{"id":20957,"date":"2012-11-02T21:54:15","date_gmt":"2012-11-02T19:54:15","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/?p=20957"},"modified":"2012-11-02T21:54:24","modified_gmt":"2012-11-02T19:54:24","slug":"altin-ihracati-dis-ticaret-rakamlarina-eklenmeli-mi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/i\/altin-ihracati-dis-ticaret-rakamlarina-eklenmeli-mi\/","title":{"rendered":"Alt\u0131n \u0130hracat\u0131 D\u0131\u015f Ticaret Rakamlar\u0131na Eklenmeli mi?"},"content":{"rendered":"

Hafta i\u00e7inde, T\u00fcrkiye \u0130statistik Kurumu (T\u00dc\u0130K), Eyl\u00fcl 2012 d\u0131\u015f ticaret rakamlar\u0131n\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131klam\u0131\u015ft\u0131. A\u00e7\u0131klanan verilere g\u00f6re, ihracat, Eyl\u00fcl 2011\u2019e g\u00f6re % 21 artarak, 13 013 milyon dolar, ithalat ise yine Eyl\u00fcl 2011\u2019e g\u00f6re % 6,4 azalarak 19 838 milyon dolar olarak ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti. 2012\u00a0 Eyl\u00fcl\u00a0 ay\u0131nda, ihracat kalemlerinde ki art\u0131\u015f\u0131n bir \u00f6nceki y\u0131la k\u0131yasla artarak devam etmesi ve ithalat rakam\u0131n\u0131n da T\u00fcrkiye Ekonomisinin so\u011fumas\u0131n\u0131n olumlu neticesi olarak,\u00a0 bir \u00f6nceki y\u0131la g\u00f6re ini\u015fe ge\u00e7mesi sonucu,\u00a0 Eyl\u00fcl 2012 d\u0131\u015f ticaret a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131 10 453 milyon dolardan 6 825 milyon dolara geriledi. \u015eu an,\u00a0 Ocak \u2013 Eyl\u00fcl 2012 konsolide ihracat gelirimiz 113 milyar dolara ula\u015fm\u0131\u015f duurmda. \u0130lk bak\u0131\u015fta a\u00e7\u0131klanan d\u0131\u015f ticaret rakamlar\u0131 olumlu gibi g\u00f6z\u00fckse de, ihracat kaleminde Alt\u0131n ihracat\u0131n\u0131n Eyl\u00fcl ay\u0131nda da artmaya devam etmesi ve ilk 9 ayl\u0131k Alt\u0131n ihracat\u0131n\u0131n 13 milyar dolara ula\u015fmas\u0131 akl\u0131ma \u015fu soruyu getiriyor . Gelecek y\u0131llarda alt\u0131n ihracat\u0131 15 \u2013 20 \u2013 30 milyar dolara ula\u015fabilecek mi ? Analiz edersek, 2012 y\u0131l\u0131 ilk 9 ay\u0131nda; tahminen 20 ton civar\u0131nda alt\u0131n ihracat\u0131 ger\u00e7ekle\u015fmi\u015f durumda. Mevcut k\u00fcresel bor\u00e7 krizinin Avrupa\u2019da kronikle\u015fmeye devam etmesi neticesinde ve IMF\u2019in, 2013 y\u0131l\u0131nda Avrupa ekonomisinin % 0\u2019a yak\u0131n b\u00fcy\u00fcyebilece\u011fini tahmin etmesi, 2012 y\u0131l\u0131nda ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirilen ba\u015far\u0131l\u0131 Alt\u0131n ihracat\u0131n\u0131n bu d\u0131\u015f ticaret i\u00e7inde ki pay\u0131n\u0131n % 10\u2019a yakla\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131 bir ortamda, 2013 ve gelecek y\u0131llarda\u00a0 ayn\u0131 ivme ile artarak devam etmemesi durumunda gerek d\u0131\u015f ticaret gerekse cari i\u015flemler a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131na ters etki yapabilece\u011fini dip not olarak belirtmek de yarar var. Diyelim ki, 2012 y\u0131l\u0131nda ki ba\u015far\u0131l\u0131 alt\u0131n ihracat\u0131 gelecek y\u0131llarda ayn\u0131 performans\u0131 g\u00f6steremez ise bu durumda\u00a0 bir di\u011fer soruyu sormam\u0131z gerekiyor.\u00a0 Alt\u0131n sat\u0131\u015flar\u0131n\u0131 d\u0131\u015f ticaret rakamlar\u0131 i\u00e7inde g\u00f6stermek do\u011fru mu ?<\/p>

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