Son b\u00fcy\u00fcme verileri T\u00fcrkiye ekonomisinin yava\u015flad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6yl\u00fcyor. Y\u0131l\u0131n \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc \u00e7eyre\u011finin de benzer bir h\u0131zda yani yava\u015f ge\u00e7ildi\u011fini ima eden veriler var. Ciddi tahminler de bu y\u00f6nde zaten. Anlayaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131z zor bir d\u00f6neme do\u011fru yol al\u0131yoruz. Zor demekle tekrar kriz olacak demek istemiyorum. Tersine, ufukta 2008-2009 y\u0131llar\u0131na benzer bir kas\u0131lma olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 g\u00f6rm\u00fcyorum. Ama 2011 gibi y\u00fczde sekize ula\u015fan h\u0131zl\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fcme de s\u00f6z konusu olmayacak g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyor. Ya\u015fanan zaman zorla\u015facak anlayaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131z.
\n\u00d6zel karar al\u0131c\u0131lar\u0131n karar de\u011fi\u015ftirmek i\u00e7in zor zaman ya\u015famalar\u0131 gerekmez. \u00d6nlerinde zor zaman olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 g\u00f6rmeleri\u00a0 bile karar de\u011fi\u015ftirmeleri i\u00e7in yeter. Hemen harcama frenine basarlar. T\u00fcketim ve yat\u0131r\u0131m ama\u00e7l\u0131 harcamalar\u0131n\u0131 azalt\u0131rlar. Toplam\u00a0 harcamalar d\u00fc\u015fer. Mal ve hizmetlere d\u00f6n\u00fck \u00f6zel talep azal\u0131r. Ekonomi yava\u015flar, b\u00fcy\u00fcme h\u0131z\u0131 d\u00fc\u015fer.\u00a0 Hen\u00fcz zorluklar gelmeden olu\u015fan\u00a0 bu kas\u0131lma zaten zaman\u0131n\u00a0 zorla\u015fmas\u0131na davetiye \u00e7\u0131kart\u0131r. Sonu\u00e7ta ortaya \u00e7\u0131kan \u00fcretim, istihdam ve refah kay\u0131plar\u0131 ya\u015fanan zamanlar\u0131 daha da zor hale getirir.
\n*\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 *\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 *
\nT\u00fcrkiye ekonomisi de b\u00f6yle bir gidi\u015fat\u0131n yol ayr\u0131m\u0131na gelmi\u015f gibi g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyor. Ge\u00e7en y\u0131l\u0131n ikinci yar\u0131s\u0131ndan\u00a0 bu yana ya\u015fanan baz\u0131 geli\u015fmelerin\u00a0 beklentilerimizi bozdu\u011funu, \u00f6zel alanda karar kas\u0131lmalar\u0131 yaratt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 va\u00a0 zor zamanlara davetiye \u00e7\u0131kartt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyorum.
\nEn b\u00fcy\u00fck ticaret orta\u011f\u0131m\u0131z olan Avrupa’n\u0131n hala k\u00fcresel krizden s\u0131yr\u0131lamay\u0131p,\u00a0 kriz ko\u015fullar\u0131nda ya\u015famay\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcrmesi\u00a0 b\u00f6yle bir geli\u015fme. Avrupa kilitlenmesi krizin bize de bula\u015faca\u011f\u0131 ve b\u00fcy\u00fcmemizin\u00a0 daha da yava\u015flayaca\u011f\u0131 beklentisini k\u0131\u015fk\u0131rt\u0131yor. Arap bahar\u0131 s\u00fcrecini abart\u0131l\u0131 olarak alg\u0131lay\u0131p s\u00fcreci adeta elimizde patlamay\u0131 bekleyen bir\u00a0 bomba haline getirmemiz de\u00a0 beklentilerin bozulmas\u0131nda a\u011f\u0131rl\u0131kl\u0131 rol oynuyor. Ge\u00e7mi\u015f d\u00f6nemde ekonominin \u0131s\u0131nd\u0131\u011f\u0131na h\u00fckmederek yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131z frenin dozunu\u00a0 ayarlayamad\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131z i\u00e7in ekonomiyi gere\u011finden fazla yava\u015flatm\u0131\u015f olmam\u0131z da karar ufkumuzu iyice karartm\u0131\u015f gibi g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyor.<\/p>