{"id":1865,"date":"2011-06-22T09:52:56","date_gmt":"2011-06-22T06:52:56","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/?p=1865"},"modified":"2011-06-22T09:53:04","modified_gmt":"2011-06-22T06:53:04","slug":"yunan-isinde-ipin-ucu-kaciyor-mu","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/i\/yunan-isinde-ipin-ucu-kaciyor-mu\/","title":{"rendered":"Yunan i\u015finde ipin ucu ka\u00e7\u0131yor mu?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\u015eu s\u0131ralarda d\u0131\u015far\u0131da pi\u015fen risklerin en \u00f6nemlisi Yunanistan&#8217;\u0131n bir t\u00fcrl\u00fc toparlanamayan durumu ku\u015fkusuz. Bu meselede hem Yunanistan&#8217;\u0131n sergiledi\u011fi tutum hem de Avrupa Birli\u011fi alan\u0131nda\u00a0 art\u0131k kabak tad\u0131 veren karars\u0131zl\u0131k g\u00f6r\u00fcnt\u00fcleri taraflar\u0131n \u00fczerinde oyun oynad\u0131klar\u0131 ipi epeyce inceltmi\u015f durumda.\u00a0 Anlama ve g\u00fcvenme konusunda g\u00f6sterilen kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131kl\u0131 zafiyet biraz daha s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fcl\u00fcrse korkar\u0131m ipin ucu ka\u00e7acak.<\/p><div class=\"bilge-yaziust\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-497204745\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"9580705384\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p>Yunan sorununda ipin ucunun ka\u00e7mas\u0131n\u0131n faturas\u0131n\u0131n a\u011f\u0131r olaca\u011f\u0131 biliniyor. \u0130\u00e7ine d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc\u011f\u00fc\u00a0 duruma bir \u00e7are bulamazsa iflas noktas\u0131na gelecek Yunanistan. A\u011f\u0131r faturadan kas\u0131t bu.\u00a0 \u00dclkelerin iflas etmesi bizim bildi\u011fimiz \u015firket iflas olay\u0131na\u00a0 benzemiyor. \u015eirketler iflas ettiklerinde ellerinde kalan varl\u0131klar\u0131 hara\u00e7 mezat sat\u0131l\u0131r, ortaklar yasal kurallar\u0131n \u00f6ng\u00f6rd\u00fc\u011f\u00fc kadar sorumluluk y\u00fcklenirler, bor\u00e7lar\u0131n ne kadar\u0131 \u00f6denebilirse \u00f6denir, \u015firketin fiili ve hukuki varl\u0131\u011f\u0131 ortadan kalkar.<\/p>\n<p>\u00dclke iflas\u0131 b\u00f6yle olmaz. \u00dclkenin varl\u0131k ve gelirleri bor\u00e7lar\u0131n\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131lamaya yetmez. Dahas\u0131, kredibilite de kaybedilmi\u015ftir. Bor\u00e7 verme iste\u011finde olan kimse kalmaz ortada. Hara\u00e7 mezat sat\u0131lacak pek fazla bir \u015fey de yoktur. \u0130\u00e7eride ek kaynak sa\u011flayacak bir ortak durumu da s\u00f6zkonusu de\u011fildir. Dolay\u0131s\u0131yla bor\u00e7lar\u0131 \u00f6deyecek bir imkan kalmam\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. Bor\u00e7lar\u0131n \u00f6denemeyece\u011fi ilan edilir. G\u00fcven b\u00fct\u00fcn\u00fcyle kaybedilir. Panik olur. Ulusal tasarruflar d\u0131\u015far\u0131ya ka\u00e7ar. Yat\u0131r\u0131m ufku kaybolur. \u00dclkenin d\u00fcnya ile finansal ba\u011f\u0131 kopar. B\u00fct\u00fcn bunlar\u00a0 ekonominin \u00e7ok \u015fiddetli bi\u00e7imde k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fclece\u011fi anlam\u0131na gelir. K\u00fc\u00e7\u00fclen ekonomide \u00fcretim ve gelir artmaz. Fakirle\u015fme olur. \u00dclkeler fiili ve hukuki varl\u0131klar\u0131 yok olmadan iflas ederler.<\/p>\n<p>*\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 *\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 *<\/p>\n<p>\u015eimdi Yunanistan&#8217;\u0131n durumu aynen b\u00f6yle.\u00a0 \u00c7ok ciddi bir bor\u00e7 sorunu var. \u00dclkenin harc\u0131 borcunu \u00f6demiyor. Kendi kaynaklar\u0131yla bu i\u015fin \u00fcstesinden gelmesi de pek m\u00fcmk\u00fcn g\u00f6r\u00fcnm\u00fcyor. \u00c7arklar yeniden d\u00f6nmezse iflas noktas\u0131na gelecek.