{"id":19549,"date":"2012-09-12T08:08:10","date_gmt":"2012-09-12T06:08:10","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/?p=19549"},"modified":"2012-09-12T08:08:21","modified_gmt":"2012-09-12T06:08:21","slug":"ekonomi-ince-ayar-tutmuyor","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/i\/ekonomi-ince-ayar-tutmuyor\/","title":{"rendered":"Ekonomi \u0130nce Ayar Tutmuyor&#8230;"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>T\u00fcrkiye ekonomisine ili\u015fkin son veriler ve 2012 y\u0131l\u0131n\u0131n ikinci yar\u0131s\u0131na ili\u015fkin k\u00fcresel beklentiler birlikte de\u011ferlendirilid\u011finde, belirsizlik ve k\u0131r\u0131lganl\u0131\u011f\u0131n art\u0131\u015f e\u011filiminde olabilec\u011fini s\u00f6ylemek m\u00fcmk\u00fcn. Bu senenin ikinci yar\u0131s\u0131 ilkine g\u00f6re daha srunlu hale gelebilir. \u0130kinci \u00e7eyrek b\u00fcy\u00fcme rakamlar\u0131 ve detaylar\u0131, temmuz ay\u0131 s\u0131nai \u00fcretim ve cari a\u00e7\u0131k rakamlar\u0131 g\u00fcven vermiyor. K\u00fcresel d\u00fczeydeki parasal geni\u015fleme beklentileri ise bug\u00fcne kadarki net olumlu etkinin aksine hareket yetene\u011finin daralms\u0131na sebep olabilir.<\/p><div class=\"bilge-yaziust\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-1312529896\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"9580705384\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p>T\u00fcrkiye \u0130statistik Kurumu verilerine g\u00f6re \u00fcretim y\u00f6ntemi ile hesaplanan ikinci \u00e7eyrek d\u00f6neme ili\u015fkin gayri safi yurti\u00e7i has\u0131la b\u00fcy\u00fcmesi y\u00fczde 2.9 olarak ger\u00e7ekle\u015fmi\u015f; ilk yar\u0131 rakam\u0131 da y\u00fczde 3.1 olmu\u015f. Lokomotif konumundaki i\u00e7 talep ve in\u015faat sekt\u00f6r\u00fc durgunla\u015fm\u0131\u015f, ihracat ve kamu harcamalar\u0131 verinin daha d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck \u00e7\u0131kmas\u0131n\u0131 engellemi\u015f. S\u00f6z konusu d\u00f6nemin b\u00fct\u00e7e gelirleri ve a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131nda ciddi bir s\u0131k\u0131nt\u0131n\u0131n ya\u015fanmad\u0131\u011f\u0131, enflasyon ve cari a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131n d\u0131\u015f kaynaklar ile k\u0131smen s\u0131k\u0131 tutulmu\u015f para politikas\u0131n\u0131n etkisi ile geriledi\u011fi bir d\u00f6nem oldu\u011funu hatarlamakta yarar var. Fakat 2012 y\u0131l\u0131n\u0131n ikinci yar\u0131s\u0131 i\u00e7in durum farkl\u0131la\u015f\u0131yor.<\/p>\n<p>Temmuz ay\u0131 cari a\u00e7\u0131k rakam\u0131 3.8 milyar dolara gerilemi\u015f, fakat alt\u0131n hari\u00e7 d\u0131\u015f ticaret hacmi daral\u0131yor ve d\u0131\u015f ticaret a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n 6.3 milyar dolara y\u00fckseldi\u011fi dikkat \u00e7ekiyor. Gerek Avrupa pazar\u0131n\u0131n daralmaya devam ediyor, gerekse Ortado\u011fu&#8217;nun istikrars\u0131zla\u015f\u0131yor ve ili\u015fkilerimizin bozuluyor olmas\u0131 nedeniyle ihracat\u0131m\u0131z\u0131n durgunla\u015faca\u011f\u0131 hafta k\u0131smen daralabilece\u011fini dikkate almak gerekiyor. Temmuz ay\u0131 s\u0131nai \u00fcretim rakam\u0131n\u0131n y\u00fczde 3.4 oran\u0131nda artm\u0131\u015f olmas\u0131 olumsuz beklentileri azaltm\u0131yor; ayr\u0131ca mevsim ve takvim etkilerinden ar\u0131nd\u0131r\u0131lm\u0131\u015f rakam\u0131n y\u00fczde 1.7 oldu\u011funu da hesaba katmak gerekiyor.<br \/>\nDi\u011fer taraftan geli\u015fmi\u015f ekonomilerden sonra geli\u015fmekte olanlar\u0131n da durgunla\u015fmaya ba\u015flamas\u0131 ve \u00f6n plana \u00e7\u0131kan parasal geni\u015flemenin emtia piyasalar\u0131 \u00fczerindeki etkileri durgunluk ve enflasyonun birlikte etkili olabilece\u011fi bir d\u00f6neme girdi\u011fimizi s\u00f6yl\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n<p>Yaz\u0131n\u0131n devam\u0131 i\u00e7in <a href=\"http:\/\/www.dunya.com\/ekonomi-ince-ayar-tutmuyor...-149532yy.htm\" target=\"_blank\" data-wpel-link=\"external\" rel=\"nofollow external noopener\"><strong>TIKLAYINIZ.<\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>T\u00fcrkiye ekonomisine ili\u015fkin son veriler ve 2012 y\u0131l\u0131n\u0131n ikinci yar\u0131s\u0131na ili\u015fkin k\u00fcresel beklentiler birlikte de\u011ferlendirilid\u011finde, belirsizlik ve k\u0131r\u0131lganl\u0131\u011f\u0131n art\u0131\u015f e\u011filiminde olabilec\u011fini s\u00f6ylemek m\u00fcmk\u00fcn. Bu senenin&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":21,"featured_media":931,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-19549","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-tumyazilar"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/19549","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/21"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=19549"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/19549\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/931"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=19549"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=19549"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=19549"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}