{"id":18530,"date":"2012-08-10T13:16:01","date_gmt":"2012-08-10T11:16:01","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/?p=18530"},"modified":"2012-08-11T01:36:33","modified_gmt":"2012-08-10T23:36:33","slug":"cin-den-destek-merkel-den-kostek","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/i\/cin-den-destek-merkel-den-kostek\/","title":{"rendered":"\u00c7in&#8217; den Destek Merkel&#8217; den K\u00f6stek&#8230;"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Yunanistan\u2019\u0131 kurtaramayan Avrupa\u2019n\u0131n \u0130spanya\u2019y\u0131 kurtaraca\u011f\u0131na sevinen Sevgili Para piyasalar\u0131\u2026<\/p><div class=\"bilge-yaziust\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-197363753\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"9580705384\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p>Art\u0131k uykudan uyanma vakti..Merkez bankalar\u0131n\u0131n s\u00f6yledi\u011fi ninni bitmek \u00fczere\u2026<\/p>\n<p>Uyusunda b\u00fcy\u00fcs\u00fcn\u2026ninni\u2026t\u0131p\u0131\u015f t\u0131p\u0131\u015f y\u00fcr\u00fcs\u00fcn\u2026ninni..eee\u2026eee\u2026eee?<\/p>\n<p>E si..Art\u0131k Zurnan\u0131n z\u0131rt dedi\u011fi yere yak\u0131n\u0131z\u2026<\/p>\n<p>Eyl\u00fcl ay\u0131nda herkes ete\u011findeki ta\u015flar\u0131 d\u00f6km\u00fc\u015f olacak\u2026<\/p>\n<p>Fed yeni bir parasal geni\u015flemeye gidecek mi?<\/p>\n<p>Faiz indirimi dahi yapmayan Avrupa Merkez Bankas\u0131n\u0131n a\u00e7\u0131klad\u0131\u011f\u0131 \u201cStandart d\u0131\u015f\u0131 \u00f6nlemler\u201d Bayan Merkel\u2019in standartlar\u0131na uyacak m\u0131?<\/p>\n<p>K\u00f6t\u00fcmser tarafa ge\u00e7tim..Yalan yok\u2026\u0130mkb\u2019de 65,000 \u00fczeri verilerde veya Avrupa\u2019da g\u00f6r\u00fcnt\u00fc de\u011fi\u015fmeden benim i\u00e7in \u201calanda kazans\u0131n\u201d b\u00f6lgesi\u2026<\/p><div class=\"bilge-content-1\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-1438419202\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"3167340272\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p>\u201cSende bizi yar\u0131 yolda b\u0131rakt\u0131n \u00d6zavc\u0131\u201d diyenlere cevab\u0131m\u2026<\/p>\n<p>Veriler ger\u00e7ekten giderek k\u00f6t\u00fcle\u015fiyor..<\/p>\n<p>Avrupa Merkez Bankas\u0131 bu y\u0131l Euro b\u00f6lgesi\u2019n de % 0,3 daralma bekliyor.Enflasyon beklentisi ise %1,7 .Abd\u2019nin 2. \u00e7eyrek b\u00fcy\u00fcme rakam\u0131 %1,5 Fed\u2019in tahmini %1,9-2,4 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131 enflasyon tahmini %2 civar\u0131nda ve i\u00e7eride son gelen sanayi \u00fcretimi verisinden sonra b\u00fcy\u00fcme tahmini %3,5\u2019lara \u00e7ekilirken enflasyon hedefimiz %6,2\u2026<\/p>\n<p>Oecd\u2019nin bu sabah gelen raporunda 3. \u00e7eyrekte bir iki \u00fclke d\u0131\u015f\u0131nda b\u00fcy\u00fcme \u00f6ng\u00f6rd\u00fc\u011f\u00fc \u00fclke yok\u2026Zira yine \u00c7in\u2019den gelen son veri bu \u00fclkede yava\u015flaman\u0131n daha hissedilir bir noktaya do\u011fru gitti\u011fini g\u00f6steriyor\u2026<\/p><div class=\"bilge-content-2\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-433340556\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"1818807385\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p>\u0130lk \u00f6nce sorunumuz b\u00fcy\u00fcyemeyen ve b\u00fcy\u00fcyemedi\u011fi i\u00e7in bor\u00e7lar\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6demekte g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fck \u00e7eken ekonomiler iken \u015fimdi bir de ba\u015f\u0131m\u0131z\u0131 enflasyonda a\u011fr\u0131tacak\u2026<\/p>\n<p>Rakamlarla sizi bo\u011fmak istemiyorum ama d\u00fcnyan\u0131n giderek daralan ekonomik ortamda enflasyonist bir s\u00fcrece girdi\u011fini g\u00f6rebiliyor musunuz?