{"id":19801,"date":"2012-09-19T08:06:06","date_gmt":"2012-09-19T06:06:06","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/?p=19801"},"modified":"2012-09-19T08:06:24","modified_gmt":"2012-09-19T06:06:24","slug":"daha-kolay-gibi-gorunse-de-zor-bir-doneme-giriyoruz","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/i\/daha-kolay-gibi-gorunse-de-zor-bir-doneme-giriyoruz\/","title":{"rendered":"Daha Kolay Gibi G\u00f6r\u00fcnse de Zor Bir D\u00f6neme Giriyoruz"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Y\u0131l\u0131n ilk yar\u0131s\u0131nda y\u00fczde 3.1 oran\u0131nda b\u00fcy\u00fcd\u00fck. Bu d\u00fczeyin \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc \u00e7eyrekte de pek de\u011fi\u015fmeyece\u011fi, \u00f6nc\u00fc g\u00f6stergelerden anla\u015f\u0131l\u0131yor. D\u00fc\u015f\u00fck b\u00fcy\u00fcme i\u015fsizlik oran\u0131n\u0131 da yans\u0131yor: Mevsim ve takvim etkisinden ar\u0131nd\u0131r\u0131lm\u0131\u015f i\u015fsizlik oran\u0131 uzun bir s\u00fcredir y\u00fczde 9.4 ile 8.9 aras\u0131nda geziniyor. Hafta ba\u015f\u0131nda a\u00e7\u0131klanan haziran d\u00f6nemi i\u015fsizlik oran\u0131 y\u00fczde 8.9 oldu. Peki, y\u0131l\u0131n son \u00e7eyre\u011finde ve 2013&#8217;\u00fcn ilk yar\u0131s\u0131nda daha y\u00fcksek bir b\u00fcy\u00fcme oran\u0131 yakalayabilir miyiz?<\/p><div class=\"bilge-yaziust\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-1711585057\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"9580705384\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p>Sorunun \u00f6zellikle 2013&#8217;e ili\u015fkin k\u0131sm\u0131, bir \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde bizim uygulayaca\u011f\u0131m\u0131z ekonomi politikas\u0131na ba\u011fl\u0131. Ge\u00e7en hafta nas\u0131l bir ekonomi politikas\u0131 uygulanabilece\u011fini tart\u0131\u015ft\u0131m. O tart\u0131\u015fma, manevra alan\u0131m\u0131z\u0131n k\u0131s\u0131tl\u0131 oldu\u011funu g\u00f6steriyor. Pazartesi g\u00fcn\u00fc D\u00dcNYA&#8217;da man\u015fetten verilen haber-yorumun da g\u00f6sterdi\u011fi gibi, maliye politikas\u0131n\u0131n b\u0131rak\u0131n gev\u015fetilmesini, s\u0131k\u0131la\u015ft\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131 g\u00fcndemde. Bu durumda, maliye politikas\u0131ndan i\u00e7 talebi art\u0131r\u0131c\u0131 bir hamle beklememek gerekiyor.<br \/>\nPara politikas\u0131 ise a\u011fustos ba\u015f\u0131ndan beri zaten gev\u015fetilmi\u015f vaziyette. As\u0131l politika faizi olan bankalar\u0131n ortalama fonlama maliyetini Merkez Bankas\u0131 2 puan\u0131n \u00fczerinde d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcrd\u00fc. Son yedi i\u015fg\u00fcn\u00fcnde ise bu faizin ald\u0131\u011f\u0131 en y\u00fcksek de\u011fer y\u00fczde 6.2 oldu. Bu d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn kredi faizlerine daha rahat yans\u0131mas\u0131 i\u00e7in faiz koridorunun en az\u0131ndan \u00fcst s\u0131n\u0131r\u0131nda bir indirim gerekebilir. Siz bu sat\u0131rlar\u0131 okudu\u011funuzda Merkez Bankas\u0131 faiz karar\u0131n\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131klam\u0131\u015f olacak. \u0130lerideki g\u00fcnlerde, fonlama maliyetini belki \u00e7ok az daha a\u015fa\u011f\u0131ya \u00e7ekebilir Merkez Bankas\u0131. Ama burada b\u00fcy\u00fck \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde k\u0131s\u0131tl\u0131 oldu\u011funu d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyorum. Y\u0131l\u0131n son \u00e7eyre\u011finde o \u00e7ok beklenen d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f ger\u00e7ekle\u015fse bile, enflasyonun hala hedefin olduk\u00e7a \u00fczerinde kalmas\u0131 ihtimali var \u00e7\u00fcnk\u00fc. Zorunlu kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k oran\u0131nda kredi arz\u0131 art\u0131\u015f h\u0131z\u0131n\u0131 art\u0131rmak \u00fczere bir miktar oynama alan\u0131 var. Ancak zorunlu kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131klar\u0131n giderek artan k\u0131sm\u0131n\u0131n alt\u0131n ve d\u00f6viz cinsinden tutulmas\u0131na izin vererek, bu alan\u0131 bir miktar daraltt\u0131 Merkez Bankas\u0131.<\/p>\n<p>Yaz\u0131n\u0131n devam\u0131 i\u00e7in <a href=\"http:\/\/www.dunya.com\/daha-kolay-gibi-gorunse-de-zor-bir-doneme-giriyoruz-149606yy.htm\" target=\"_blank\" data-wpel-link=\"external\" rel=\"nofollow external noopener\"><strong>TIKLAYINIZ.<\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Y\u0131l\u0131n ilk yar\u0131s\u0131nda y\u00fczde 3.1 oran\u0131nda b\u00fcy\u00fcd\u00fck. Bu d\u00fczeyin \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc \u00e7eyrekte de pek de\u011fi\u015fmeyece\u011fi, \u00f6nc\u00fc g\u00f6stergelerden anla\u015f\u0131l\u0131yor. D\u00fc\u015f\u00fck b\u00fcy\u00fcme i\u015fsizlik oran\u0131n\u0131 da yans\u0131yor: Mevsim ve&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":16,"featured_media":894,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-19801","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-tumyazilar"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/19801","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/16"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=19801"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/19801\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/894"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=19801"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=19801"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=19801"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}