Yumu\u015fak ini\u015f (soft landing), sert ini\u015f (hard landing), ekonominin so\u011futulmas\u0131 ya da ekonomide frene bas\u0131lmas\u0131\u00a0<\/strong><\/div>\n
Bir ekonominin kaynaklar\u0131n\u0131 ideal d\u00fczeyde\u00a0kulland\u0131\u011f\u0131\u00a0bir dengede ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirdi\u011fi b\u00fcy\u00fcme oran\u0131na o ekonominin potansiyel b\u00fcy\u00fcme oran\u0131 ad\u0131 verilir. Genellikle bir \u00fclke potansiyel b\u00fcy\u00fcme oran\u0131 dolay\u0131nda bir b\u00fcy\u00fcme s\u00fcreklili\u011fi yakalarsa sa\u011fl\u0131kl\u0131 bir ekonomik denge i\u00e7inde b\u00fcy\u00fcyebilece\u011fi kabul edilir.\u00a0Bu tan\u0131mdan giderek bir hesaplama yapmak \u00e7ok kolay olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131 i\u00e7in uzun y\u0131llar\u0131n b\u00fcy\u00fcme ortalamas\u0131 bir \u00e7e\u015fit potansiyel b\u00fcy\u00fcme oran\u0131 olarak kabul edilir. Bu oran T\u00fcrkiye i\u00e7in yakla\u015f\u0131k olarak y\u00fczde 5 dolay\u0131nda bir orand\u0131r. T\u00fcrkiye bu oran dolay\u0131nda bir b\u00fcy\u00fcme serisi yakalad\u0131\u011f\u0131nda ekonomik dengesini bozmadan b\u00fcy\u00fcmeyi s\u00fcrd\u00fcrebilir.<\/div>\n
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T\u00fcrkiye 2010 y\u0131l\u0131nda y\u00fczde 9, 2011 y\u0131l\u0131nda y\u00fczde 8,5 oran\u0131nda b\u00fcy\u00fcd\u00fc. Yani T\u00fcrkiye son iki y\u0131lda potansiyel b\u00fcy\u00fcme oran\u0131n\u0131n \u00e7ok \u00fcst\u00fcnde bir oranda b\u00fcy\u00fcmeye ula\u015ft\u0131. Potansiyel b\u00fcy\u00fcmenin bu kadar zorlanmas\u0131 cari a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131n y\u00fczde 10\u2019lara gelip dayanmas\u0131na yol a\u00e7t\u0131. Bunu s\u00fcrd\u00fcrebilmek imk\u00e2n d\u0131\u015f\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyor. \u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc bu kadar b\u00fcy\u00fck bir cari a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131n finansman\u0131, hele b\u00f6yle bir kriz ortam\u0131nda giderek imk\u00e2ns\u0131z hale geliyor. Bu durumda ekonominin yeniden potansiyel b\u00fcy\u00fcme h\u0131z\u0131na geri d\u00f6nd\u00fcr\u00fclmesi ve cari denge gibi \u00f6teki dengelerdeki bozulmalar\u0131n onar\u0131lmas\u0131 gerekiyor.<\/div>\n
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Bir ekonominin potansiyel b\u00fcy\u00fcme h\u0131z\u0131n\u0131n \u00fczerindeki bir b\u00fcy\u00fcme h\u0131z\u0131ndan tekrar potansiyel b\u00fcy\u00fcme h\u0131z\u0131 dolay\u0131na d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f\u00fcne yumu\u015fak ini\u015f deniyor. E\u011fer b\u00fcy\u00fcme h\u0131z\u0131n\u0131n d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fc potansiyel b\u00fcy\u00fcme h\u0131z\u0131n\u0131n \u00e7ok alt\u0131nda bir d\u00fczeye giderse buna da sert ini\u015f ad\u0131 veriliyor.<\/div>\n
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Potansiyel b\u00fcy\u00fcme oran\u0131 y\u00fczde 5 olan bir ekonomi d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnelim. Bu ekonomide b\u00fcy\u00fcme oran\u0131 y\u00fczde 10 olarak ger\u00e7ekle\u015fmi\u015f olsun. Bu b\u00fcy\u00fcme oran\u0131na \u00e7\u0131k\u0131l\u0131rken cari a\u00e7\u0131k da y\u00fczde 10 d\u00fczeyine \u00e7\u0131km\u0131\u015f ve finansman zorluklar\u0131 do\u011fmu\u015f bulunsun. Bu ekonominin, cari a\u00e7\u0131k ve finansman zorluklar\u0131 nedeniyle \u00e7\u00f6k\u00fcnt\u00fcyle kar\u015f\u0131la\u015fmamas\u0131 i\u00e7in b\u00fcy\u00fcme h\u0131z\u0131n\u0131n potansiyel b\u00fcy\u00fcme oran\u0131 olan y\u00fczde 5\u2019ler d\u00fczeyine indirilmesine yumu\u015fak ini\u015f denebilir. E\u011fer bu ini\u015f s\u0131ras\u0131nda \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fc tutturulamaz da b\u00fcy\u00fcme \u00f6rne\u011fin y\u00fczde 2\u2019ler d\u00fczeyine inerse buna sert ini\u015f denebilir. Ayn\u0131 ekonomide ger\u00e7ekle\u015fmi\u015f b\u00fcy\u00fcme h\u0131z\u0131 \u00f6rne\u011fin y\u00fczde 7,5 ise ve y\u00fczde 5\u2019lere inilmesi hedefleniyorsa buna da ekonominin so\u011futulmas\u0131 ya da frene bas\u0131lmas\u0131 denebilir.<\/div>\n
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Yaz\u0131n\u0131n devam\u0131 i\u00e7in TIKLAYINIZ.<\/strong><\/a><\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
Yumu\u015fak ini\u015f (soft landing), sert ini\u015f (hard landing), ekonominin so\u011futulmas\u0131 ya da ekonomide frene bas\u0131lmas\u0131\u00a0 Bir ekonominin kaynaklar\u0131n\u0131 ideal d\u00fczeyde\u00a0kulland\u0131\u011f\u0131\u00a0bir dengede ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirdi\u011fi b\u00fcy\u00fcme oran\u0131na o…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":12,"featured_media":13098,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-19701","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-tumyazilar"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/19701","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/12"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=19701"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/19701\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/13098"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=19701"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=19701"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=19701"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}