{"id":19327,"date":"2012-09-06T09:52:11","date_gmt":"2012-09-06T07:52:11","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/?p=19327"},"modified":"2012-09-06T09:52:24","modified_gmt":"2012-09-06T07:52:24","slug":"altin-bir-cuvaldiz","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/i\/altin-bir-cuvaldiz\/","title":{"rendered":"Alt\u0131n Bir \u00c7uvald\u0131z"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Ge\u00e7ici nedenlerle ortaya \u00e7\u0131kan alt\u0131n ihracat\u0131 ve ithalat\u0131, as\u0131l ihracat\u0131m\u0131z\u0131 ve ithalat\u0131m\u0131z\u0131 oldu\u011fundan y\u00fcksek g\u00f6steriyor.<\/p><div class=\"bilge-yaziust\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-1327251003\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"9580705384\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p>D\u0131\u015f ticaret verilerinin a\u00e7\u0131klanmas\u0131yla yine alt\u0131n ihracat\u0131 ve ithalat\u0131 g\u00fcndeme d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc. Bu vesileyle hem k\u00f6\u015fe yazarl\u0131\u011f\u0131 eti\u011fi hem de akademik etik a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan \u00e7uvald\u0131z\u0131 kendime bat\u0131racak ve ne zamand\u0131r yazmak istedi\u011fim bir konuyu ele alaca\u011f\u0131m. \u015eu: Daha \u00f6nce bu k\u00f6\u015fede alt\u0131n ithalat\u0131n\u0131n ve ihracat\u0131n\u0131n ayr\u0131 \u00e7eyreklerde ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirilmesinin b\u00fcy\u00fcme oran\u0131m\u0131z\u0131 etkiledi\u011fine de\u011finmi\u015ftim. Oysa T\u00fcrkiye \u0130statistik Kurumu (T\u00dc\u0130K) Ba\u015fkan\u0131 geride b\u0131rakt\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131z ay i\u00e7inde, alt\u0131n d\u0131\u015f ticaretinin b\u00fcy\u00fcme oran\u0131m\u0131z\u0131 etkilemedi\u011fini belirtti.<br \/>\nT\u00dc\u0130K mart ay\u0131 i\u00e7inde GSYH verilerinin nas\u0131l hesapland\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 anlatan bir yay\u0131n \u00e7\u0131kard\u0131. Bu yararl\u0131 yay\u0131nda baz\u0131 noktalar tam net olmasa bile -ki az sonra onlara k\u0131saca de\u011finece\u011fim- ula\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131m sonu\u00e7 \u015fu: GSYH sadece harcama taraf\u0131ndan hesaplan\u0131yor olsayd\u0131 sav\u0131m do\u011fru olacakt\u0131. Oysa as\u0131l GSYH \u00fcretim taraf\u0131ndan (sanayi, tar\u0131m, hizmetler katma de\u011feri gibi) hesaplan\u0131yor. Bu GSYH ile harcama taraf\u0131ndan hesaplanan GSYH (t\u00fcketim, yat\u0131r\u0131m, ithalat ve ihracat gibi) aras\u0131nda do\u011fal olarak bir fark olu\u015fuyor. Aradaki fark, harcama taraf\u0131nda stok de\u011fi\u015fimi olarak g\u00f6steriliyor. Yani stoklar do\u011frudan hesaplanm\u0131yor; iki GSYH aras\u0131ndaki fark\u0131 gidermek i\u00e7in kullan\u0131l\u0131yor. Alt\u0131n d\u0131\u015f ticaretinin b\u00fcy\u00fcmeye etkisi a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan bunun \u00f6nemi ne?<\/p>\n<p>\u015eu: Sadece harcama taraf\u0131ndan GSYH\u2019nin hesapland\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnelim. Alt\u0131n ithal edilip ileride ihra\u00e7 edilmek i\u00e7in stoka konulsun. Stok do\u011frudan hesaplan\u0131yor olsayd\u0131, stok artt\u0131\u011f\u0131 i\u00e7in GSYH artacak, ithalat artt\u0131\u011f\u0131 i\u00e7in de ayn\u0131 miktarda GSYH d\u00fc\u015fecekti. Net etki s\u0131f\u0131r olacakt\u0131. Oysa stoklar do\u011frudan dikkate al\u0131nmad\u0131\u011f\u0131 i\u00e7in GSYH sadece harcama taraf\u0131ndan hesaplan\u0131yor olsayd\u0131, alt\u0131n ithalat\u0131n\u0131n yaln\u0131zca GSYH\u2019yi azalt\u0131c\u0131 etkisini g\u00f6recektik: GSYH oldu\u011fundan d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck \u00e7\u0131kacakt\u0131. Alt\u0131n ihra\u00e7 edildi\u011fi d\u00f6nemde ise tam tersi olacakt\u0131. \u0130hracat nedeniyle azalan alt\u0131n stokunun etkisi dikkate al\u0131nmayaca\u011f\u0131 i\u00e7in GSYH oldu\u011fundan y\u00fcksek hesaplanacakt\u0131. Sav\u0131m do\u011fru olacakt\u0131.<br \/>\nAncak GSYH as\u0131l olarak \u00fcretim taraf\u0131ndan hesaplan\u0131yor. Alt\u0131n ihracat\u0131 ve ithalat\u0131 ile ilgili i\u015flemler \u00fcretim taraf\u0131nda bir hareket olu\u015fturmuyorsa (a\u015fa\u011f\u0131da tart\u0131\u015faca\u011f\u0131m), buradan alt\u0131n d\u0131\u015f ticaretinin etkisini i\u00e7ermeyen bir GSYH \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor. Diyelim ki GSYH 100 olarak hesapland\u0131. Alt\u0131n ihra\u00e7 edildi\u011finde harcama taraf\u0131ndan hesaplanan GSYH 105 bulunuyor ise 100 ile 105 aras\u0131ndaki fark 5 liral\u0131k stok azalmas\u0131 olarak harcama taraf\u0131na konuluyor. B\u00f6ylece harcama taraf\u0131ndan hesaplanan GSYH de 100 oluyor. Dolay\u0131s\u0131yla, farkl\u0131 d\u00f6nemlerdeki alt\u0131n ithalat\u0131 ve ihracat\u0131 o d\u00f6nemin b\u00fcy\u00fcme oran\u0131n\u0131 etkilemiyor.<\/p>\n<p>Yaz\u0131n\u0131n devam\u0131 i\u00e7in <strong><a href=\"http:\/\/www.radikal.com.tr\/Radikal.aspx?aType=RadikalYazar&amp;ArticleID=1099343&amp;Yazar=FATIH-OZATAY&amp;CategoryID=101\" target=\"_blank\" data-wpel-link=\"external\" rel=\"nofollow external noopener\">TIKLAYINIZ.<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Ge\u00e7ici nedenlerle ortaya \u00e7\u0131kan alt\u0131n ihracat\u0131 ve ithalat\u0131, as\u0131l ihracat\u0131m\u0131z\u0131 ve ithalat\u0131m\u0131z\u0131 oldu\u011fundan y\u00fcksek g\u00f6steriyor. D\u0131\u015f ticaret verilerinin a\u00e7\u0131klanmas\u0131yla yine alt\u0131n ihracat\u0131 ve ithalat\u0131 g\u00fcndeme&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":16,"featured_media":894,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-19327","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-tumyazilar"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/19327","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/16"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=19327"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/19327\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/894"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=19327"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=19327"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=19327"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}