{"id":19476,"date":"2012-09-11T08:26:35","date_gmt":"2012-09-11T06:26:35","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/?p=19476"},"modified":"2012-09-11T08:26:46","modified_gmt":"2012-09-11T06:26:46","slug":"buyumenin-hormonu-kesilince","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/i\/buyumenin-hormonu-kesilince\/","title":{"rendered":"B\u00fcy\u00fcmenin Hormonu Kesilince"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Ge\u00e7en hafta Mahfi E\u011filmez\u2019le telefonda konu\u015ftuk. Ba\u015fl\u0131klar\u0131n yavan dedi. Pazar ba\u015fl\u0131\u011fa biraz sos katmaya \u00e7al\u0131\u015ft\u0131m. Bug\u00fcn \u201c\u0130kinci \u00e7eyrekte b\u00fcy\u00fcme\u201d tats\u0131z tuzsuz geldi. G\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc\u011f\u00fc gibi, renklendirmeye \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131yorum.<\/p><div class=\"bilge-yaziust\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-1423239353\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"9580705384\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p>Kriz sonras\u0131 h\u0131zl\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fcme i\u00e7in \u201chormonlu\u201d ele\u015ftirisi s\u0131k seslendirildi. Kastedilen ekonomik canl\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n t\u00fcketicinin bor\u00e7lanarak yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 harcama ile sa\u011flanmas\u0131d\u0131r. \u0130zd\u00fc\u015f\u00fcm\u00fc milli gelirin y\u00fczde 10\u2019una ula\u015fan rekor (ve s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fclemez) d\u0131\u015f a\u00e7\u0131klard\u0131r.<\/p>\n<p>2011 se\u00e7imleri sonras\u0131nda ekonomi y\u00f6netimi hedef de\u011fi\u015ftirdi. \u0130\u00e7 ve d\u0131\u015f talep aras\u0131ndaki dengesizli\u011fi d\u00fczeltecek politikalara y\u00f6neldi. TL de\u011fer kaybetti. Kredi art\u0131\u015f\u0131 s\u0131n\u0131rland\u0131.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cYumu\u015fak ini\u015f\u201d dendi. Bana \u201cintizaml\u0131 d\u00fczeltme\u201d daha anlaml\u0131 geliyor. Yak\u0131n ge\u00e7mi\u015fte bu politikalar\u0131 \u00e7ok tart\u0131\u015ft\u0131k. Ba\u015far\u0131 \u015fans\u0131n\u0131 de\u011ferlendirdik. D\u00fcn a\u00e7\u0131klanan ikinci \u00e7eyrek milli gelir verilerine bu perspektiften bakmak istiyorum.<\/p>\n<p><strong>B\u00fcy\u00fcme h\u0131z kesti<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>T\u00dc\u0130K ikinci \u00e7eyrekte milli gelirin ge\u00e7en y\u0131la g\u00f6re y\u00fczde 2,9 b\u00fcy\u00fcd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc a\u00e7\u0131klad\u0131. Piyasa tahmininin (3,3) biraz alt\u0131ndad\u0131r. Ben sanayi \u00fcretiminden hareketle daha y\u00fcksek \u00f6ng\u00f6rm\u00fc\u015ft\u00fcm (y\u00fczde 4). Gene tutturamad\u0131m.<\/p>\n<p>Ekonomi y\u0131l\u0131n ilk \u00e7eyre\u011finde y\u00fczde 3,3 b\u00fcy\u00fcm\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc. Dolay\u0131s\u0131 ile ilk yar\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fcmesi y\u00fczde 3,1\u2019de kald\u0131. Y\u0131ll\u0131k b\u00fcy\u00fcme ise y\u00fczde 4,9\u2019a geriledi. 2011 ayn\u0131 d\u00f6neminde \u00e7eyrek, ilk yar\u0131 ve y\u0131ll\u0131k b\u00fcy\u00fcme h\u0131zlar\u0131, s\u0131ras\u0131 ile, y\u00fczde 9,1; y\u00fczde 10,5 ve y\u00fczde 8,8 olmu\u015ftu. D\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f \u00e7ok belirgindir.<\/p>\n<p>Konjonkt\u00fcr analizi talebin bile\u015fimine odaklan\u0131yor. \u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc b\u00fcy\u00fcmenin h\u0131z kesmesi arzdan kaynaklanm\u0131yor. Yani talep olsa ekonominin daha \u00e7ok \u00fcretim yapabilece\u011fi biliniyor. \u0130\u00e7 ve d\u0131\u015f talebin, \u00f6zel ve kamu talebinin seyrine bak\u0131l\u0131yor.<\/p><div class=\"bilge-content-1\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-3328605118\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"3167340272\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p>Yaz\u0131n\u0131n devam\u0131 i\u00e7in <a href=\"http:\/\/haber.gazetevatan.com\/Haber\/480206\/1\/Gundem#.UE7rJ7KTvp8\" target=\"_blank\" data-wpel-link=\"external\" rel=\"nofollow external noopener\"><strong>TIKLAYINIZ.<\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Ge\u00e7en hafta Mahfi E\u011filmez\u2019le telefonda konu\u015ftuk. Ba\u015fl\u0131klar\u0131n yavan dedi. Pazar ba\u015fl\u0131\u011fa biraz sos katmaya \u00e7al\u0131\u015ft\u0131m. Bug\u00fcn \u201c\u0130kinci \u00e7eyrekte b\u00fcy\u00fcme\u201d tats\u0131z tuzsuz geldi. G\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc\u011f\u00fc gibi, renklendirmeye&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":13,"featured_media":919,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-19476","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-tumyazilar"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/19476","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/13"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=19476"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/19476\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/919"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=19476"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=19476"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=19476"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}