{"id":2384,"date":"2011-07-05T10:02:34","date_gmt":"2011-07-05T07:02:34","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/?p=2384"},"modified":"2011-07-05T10:02:43","modified_gmt":"2011-07-05T07:02:43","slug":"rekor-kirdik-ama","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/i\/rekor-kirdik-ama\/","title":{"rendered":"Rekor K\u0131rd\u0131k Ama&#8230;"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Con Ahmet&#8217;in devridaim makinesine benzeyen ve cari a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131n s\u00fcrekli b\u00fcy\u00fcmesine dayal\u0131 olan bu \u00e7ark sonsuza dek d\u00f6nemez.<\/p><div class=\"bilge-yaziust\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-2713231491\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"9580705384\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p>Ge\u00e7en hafta rekorlar haftas\u0131yd\u0131. Y\u00fczde 11\u2019lik ilk \u00e7eyrek b\u00fcy\u00fcmesi bir d\u00fcnya rekoru olarak kayda ge\u00e7ti. En h\u0131zl\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fcyen \u00fc\u00e7 \u00fclke s\u0131ralamas\u0131nda bizden sonra Arjantin (y\u00fczde 9,9) ve \u00c7in (y\u00fczde 9,7) geliyor. T\u00fcrkiye, 2010 y\u0131l\u0131n\u0131n ilk \u00e7eyre\u011finde y\u00fczde 12 b\u00fcy\u00fcm\u00fc\u015f olmas\u0131na kar\u015f\u0131n o \u00e7eyrekte rekoru k\u0131ramam\u0131\u015ft\u0131.<\/p>\n<p>Ayn\u0131 d\u00f6nem itibariyle T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin dikkatlerden ka\u00e7an bir ba\u015fka rekoru daha var: B\u00fct\u00e7e a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 azaltma rekoru. 2009\u2019da y\u00fczde 5,5 olan b\u00fct\u00e7e a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131\/GSYH oran\u0131n\u0131 2010\u2019da y\u00fczde 3,6\u2019ya d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcren T\u00fcrkiye, 2011 y\u0131l\u0131n\u0131n ilk be\u015f ay\u0131nda a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131 s\u0131f\u0131rlamay\u0131 ba\u015fard\u0131. D\u00fcnyada krizden \u00e7\u0131karken b\u00fct\u00e7e a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 bu kadar h\u0131zl\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcren ba\u015fka ekonomi bulunmuyor. \u00dcstelik bu ba\u015far\u0131 se\u00e7im y\u0131l\u0131nda ya\u015fand\u0131 ve \u00fcstelik b\u00fct\u00fcn d\u00fcnyan\u0131n b\u00fct\u00e7e a\u00e7\u0131klar\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fcrken ya\u015fand\u0131.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Ekonomi politikas\u0131 s\u0131nav sorusu <\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Ekonomi politikas\u0131 dersi s\u0131nav\u0131nda \u015f\u00f6yle bir soru sorulabilir: T\u00fcrkiye\u2019deki b\u00fcy\u00fcme ve cari a\u00e7\u0131k art\u0131\u015f\u0131 rekorlar\u0131n\u0131n ard\u0131nda \u015fu say\u0131lanlardan hangisi var? (a) \u00d6zel kesimin ihracat \u00e7abas\u0131. (b) H\u00fck\u00fcmetin izledi\u011fi ekonomi politikas\u0131. (c) Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n izledi\u011fi para politikas\u0131. (d) \u0130\u00e7 talepteki canl\u0131l\u0131k. (e) TL\u2019nin a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 de\u011ferli olmas\u0131. (f) \u0130thalat\u0131n ve dolay\u0131s\u0131yla cari a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131n artmas\u0131. (g) Faizlerin d\u00fc\u015f\u00fckl\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fcn yaratt\u0131\u011f\u0131 bor\u00e7lanma art\u0131\u015f\u0131. (h) Varl\u0131k de\u011ferlerinin \u015fi\u015fmesi ve insanlar\u0131n kendisini zenginle\u015fmi\u015f hissederek harcamalar\u0131n\u0131 artt\u0131rmas\u0131. (i) Yukar\u0131da say\u0131lanlar\u0131n hepsi.<\/p>\n<p>Se\u00e7eneklerin baz\u0131s\u0131 sonu\u00e7 gibi g\u00f6r\u00fcnse de sonu\u00e7lar sonradan d\u00f6n\u00fcp neden haline gelebiliyor. Faizlerin d\u00fc\u015f\u00fckl\u00fc\u011f\u00fc ve hane halk\u0131n\u0131n bor\u00e7lanma ve harcamalar\u0131n\u0131n artm\u0131\u015f olmas\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fcmede anahtar rol oynam\u0131\u015f gibi duruyor. Ger\u00e7ekten de ilk \u00e7eyrek sonu\u00e7lar\u0131na bakt\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131zda GSYH olu\u015fumunda y\u00fczde 73 paya sahip olan nihai t\u00fcketim harcamalar\u0131n\u0131n y\u00fczde 12,1 artt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ve dolay\u0131s\u0131yla b\u00fcy\u00fcmede en \u00f6nemli etkinin t\u00fcketim art\u0131\u015f\u0131ndan kaynakland\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fcyoruz.