{"id":22682,"date":"2013-01-28T23:06:57","date_gmt":"2013-01-28T21:06:57","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/?p=22682"},"modified":"2013-01-28T23:07:09","modified_gmt":"2013-01-28T21:07:09","slug":"o-kadar-da-degil","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/i\/o-kadar-da-degil\/","title":{"rendered":"O kadar da De\u011fil"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Ba\u015far\u0131l\u0131 ekonomi palavras\u0131 zik zaklarla devam ediyor. Bir yanda yere g\u00f6\u011fe s\u0131\u011fd\u0131r\u0131lamayan bir performans, di\u011fer tarafta hayat\u0131n ger\u00e7ekleri. Hani arefeyi g\u00f6sterip bayram\u0131 ya\u015fatmamak diye bir deyim vard\u0131r ya; kredi derecelendirme kurulu\u015flar\u0131 da T\u00fcrkiye\u2019ye bunu yap\u0131yor.<\/p><div class=\"bilge-yaziust\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-2698874463\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"9580705384\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p>Her ne kadar bunlar\u0131n son derece siyasi davrand\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnsem ve analizlerinin objektifli\u011fiyle ilgili ciddi \u015f\u00fcphelerim de olsa, baz\u0131lar\u0131 buna dayan\u0131p, sonra bo\u015fa d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnce ortaya \u00e7\u0131kan foto\u011fraf insan\u0131 ac\u0131 ac\u0131 g\u00fcl\u00fcmsetiyor.<\/p>\n<p>Eski Hesap Uzman\u0131 B\u00fclent Soylan\u2019\u0131n ge\u00e7enlerde televizyon program\u0131mda yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 bir analiz vard\u0131. Memleke(n)tsel d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f\u00fcm\u00fcn en az 450 milyar dolar gerektirdi\u011fi ve bu paran\u0131n da d\u0131\u015far\u0131dan gelmek d\u0131\u015f\u0131nda bir alternatifi olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ortaya koydu\u011fu makalesini de\u011ferlendirirken ortaya \u00e7\u0131kan sonu\u00e7 vahimdi:<\/p>\n<p>\u0130\u015fin siyasi boyutunda her t\u00fcrl\u00fc taviz istenebilece\u011fi gibi, ekonomik olarak da bu k\u00fcresel sermaye gruplar\u0131n\u0131n kendi yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131 ikna etmek i\u00e7in ihtiyac\u0131 olan bir ba\u015far\u0131 hikayesiydi.<\/p>\n<p>Bir bask\u0131 nedeniydi. \u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc olas\u0131 bir krizin in\u015faat sekt\u00f6r\u00fcnden ba\u015flayaca\u011f\u0131 hususunda herkes hemfikir. Fakat para tatl\u0131, yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n ikna edilmesi gerekiyor. Bu da resmi kurulu\u015flar arac\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131yla makyajlanarak yap\u0131l\u0131yor. \u0130\u015fte T\u00fcrkiye\u2019ye verilen sahte co\u015fkunun temelinde yatan nedenlerden biri buydu, bir\u00e7ok farkl\u0131 sebeple birlikte.<\/p>\n<p>Co\u015fku vermek kolayd\u0131 da, yine de bir noktada topu ya da su\u00e7u \u00fczerinden atmak gerekiyor. S\u00fcrekli \u00e7arp\u0131t\u0131lm\u0131\u015f bilgilerle verece\u011finiz co\u015fku, bir s\u00fcre sonra bu \u00fclkenin ekonomi y\u00f6netenlerini de z\u0131vanadan \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131yor. Bu sebeple zaman zaman ayar veriliyor.<\/p>\n<p>\u0130\u015fte Moody\u2019s\u2019in son yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 da bundan farkl\u0131 de\u011fil. Ne dedi kredi derecelendirme kurulu\u015fu? Not art\u0131\u015f\u0131 yok, cari a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131n azalt\u0131lmas\u0131 ve rezervlerin artmas\u0131 gerekiyor. Bundan da anla\u015f\u0131l\u0131yor ki, ger\u00e7ek bir cari a\u00e7\u0131k azal\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131n yap\u0131sal problemler giderilmeden rakamsal bazda ger\u00e7ekle\u015fmesi problem ortadan kald\u0131rm\u0131yor.<\/p>\n<p>Rezervin art\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131na gelince, bunun size kredi veren bankan\u0131n hesab\u0131n\u0131zda daha \u00e7ok paray\u0131 bloke etmenizi talep etmesinden ba\u015fka bir anlam\u0131 yok. Elbette g\u00f6rebilene\u2026 Fakat hayaller diyar\u0131nda ya\u015fayanlar yine \u2018hayaldi ge\u00e7ek oldu\u2019 masallar\u0131na devam edebilir.<\/p><div class=\"bilge-content-1\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-3848063541\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"3167340272\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p>Gelelim i\u015fin bir ba\u015fka sa\u011flamas\u0131na\u2026. T\u00fcrkiye ekonomisi o kadar g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc, o denli yenilmez ve ula\u015f\u0131lmaz bir ba\u015far\u0131ya, sa\u011flaml\u0131\u011fa sahip ki, Moody\u2019s bir a\u00e7\u0131klama yap\u0131yor \u0130MKB allak bullak\u2026<\/p>\n<p>Sonra da herkes birbirine soruyor: Neden oldu? Sen ekonomiyi borsa, d\u00f6viz, faiz \u00fc\u00e7geninden, yani enstr\u00fcman olmas\u0131 gereken finans piyasalar\u0131ndan ibaret zannedersen, artt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 sevinirken, d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc\u011f\u00fcnde de b\u00f6yle \u00fcz\u00fcl\u00fcrs\u00fcn. Merak etmeyin yak\u0131nda y\u00fckselir. D\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc\u011f\u00fcnde ne kadar etkilerse sizi, \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131\u011f\u0131nda da o kadar etkiler.<\/p>\n<p>Uyan\u0131n art\u0131k, uyan\u0131n. Ekonominin ger\u00e7ek y\u00fcz\u00fcyle tan\u0131\u015f\u0131n. \u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc b\u00fcy\u00fck soyguncular bile bozuk saat gibi arada do\u011fruyu g\u00f6sterip mesaj veriyor: O kadar da de\u011fil\u2026<\/p>\n<p>cetinunsalan@yahoo.com<\/p><div class=\"bilge-content-2\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-3187643539\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"1818807385\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Ba\u015far\u0131l\u0131 ekonomi palavras\u0131 zik zaklarla devam ediyor. Bir yanda yere g\u00f6\u011fe s\u0131\u011fd\u0131r\u0131lamayan bir performans, di\u011fer tarafta hayat\u0131n ger\u00e7ekleri. Hani arefeyi g\u00f6sterip bayram\u0131 ya\u015fatmamak diye bir&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":5,"featured_media":14653,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-22682","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-tumyazilar"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/22682","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/5"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=22682"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/22682\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/14653"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=22682"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=22682"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=22682"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}