131 ekonominin \u0131s\u0131nd\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 savunanlar taraf\u0131ndan \u00f6nemli bir kan\u0131t olarak kullan\u0131ld\u0131. Merkez bankas\u0131na faizi y\u00fckseltmesi y\u00f6n\u00fcnde yap\u0131lan bask\u0131n\u0131n dozu artt\u0131r\u0131ld\u0131. Arkas\u0131ndan gelen b\u00fcy\u00fcme ve d\u0131\u015f ticaret bilgileri bu bask\u0131y\u0131 peki\u015ftirdi.<\/p>\n<p>\u015eimdi \u00f6yle g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyor ki Haziran ay\u0131 enflasyon bulgular\u0131 bu tabloyu ciddi bi\u00e7imde de\u011fi\u015ftirdi. Merkez Bankas\u0131,\u00a0 en az\u0131ndan bir s\u00fcre i\u00e7in, &#8220;\u0131s\u0131nmac\u0131lar&#8221;\u0131n faiz bask\u0131s\u0131ndan kurtuldu gibi g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyor.<\/p><div class=\"bilge-content-2\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-1626029680\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"1818807385\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Ge\u00e7ti\u011fimiz g\u00fcnlerde \u00f6nemli veriler a\u00e7\u0131kland\u0131. Bunlar ekonominin temel dengeleri ve gidi\u015fat\u0131 hakk\u0131nda bilgi verdikleri i\u00e7in kendi ba\u015flar\u0131na zaten \u00f6nemli bigilerdi. Biraraya geldiklerinde ise tekil i\u015flevlerinin&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":15,"featured_media":901,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-2431","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-tumyazilar"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2431","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/15"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=2431"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2431\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/901"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=2431"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=2431"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=2431"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}