{"id":19565,"date":"2012-09-12T12:44:32","date_gmt":"2012-09-12T10:44:32","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/?p=19565"},"modified":"2012-09-12T12:44:46","modified_gmt":"2012-09-12T10:44:46","slug":"dusuk-buyumeye-uc-odul-birden","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/i\/dusuk-buyumeye-uc-odul-birden\/","title":{"rendered":"D\u00fc\u015f\u00fck B\u00fcy\u00fcmeye \u00dc\u00e7 \u00d6d\u00fcl Birden"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\u00d6nceki g\u00fcn a\u00e7\u0131klanan b\u00fcy\u00fcme verisi k\u00f6t\u00fcyd\u00fc. Y\u00fczde 2.9 ile 2009 sonras\u0131n\u0131n en d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck b\u00fcy\u00fcmesi ortaya \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131. \u0130\u00e7 t\u00fcketim ise darald\u0131. 2010&#8217;da y\u00fczde 9.2, 2011 &#8216;de y\u00fczde 8.5 b\u00fcy\u00fcyen bir ekonomi krize girmemi\u015fken y\u00fczde 2.9 b\u00fcy\u00fcmeye indi. Hem de bir y\u0131ll\u0131k bir s\u00fcrede. Finansal piyasalar iyiyken, d\u0131\u015far\u0131dan para gelirken, gelece\u011fe y\u00f6nelik beklentiler pozitifken ekonomideki bu durgunluk neyin nesi?<br \/>\n<strong><\/strong><\/p><div class=\"bilge-yaziust\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-335328490\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"9580705384\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p><strong>BEDEL D\u00dc\u015e\u00dcK B\u00dcY\u00dcME:\u00a0<\/strong>Sorunun yan\u0131t\u0131 bize madalyonun ikinci y\u00fcz\u00fcn\u00fc g\u00f6steriyor. Ekonomi y\u00f6netimi 2011 ortas\u0131nda frene bast\u0131. Hem Avrupa krizinin \u015fiddetlenmesinden hem de cari a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131n t\u00fcm zamanlar\u0131n rekor d\u00fczeyine \u00e7\u0131kmas\u0131ndan korkuldu. \u0130ki etkenin birle\u015fmesiyle T\u00fcrkiye&#8217;nin yeni bir krize girmemesi i\u00e7in, ekonomide yumu\u015fak ini\u015f tercih edildi. Bu ba\u015far\u0131ld\u0131 da. Frene basman\u0131n en b\u00fcy\u00fck arac\u0131 kredilerin maliyetinin y\u00fckseltilmesiydi. Y\u00fczde 8-9 band\u0131na kadar inmi\u015f olan kredi faizleri maliyetlerin art\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131yla y\u00fczde 1415 band\u0131na y\u00fckseldi. Faizlerde yakla\u015f\u0131k yar\u0131 yar\u0131ya art\u0131\u015f yan\u0131nda kredilere miktar s\u0131n\u0131rlamas\u0131 da konuldu. Sonu\u00e7ta b\u00fcy\u00fcme yar\u0131 yar\u0131ya azalacak, y\u00fczde 8.5&#8217;ten y\u00fczde 4 civar\u0131na gerileyecek. Bedel bu.<br \/>\n<strong><\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>1. \u00d6D\u00dcL D\u00dc\u015eEN ENFLASYON:<\/strong>\u00a0\u00d6denen bu bedel kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131nda elde edilen ilk \u00f6d\u00fcl ise d\u00fc\u015fen enflasyon. Enflasyon \u00e7ift haneli rakamlardan tek haneli rakamlara indi. Y\u0131l sonu ise y\u00fczde 6.2&#8217;ye inece\u011fi tahmin ediliyor. Bu d\u00fczey de geli\u015fmekte olan \u00fclkelerin ortalamas\u0131na yak\u0131n.<br \/>\n<strong><\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>2. \u00d6D\u00dcL D\u00dc\u015eEN CAR\u0130 A\u00c7IK:<\/strong>\u00a0D\u00fc\u015fen cari a\u00e7\u0131k ise ikinci \u00f6d\u00fcl. Temmuzda 3.8 milyar dolara inen cari a\u00e7\u0131k ayl\u0131k bazda son bir y\u0131l\u0131n en d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck rakam\u0131. Y\u0131ll\u0131k cari a\u00e7\u0131k ise 61.4 milyar dolara geriledi. Ekim 2011 &#8216;deki 78.6 milyar dolara g\u00f6re 17.1 milyar dolarl\u0131k azalma s\u00f6z konusu. Bu da y\u00fczde 22 gerileme demek. Milli gelire oran\u0131 ise y\u00fczde 10 d\u00fczeyinden y\u00fczde 8&#8217;e geriledi. 61.4 milyar dolarl\u0131k cari a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131n 2. \u00e7eyrekte 764 milyar dolar\u0131 bulan GSYH&#8217;ye oran\u0131 y\u00fczde 8.0. Y\u0131ll\u0131k hedef \u015fimdiden tutturuldu. Cari a\u00e7\u0131k bu d\u00fczeylerde yatay seyretse bile, y\u00fckselecek olan milli gelirden dolay\u0131 oran y\u00fczde 8&#8217;in alt\u0131na inecek.<\/p>\n<p>Yaz\u0131n\u0131n devam\u0131 i\u00e7in <a href=\"http:\/\/www.bloomberght.com\/ht-yazarlar\/abdurrahman-yildirim\/1210893-dusuk-buyumeye-uc-odul-birden\" target=\"_blank\" data-wpel-link=\"external\" rel=\"nofollow external noopener\"><strong>TIKLAYINIZ.<\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u00d6nceki g\u00fcn a\u00e7\u0131klanan b\u00fcy\u00fcme verisi k\u00f6t\u00fcyd\u00fc. Y\u00fczde 2.9 ile 2009 sonras\u0131n\u0131n en d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck b\u00fcy\u00fcmesi ortaya \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131. \u0130\u00e7 t\u00fcketim ise darald\u0131. 2010&#8217;da y\u00fczde 9.2, 2011 &#8216;de&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":994,"featured_media":12631,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-19565","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-tumyazilar"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/19565","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/994"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=19565"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/19565\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/12631"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=19565"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=19565"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=19565"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}