<\/p>\n<p>Kurakl\u0131k nedeniyle y\u00fckselen g\u0131da fiyatlar\u0131,Fed\u2019in att\u0131\u011f\u0131 veya atmaya yeltendi\u011fi her ad\u0131m nedeniyle s\u0131\u00e7rayan emtia fiyatlar\u0131 bizi bu sona daha fazla yakla\u015ft\u0131r\u0131yor.<\/p>\n<p>Avrupa\u2019da i\u015fler ger\u00e7ekten \u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131r\u0131ndan \u00e7\u0131kmak \u00fczere\u2026<\/p>\n<p>G\u00f6z ucuyla \u0130talya\u2019y\u0131 takip etmenizi \u00f6neririm.Beklentilerin \u00fczerinde daralan ekonomisi nedeniyle yeni kemer s\u0131kma tedbiri almaya \u00e7al\u0131\u015fan \u0130talya\u2019da art\u0131k kaleler ve saraylar sat\u0131l\u0131k\u2026<\/p>\n<p>Ve bu ekonominin d\u0131\u015f yard\u0131m alma olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 hi\u00e7bir fiyatlamada yok!<\/p>\n<p>Bir de \u0130ngiltere\u2019yi..Euro B\u00f6lgesi d\u0131\u015f\u0131nda olmas\u0131 ve ekonomik yap\u0131s\u0131 gere\u011fi resesyonun nabz\u0131n\u0131 tutabilece\u011finiz bu \u00fclkenin a\u00e7\u0131klanan b\u00fcy\u00fcmeye ait verilerini mutlaka takip edin\u2026<\/p>\n<p>Peki ne yap\u0131lmal\u0131?<\/p>\n<p>Avrupa\u2019da son belli..Sadece baz\u0131 senaryolarla sonu de\u011fi\u015ftirmek i\u00e7in umut yaratabilir.<\/p>\n<p>\u00d6rne\u011fin Bayan Merkel izin verir.Avrupa Merkez Bankas\u0131n\u0131n standart d\u0131\u015f\u0131 \u00f6nlem dedi\u011fi bu s\u00f6ylemin i\u00e7ine bankalar\u0131 serumla ya\u015fatacak bir form\u00fcl,\u00fclkeleri serumla ya\u015fatabilecek bir form\u00fcl ve b\u00fcy\u00fcmenin canlanmas\u0131 i\u00e7in bir form\u00fcl ve bol dua olabilir&#8230;<\/p>\n<p>Ya da Bayan Merkel y\u00fcksek enflasyona raz\u0131 olur kendi sa\u011flad\u0131\u011f\u0131 avantajlar\u0131n bir k\u0131sm\u0131ndan feragat eder..<\/p>\n<p>Veya kimse yerinden k\u0131m\u0131ldamaz..<\/p>\n<p>Ka\u00e7\u0131n\u0131lmaz son Euro B\u00f6lgesi\u2019nin da\u011f\u0131lmas\u0131\u2026<\/p>\n<p>\u00d6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki d\u00f6nemde yukar\u0131da s\u0131ralad\u0131\u011f\u0131m tedbirlerin bir k\u0131sm\u0131 gelebilir.Zaten para piyasalar\u0131 da bu beklenti i\u00e7erisinde\u2026<\/p>\n<p>Peki neden Fed de\u011fil de Avrupa Merkez Bankas\u0131 hareket etmeli\u2026?<\/p>\n<p>\u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc Fed\u2019in ataca\u011f\u0131 ad\u0131mlar emtia(petrol,alt\u0131n vs)lar\u0131 s\u0131\u00e7rat\u0131rken Avrupa Merkez Bankas\u0131n\u0131n att\u0131\u011f\u0131 ad\u0131mlar direk krize nufuz ediyor ve enflasyonist etki en az\u0131ndan \u015fu an yaratm\u0131yor\u2026<\/p>\n<p>\u0130\u00e7eride de Fed\u2019in ad\u0131m atmas\u0131 y\u00fckselen petrol fiyatlar\u0131 nedeniyle ekonomi yava\u015flamas\u0131na ra\u011fmen faiz indirimi konusunda Merkez Bankas\u0131n\u0131n elini kolunu ba\u011fl\u0131yor\u2026<\/p>\n<p>\u015eimdi ralliye ba\u015flarken elimizde ne vard\u0131?<\/p>\n<p>Fed\u2019den parasal geni\u015fleme,Avrupa Merkez Bankas\u0131ndan Euro B\u00f6lgesinin kurtar\u0131lmas\u0131 i\u00e7in elinden gelen her \u015fey,\u015firket bilan\u00e7olar\u0131,Merkez Bankas\u0131ndan olas\u0131 bir faiz indirimi ve olas\u0131 not art\u0131r\u0131m\u0131\u2026<\/p>\n<p>Elde ne kald\u0131?<\/p>\n<p>Fed\u2019den konu\u015fulan 500 milyar dolarl\u0131k bir parasal geni\u015fleme,Avrupa Merkez Bankas\u0131ndan yok ile hi\u00e7 aras\u0131 standart d\u0131\u015f\u0131 yakla\u015f\u0131m,bilan\u00e7olar bitti,petrol fiyatlar\u0131ndaki y\u00fckseli\u015f nedeniyle Merkez bankam\u0131z\u0131n eli kolu ba\u011fl\u0131 ve olas\u0131 not art\u0131r\u0131m\u0131\u2026<\/p>\n<p>Para piyasalar\u0131n\u0131n realizasyon ihtiyac\u0131n\u0131n giderek artaca\u011f\u0131 bir noktaday\u0131z\u2026<\/p>\n<p>Bu gidi\u015fat\u0131 de\u011fi\u015ftirebilecek geli\u015fmeler\u2026<\/p>\n<p>1-\u00c7in\u2019den yeni bir parasal geni\u015fleme veya b\u00fcy\u00fcmeyi destekleyecek bir paket..