{"id":18194,"date":"2012-08-01T08:42:38","date_gmt":"2012-08-01T06:42:38","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/?p=18194"},"modified":"2012-08-01T08:42:52","modified_gmt":"2012-08-01T06:42:52","slug":"nihayet-bitiyor-mu","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/i\/nihayet-bitiyor-mu\/","title":{"rendered":"Nihayet Bitiyor mu?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>D\u00dcNYA&#8217;n\u0131n pazartesi g\u00fcnk\u00fc say\u0131s\u0131nda, TEPAV&#8217;\u0131n ilkini g\u00fcny\u00fcz\u00fcne \u00e7\u0131kard\u0131\u011f\u0131 ve bundan sonra iki ayda bir yay\u0131nlayaca\u011f\u0131 &#8216;Ekonomide Durum&#8217; raporunun son b\u00f6l\u00fcm\u00fcnde yer alan senaryolar man\u015fetten verilmi\u015fti. \u0130ki senaryo vard\u0131; bu senaryolar\u0131 biribirinden ay\u0131ran temel fark Avrupa&#8217;daki olaylar\u0131n nas\u0131l geli\u015fece\u011fiydi. K\u00f6t\u00fc senaryoda Avrupa&#8217;da i\u015fler daha da kar\u0131\u015f\u0131yordu. \u0130yi senaryoda ise \u0130spanya en k\u00f6t\u00fcy\u00fc geride b\u0131rak\u0131yor ve sorunlu \u00fclkelerin Euro B\u00f6lgesi&#8217;nden \u00e7\u0131k\u0131\u015flar\u0131 g\u00fcndemden d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcyordu. \u0130yi senaryoyu daha da iyi k\u0131lacak temel geli\u015fme ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131&#8217;n\u0131n (FED) yeni bir parasal geni\u015flemeye gitmesiydi.<\/p><div class=\"bilge-yaziust\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-216005882\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"9580705384\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p><strong>Draghi&#8217;nin a\u00e7\u0131kamalar\u0131<\/strong><br \/>\nHer bir senaryo alt\u0131nda T\u00fcrkiye ekonomisinin nas\u0131l etkilenebilece\u011fi D\u00dcNYA&#8217;n\u0131n ilgili haberinde g\u00fczel bi\u00e7imde \u00f6zetlenmi\u015fti; tekrarlamayaca\u011f\u0131m. \u00dczerinde durmak istedi\u011fim konu \u015fu: Raporda bu senaryolar\u0131n her ikisinin de ger\u00e7ekle\u015fme olas\u0131l\u0131klar\u0131n\u0131n oldu\u011funu, ancak k\u00f6t\u00fc senaryonun ger\u00e7ekle\u015fmesi ihtimalini biraz daha y\u00fcksek buldu\u011fumuzu belirttik. \u00dcstelik rapor yay\u0131nlanmadan d\u00f6rt g\u00fcn \u00f6nce Avrupa Merkez Bankas\u0131 (ECB) Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Draghi piyasalar\u0131n \u00e7ok olumlu kar\u015f\u0131lad\u0131\u011f\u0131 baz\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131klamalar yapm\u0131\u015ft\u0131. Bu a\u00e7\u0131klamaya ve olumlu tepkiye ra\u011fmen, bu yarg\u0131m\u0131z\u0131 de\u011fi\u015ftirmedik. Bu yaz\u0131da bunun nedenlerini ele alaca\u011f\u0131m.<br \/>\nFinansal piyasalar, ECB Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Draghi&#8217;nin konu\u015fmas\u0131n\u0131n \u015fu k\u0131sm\u0131n\u0131 can al\u0131c\u0131 buldular: Draghi, baz\u0131 Avrupa \u00fclkelerinin devlet tahvillerinin faizlerinin olduk\u00e7a y\u00fcksek d\u00fczeylere gelmesinin, para politikas\u0131n\u0131n ekonomi \u00fczerine etkilerini zay\u0131flatt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 belirtti. ECB&#8217;nin g\u00f6revleri aras\u0131nda para politikas\u0131n\u0131n ekonomiyi etkileme kanallar\u0131n\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131k tutman\u0131n da oldu\u011funu hat\u0131rlatt\u0131. Mesaj\u0131 netti: &#8220;Y\u00fckselen tahvil faizleri para politikas\u0131n\u0131n etkisini ortadan kald\u0131r\u0131yorsa, tahvil faizlerini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcrmek \u00fczere harekete ge\u00e7erim. Farkl\u0131 bir ifadeyle, faizleri kabul edilebilir bir d\u00fczeye d\u00fc\u015fene kadar ikincil piyasada o tahvillerden sat\u0131n al\u0131r\u0131m.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>Yaz\u0131n\u0131n devam\u0131 i\u00e7in <strong><a href=\"http:\/\/www.dunya.com\/nihayet-bitiyor-mu-149143yy.htm\" target=\"_blank\" data-wpel-link=\"external\" rel=\"nofollow external noopener\">TIKLAYINIZ.<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>D\u00dcNYA&#8217;n\u0131n pazartesi g\u00fcnk\u00fc say\u0131s\u0131nda, TEPAV&#8217;\u0131n ilkini g\u00fcny\u00fcz\u00fcne \u00e7\u0131kard\u0131\u011f\u0131 ve bundan sonra iki ayda bir yay\u0131nlayaca\u011f\u0131 &#8216;Ekonomide Durum&#8217; raporunun son b\u00f6l\u00fcm\u00fcnde yer alan senaryolar man\u015fetten verilmi\u015fti.&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":16,"featured_media":894,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-18194","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-tumyazilar"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/18194","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/16"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=18194"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/18194\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/894"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=18194"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=18194"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=18194"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}