{"id":17961,"date":"2012-07-25T08:28:17","date_gmt":"2012-07-25T06:28:17","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/?p=17961"},"modified":"2012-07-25T08:28:31","modified_gmt":"2012-07-25T06:28:31","slug":"gorecek-miyiz","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/i\/gorecek-miyiz\/","title":{"rendered":"G\u00f6recek miyiz?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Para krizlerini a\u00e7\u0131klamaya \u00e7al\u0131\u015fan kuramsal \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmalar ile para krizlerinden \u00f6nce olan biteni inceleyen uygulamal\u0131 \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131n dikkatimizi \u00e7ektikleri bir nokta var. \u00d6zellikle sabit ya da \u00f6nceden art\u0131\u015f h\u0131z\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131klanm\u0131\u015f d\u00f6viz kuru rejimlerinde, bu kur rejimlerine uyum g\u00f6stermeyen ekonomi politikalar\u0131 varsa, eninde sonunda uygulanmakta olan d\u00f6viz kuru rejiminin \u00e7\u00f6k\u00fc\u015f\u00fc ka\u00e7\u0131n\u0131lmaz oluyor. Rejim \u00e7\u00f6kmeden bir s\u00fcre \u00f6ncesinden ba\u015flamak \u00fczere baz\u0131 belirtiler ortaya \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor. Mesela bu t\u00fcr ekonomilerde devletin bor\u00e7lanma faizi giderek y\u00fckselebiliyor.<\/p><div class=\"bilge-yaziust\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-3286629384\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"9580705384\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p>Hat\u0131rlay\u0131n; \u015eubat 2001 krizinden \u00f6nce T\u00fcrkiye&#8217;de de benzeri ya\u015fand\u0131. Art\u0131\u015f h\u0131z\u0131 \u00f6nceden a\u00e7\u0131klanm\u0131\u015f d\u00f6viz kuru rejimi vard\u0131. Bu t\u00fcr bir rejimin uygulanabilmesi i\u00e7in maliye politikas\u0131n\u0131n &#8216;d\u00fczg\u00fcn&#8217; olmas\u0131 gerekir. Evet, o s\u0131rada istikrar program\u0131 uygulan\u0131yordu ve bu \u00e7er\u00e7evede b\u00fct\u00e7e a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n bir y\u0131l \u00f6ncesine k\u0131yasla belirgin bi\u00e7imde azalt\u0131lmas\u0131 hedeflenmi\u015fti. Ancak bankac\u0131l\u0131k sekt\u00f6r\u00fc \u00e7ok bozuktu. Bankalar\u0131n i\u00e7inde bulunduklar\u0131 durumun zamanla kamuoyunca anla\u015f\u0131lmaya ba\u015flanmas\u0131yla, bu bozuklu\u011fun eninde sonunda devletin sorunu haline gelece\u011fi ve b\u00fct\u00e7e a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u0131\u00e7rataca\u011f\u0131 alg\u0131lamas\u0131 yayg\u0131nla\u015ft\u0131.<\/p>\n<p>Dolay\u0131s\u0131yla, bankac\u0131l\u0131k sekt\u00f6r\u00fcndeki ko\u015fullar\u0131n ve bu ko\u015fullar\u0131n ileride kamu maliyesini son derece tahrip edici potansiyele sahip olmas\u0131n\u0131n, uygulanmakta olan d\u00f6viz kuru rejimine ters d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc\u011f\u00fc kan\u0131s\u0131 yayg\u0131nla\u015ft\u0131. Sonra olan biteni biliyorsunuz. Hedeflenen d\u00f6viz kurundaki art\u0131\u015f oran\u0131n\u0131n \u00e7ok \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131 yurti\u00e7i faiz hadleri. Zira ekonomiye duyulan g\u00fcven giderek a\u015f\u0131nmaya ve risk prim artmaya ba\u015flam\u0131\u015ft\u0131. Faiz haddi ile d\u00f6viz kurunda hedeflenen art\u0131\u015f aras\u0131ndaki fark\u0131n giderek a\u00e7\u0131lmas\u0131yla da, d\u00f6viz kuru rejiminin uygulanabilirli\u011fi kalmad\u0131 ve kriz patlak verdi.<\/p>\n<p>Yaz\u0131n\u0131n devam\u0131 i\u00e7in <strong><a href=\"http:\/\/www.dunya.com\/gorecek-miyiz-149074yy.htm\" target=\"_blank\" data-wpel-link=\"external\" rel=\"nofollow external noopener\">TIKLAYINIZ.<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Para krizlerini a\u00e7\u0131klamaya \u00e7al\u0131\u015fan kuramsal \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmalar ile para krizlerinden \u00f6nce olan biteni inceleyen uygulamal\u0131 \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131n dikkatimizi \u00e7ektikleri bir nokta var. \u00d6zellikle sabit ya da \u00f6nceden&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":16,"featured_media":894,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-17961","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-tumyazilar"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/17961","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/16"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=17961"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/17961\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/894"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=17961"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=17961"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=17961"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}