<\/p>\n<p>\u00c7ark\u0131n d\u00f6nmesi ve \u00fclkenin yeniden bor\u00e7 \u00f6deme imkan\u0131n\u0131na kavu\u015fmas\u0131 i\u00e7in d\u0131\u015far\u0131dan kaynak girmesi\u00a0 gerekiyor. Kaynak ak\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131n\u00a0 ba\u015flayabilmesi i\u00e7in \u00f6nce Yunanistan&#8217;\u0131n kendi evini derleyip toplamas\u0131 laz\u0131m. Evi derleyip, toplaman\u0131n iktisat dilindeki kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 ekonominin dengelerini yeniden kurmak y\u00f6n\u00fcnde ciddi giri\u015fimlerde bulunmakt\u0131r. Kamu harcamalar\u0131 sert bir \u015fekilde azalt\u0131l\u0131r. Vergileri artt\u0131r\u0131l\u0131r. Kamu mali dengesinde faiz d\u0131\u015f\u0131 fazla sa\u011flama y\u00f6n\u00fcnde \u00e7aba g\u00f6sterilir. B\u00f6yle bir dengelenme dinami\u011fi\u00a0 \u00f6zel t\u00fcketim ve yat\u0131r\u0131m harcamalar\u0131n\u0131 daralt\u0131r ve ulusal ekonomide kaynak hacmi ile kaynak kullan\u0131m\u0131 aras\u0131nda yeni bir dengeye do\u011fru hareket edilir. Evin i\u00e7i derlenip, toparlanm\u0131\u015f\u00a0\u00a0 olur.<\/p>\n<p>Bu i\u015flerin yap\u0131lmas\u0131 tek ba\u015f\u0131na olay\u0131 \u00e7\u00f6zmeye yetmez ku\u015fkusuz.\u00a0 Ama durumun vehametini kabul etti\u011fini, d\u00fczeltilmesi y\u00f6n\u00fcnde\u00a0 iyi niyetli oldu\u011funu ve \u00e7aba g\u00f6sterdi\u011fini c\u00fcmle aleme ilan etmek i\u00e7in bu ad\u0131mlar\u0131n at\u0131lmas\u0131 gerekiyor.\u00a0 K\u0131sacas\u0131, evin i\u00e7inin b\u00f6yle bir toparlanmadan ge\u00e7mesi d\u0131\u015f kaynak ak\u0131m\u0131 i\u00e7in zorunludur.<\/p>\n<p>\u015eimdi Yunanistan b\u00f6yle bir ipin \u00fcst\u00fcnde hareket ediyor. Biraz isteksiz oldu\u011fu g\u00f6zleniyor. Kendisinden beklenen evin i\u00e7ini derleyip toplama i\u015fine pek yana\u015fmad\u0131\u011f\u0131, bunun i\u00e7in gereken ulusal uzla\u015fmay\u0131 kurmakta dahi zorland\u0131\u011f\u0131 izlenimini veriyor. \u0130pin ucu da her an ka\u00e7acakm\u0131\u015f gibi g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyor.<\/p><div class=\"bilge-content-1\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-108368557\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"3167340272\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p>*\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 *\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 *<\/p>\n<p>Yunanistan sorunu olu\u015fumu itibariyle tek tarafl\u0131, sadece kendisinin yaratt\u0131\u011f\u0131 bir sorun olabilir. Sorunun bir \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcme gitmemesi halinde resmen iflas edecek ve bunun sonu\u00e7lar\u0131n\u0131 ya\u015fayacak olan da Yunanistan gayet tabii. Ancak Yunanistan&#8217;\u0131n iflas\u0131na seyirci kalman\u0131n Avrupa Birli\u011fi\u00a0 i\u00e7in de ciddi\u00a0 sonu\u00e7lar do\u011furaca\u011f\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n<p>A\u011f\u0131r\u00a0 hasar potansiyeli\u00a0 ta\u015f\u0131yan Yunan sorununa AB&#8217;nin hala \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcms\u00fczl\u00fck \u00fcreten bir kat\u0131l\u0131kta yakla\u015f\u0131yor olmas\u0131 hem Avrupa hem de d\u00fcnya ekonomisi a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan ciddi bir risk olu\u015fturuyor ku\u015fkusuz. Avrupa Birli\u011fi&#8217;nin \u00fczerinde oyna\u015f\u0131p durdu\u011fu ip de bu. \u0130pin ucunu\u00a0 ka\u00e7\u0131rmalar\u0131na da\u00a0 ramak kalm\u0131\u015f gibi g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Taner BERKSOY<\/strong><\/p><div class=\"bilge-content-2\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-1284327707\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"1818807385\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u015eu s\u0131ralarda d\u0131\u015far\u0131da pi\u015fen risklerin en \u00f6nemlisi Yunanistan&#8217;\u0131n bir t\u00fcrl\u00fc toparlanamayan durumu ku\u015fkusuz. Bu meselede hem Yunanistan&#8217;\u0131n sergiledi\u011fi tutum hem de Avrupa Birli\u011fi alan\u0131nda\u00a0 art\u0131k&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":15,"featured_media":901,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-1865","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-tumyazilar"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1865","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/15"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=1865"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1865\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/901"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=1865"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=1865"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=1865"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}