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Con Ahmet\u2019in devridaim makinesi <\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong> <\/strong>\u0130\u00e7 talepte bu kadar b\u00fcy\u00fck art\u0131\u015f oldu\u011funda ithalat, cari a\u00e7\u0131k, vergi gelirleri ayn\u0131 y\u00f6nde art\u0131yor. Bizim vergi sistemimiz b\u00fcy\u00fck \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde harcamalara ba\u011flanm\u0131\u015f KDV, \u00d6TV gibi vergilere dayand\u0131\u011f\u0131 i\u00e7in ithalat art\u0131\u015f\u0131yla birlikte b\u00fct\u00e7e a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131 daral\u0131yor.<\/p><div class=\"bilge-content-1\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-1201721768\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"3167340272\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p>Sistem \u015f\u00f6yle \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131yor: TL de\u011ferli tutuluyor. TL de\u011ferli olunca enflasyon d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck kal\u0131yor. Enflasyon d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck kal\u0131nca faizler de d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck kal\u0131yor. Faizler d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck olunca vatanda\u015f kredi kullanmaya ba\u015fl\u0131yor. Vatanda\u015f kredi kullan\u0131nca piyasada talep art\u0131yor. Talep art\u0131nca varl\u0131k de\u011ferleri y\u00fckseliyor, herkes kendini daha varl\u0131kl\u0131 hissedip daha \u00e7ok harc\u0131yor. Harcamalar art\u0131nca bir yandan \u00fcretim, bir yandan da ithalat art\u0131yor. Bu i\u015flemlerin bir sonucu olarak vergi tahsilat\u0131 art\u0131yor. \u0130thalat art\u0131nca bir yandan ekonomi b\u00fcy\u00fcrken bir yandan da cari a\u00e7\u0131k art\u0131yor. Cari a\u00e7\u0131k art\u0131nca ithalde al\u0131nan KDV tahsilat\u0131 art\u0131yor. Vergi tahsilat\u0131 art\u0131nca b\u00fct\u00e7e a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131 azal\u0131yor. Bunlar olunca ekonomi istikrarl\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyor. Ekonomi istikrarl\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcnce s\u0131cak para giri\u015fi ba\u015fl\u0131yor. S\u0131cak para giri\u015fi ba\u015flay\u0131nca TL de\u011fer kazan\u0131yor. TL de\u011fer kazan\u0131nca ithalat biraz daha art\u0131yor. \u0130thalat biraz daha art\u0131nca b\u00fcy\u00fcme art\u0131yor ama cari a\u00e7\u0131k daha da art\u0131yor.<\/p>\n<p>Con Ahmet\u2019in devridaim makinesine benzeyen ve cari a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131n s\u00fcrekli b\u00fcy\u00fcmesine dayal\u0131 olan bu \u00e7ark sonsuza dek d\u00f6nemeyece\u011fine g\u00f6re b\u00fcy\u00fcmeyi katma de\u011fer yaratacak bir sanayi yap\u0131s\u0131na oturtacak uzun d\u00f6nemli bir stratejiye ihtiyac\u0131m\u0131z var demektir. Ki bu konu \u00fczerindeki \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmalar olduk\u00e7a ileri bir a\u015famaya gelmi\u015f g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyor. B\u00fcy\u00fcmede rekor k\u0131rd\u0131k diye sevinelim sevinmesine ama cari a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131n kalbimizi k\u0131rmas\u0131na da izin vermeyelim.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Con Ahmet&#8217;in devridaim makinesine benzeyen ve cari a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131n s\u00fcrekli b\u00fcy\u00fcmesine dayal\u0131 olan bu \u00e7ark sonsuza dek d\u00f6nemez. Ge\u00e7en hafta rekorlar haftas\u0131yd\u0131. Y\u00fczde 11\u2019lik ilk \u00e7eyrek&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":12,"featured_media":917,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-2384","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-tumyazilar"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2384","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/12"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=2384"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2384\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/917"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=2384"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=2384"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=2384"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}