{"id":23719,"date":"2013-03-22T14:00:35","date_gmt":"2013-03-22T12:00:35","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/?p=23719"},"modified":"2013-03-22T14:00:46","modified_gmt":"2013-03-22T12:00:46","slug":"turkiye-buyumeye-uluslararasi-doviz-acigi-ise-yukselmeye-devam-ediyor","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/i\/turkiye-buyumeye-uluslararasi-doviz-acigi-ise-yukselmeye-devam-ediyor\/","title":{"rendered":"T\u00fcrkiye B\u00fcy\u00fcmeye, Uluslararas\u0131 D\u00f6viz A\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131 ise Y\u00fckselmeye Devam Ediyor"},"content":{"rendered":"
TCMB hafta i\u00e7inde, Uluslararas\u0131 Yat\u0131r\u0131m Pozisyonu 2013 y\u0131l\u0131 Ocak\u00a0 rakamlar\u0131n\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131klad\u0131. Buna g\u00f6re, 2013 Ocak ay\u0131nda D\u00f6viz Y\u00fck\u00fcml\u00fcl\u00fckleri 642,922 milyar dolar, D\u00f6viz Varl\u0131klar\u0131 ise 217,302\u00a0 milyar dolara ula\u015fm\u0131\u015f durumda.\u00a0 D\u00f6viz a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131 ise\u00a0 425,620\u00a0 milyar dolar. T\u00fcrkiye, 2012 senesini 46,9 milyar dolar cari a\u00e7\u0131k ile kapatm\u0131\u015ft\u0131. Dolay\u0131s\u0131 ile cari a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131n GSYH oran\u0131 da y\u00fczde\u00a0 – 5,9\u2019a gerilemi\u015fti. Uluslararas\u0131 d\u00f6viz a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131z\u0131n GSYH\u2019ya oran\u0131 ise, y\u00fczde\u00a050\u2019ye y\u00fckselmi\u015f durumda. 2010 y\u0131l\u0131nda net d\u00f6viz a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n 362 milyar dolar oldu\u011fu d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcld\u00fc\u011f\u00fcnde, 2013 senesine g\u00f6re a\u00e7\u0131k y\u00fczde\u00a017,5 artm\u0131\u015f durumda. Bu tablo, asl\u0131nda bize \u015funu g\u00f6steriyor. T\u00fcrkiye 1980 sonras\u0131, d\u0131\u015fa a\u00e7\u0131k ekonomi modelini benimseyerek ve d\u0131\u015f ticaret hacmini geni\u015fleterek yurt d\u0131\u015f\u0131na ihracata ba\u015flam\u0131\u015f ve bunda da b\u00fcy\u00fck ba\u015far\u0131 g\u00f6stererek 2012 y\u0131l\u0131 sonunda 163 milyar $ gelir elde etmi\u015ftir. Ancak, ihracat\u0131n y\u00fczde\u00a058,5\u2019i ara mal bir ithalat\u0131na ba\u011fl\u0131 oldu\u011fu i\u00e7in, T\u00fcrkiye\u2019 nin, yurt d\u0131\u015f\u0131 ithalat\u0131 her ge\u00e7en y\u0131l artmaya devam etmi\u015ftir. Uluslar aras\u0131 d\u00f6viz a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131z\u0131n 425,620 milyar dolara \u00e7\u0131kmas\u0131n\u0131n as\u0131l nedeni asl\u0131nda cari a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131n finansman\u0131d\u0131r. Cari a\u00e7\u0131k T\u00fcrkiye\u2019 nin en \u00f6nemli sorunu olmaya devam etmektedir ve bu sorun muhtemelen, b\u00fcy\u00fcme modeli de\u011fi\u015fmedi\u011fi s\u00fcrece bir di\u011fer ifade ile, ithal girdi oran\u0131 y\u00fczde\u00a058,5\u2019den y\u00fczde 40\u2019lara \u00e7ekilmedi\u011fi s\u00fcrece s\u0131k\u0131nt\u0131 artarak s\u00fcrmeye devam edecektir. Di\u011fer yandan, Ekonomi Bakanl\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131z\u0131n, te\u015fvikler ile ilgili \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131 \u00e7ok ba\u015far\u0131l\u0131 bir \u015fekilde devam etmektedir. Bunlar\u0131n, piyasaya olumlu etkisi zamanla kendini g\u00f6sterecektir. Ancak, kaliteli yerli \u00fcretim, AR \u2013 GE \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131na 2013 y\u0131l\u0131nda daha fazla pay ayr\u0131lmal\u0131d\u0131r. Yap\u0131sal reformlara h\u0131z verilmelidir. T\u00fcketim bilinci ve markala\u015fma i\u00e7in \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmalar h\u0131zland\u0131r\u0131lmal\u0131d\u0131r.\u00a0 \u00d6zel Sekt\u00f6r \u2013 \u00dcniversite i\u015fbirli\u011finin verimlili\u011fi ve kaliteyi artt\u0131rd\u0131\u011f\u0131 unutulmamal\u0131d\u0131r. Yukar\u0131da sayd\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131z tedbirler k\u0131sa s\u00fcrede hayata ge\u00e7irilmedi\u011fi s\u00fcrece, Uluslararas\u0131 d\u00f6viz a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131z\u0131n GSYH oran\u0131 kredi de\u011ferlendirme kurulu\u015flar\u0131n\u0131n\u00a0 not de\u011ferlendirmesi s\u0131ras\u0131nda \u00f6nemli bir g\u00f6sterge olmaya devam edecektir.<\/p>