<\/p>\n<p>2-Avrupa Merkez Bankas\u0131n\u0131n hareket etmesi..<\/p>\n<p>3-T\u00fcm d\u00fcnyada gelen b\u00fcy\u00fcme verilerinde bir iyile\u015fme\u2026<\/p>\n<p>4-\u0130\u00e7eride not art\u0131r\u0131m\u0131\u2026<\/p>\n<p>5-Bayan Merkel\u2019den olas\u0131 bir yumu\u015fama\u2026<\/p>\n<p>Yukar\u0131da s\u0131ralad\u0131\u011f\u0131m beklentilerden en yak\u0131n\u0131 \u00c7in..Zira Bayan Merkel Tatilde\u2026<\/p>\n<p>Gelelim i\u015fin teknik k\u0131sm\u0131na..<\/p>\n<p>Her ne kadar k\u00f6t\u00fcmser tarafta olsam da d\u00fcnyada bir para bollu\u011fu var. Para piyasalar\u0131 ekonomik verilerle e\u015fanl\u0131 hareket etmez.. Para f\u0131rsat\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fcr ve ka\u00e7\u0131rmaz.Sizde ka\u00e7\u0131rmay\u0131n.<\/p>\n<p>\u0130MKB:Mutlaka temkinli tarafta olun.Art\u0131k gelen veri ve haberleri g\u00f6z\u00fc kapal\u0131 alma de\u011fil,sorgulay\u0131p alma d\u00f6nemindeyiz.<\/p>\n<p>64,000-63,200-61,500(50 g\u00fcnl\u00fck hareketli ortalama) destek ve endeks i\u00e7in d\u00fczeltme seviyeleri\u2026<\/p>\n<p>65,300-66,200 yukar\u0131 harekette a\u015f\u0131lmas\u0131 gereken diren\u00e7ler\u2026<\/p>\n<p>Alt\u0131n:1600 ons(50 g\u00fcnl\u00fck hareketli ortalama) -1650 ons (200 g\u00fcnl\u00fck hareketli ortalama) Eyl\u00fcl ay\u0131nda Fed toplant\u0131s\u0131na kadar bu bant aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda hareket etmek isteyecektir.<\/p>\n<p>Petrol:111(200 g\u00fcnl\u00fck hareketli ortalama) bu seviye alt\u0131na gerilemeler i\u00e7eride \u0130MKB taraf\u0131nda al\u0131m y\u00f6n\u00fcnde hareketlili\u011fe sebep olabilir.\u0130zlenmeli\u2026<\/p>\n<p>Dolar:1,774-1,78 Tl destek 1,81 TL(50 g\u00fcnl\u00fck hareketli ortalama) diren\u00e7 olarak izlenebilir.<\/p>\n<p>Ve parite:1,24 (50 g\u00fcnl\u00fck hareketli ortalama) diren\u00e7 1,2252-1,2140-1,2030 destek olarak izlenebilir.<\/p>\n<p>Dax(Almanya):7000-7084-7200 g\u00f6r\u00fclen diren\u00e7 seviyeleri..<\/p>\n<p>6900 destek seviyesi takip edilmeli.Bu nokta alt\u0131nda 6700\u2019e geri \u00e7ekilme iste\u011fi artabilir.<\/p>\n<p>S&amp;P:1390-1350 destek seviyeleri takip edilmeli\u2026<\/p>\n<p>Not:Uyuyan tilki \u201cr\u00fcyas\u0131nda\u201d tavuk g\u00f6r\u00fcr..Uyan\u0131k olmakta fayda var\u2026<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Yunanistan\u2019\u0131 kurtaramayan Avrupa\u2019n\u0131n \u0130spanya\u2019y\u0131 kurtaraca\u011f\u0131na sevinen Sevgili Para piyasalar\u0131\u2026 Art\u0131k uykudan uyanma vakti..Merkez bankalar\u0131n\u0131n s\u00f6yledi\u011fi ninni bitmek \u00fczere\u2026 Uyusunda b\u00fcy\u00fcs\u00fcn\u2026ninni\u2026t\u0131p\u0131\u015f t\u0131p\u0131\u015f y\u00fcr\u00fcs\u00fcn\u2026ninni..eee\u2026eee\u2026eee? E si..Art\u0131k Zurnan\u0131n&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":14450,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-18530","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-tumyazilar"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/18530","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=18530"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/18530\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/14450"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=18530"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=18530"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=18530"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}