{"id":1783,"date":"2011-06-21T09:34:32","date_gmt":"2011-06-21T06:34:32","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/?p=1783"},"modified":"2011-06-21T09:34:40","modified_gmt":"2011-06-21T06:34:40","slug":"ozel-tuketim-ne-kadar-artti","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/i\/ozel-tuketim-ne-kadar-artti\/","title":{"rendered":"\u00d6zel T\u00fcketim Ne Kadar Artt\u0131?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Son yaz\u0131da\u00a0<a name=\"aspx1\" target=\"_blank\"><span><strong>\u00f6zel<\/strong><\/span><\/a> t\u00fcketim d\u00fczeyi ile se\u00e7im sonucu aras\u0131ndaki ili\u015fkiye bakt\u0131m. Dolarla hesaplay\u0131nca 2002\u2019den 2010\u2019a \u00f6zel t\u00fcketim harcamalar\u0131n\u0131n y\u00fczde 150 artt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6sterdim. Etkileyici dedim. Ola\u011fan pazar telefon sohbetimizde Ege Cansen itiraz etti.<\/p><div class=\"bilge-yaziust\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-2651559333\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"9580705384\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p>Y\u0131llard\u0131r ikimiz de milli gelirdeki de\u011fi\u015fimin dolarla hesaplanmas\u0131na kar\u015f\u0131 \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131k. Nedenini b\u0131kmadan yazd\u0131k.\u00a0<a name=\"aspx1\" target=\"_blank\"><span><strong>Dolar<\/strong><\/span><\/a> kendi de\u011feri sabit bir \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fc birimi de\u011fildir. Nitekim AKP iktidar\u0131 d\u00f6neminde di\u011fer \u00fclke paralar\u0131na k\u0131yasla ciddi \u015fekilde geriledi.<\/p>\n<p>Asl\u0131nda tembellik etti\u011fimi kabul etmek zorunday\u0131m. Daha ger\u00e7ek\u00e7i bir sonu\u00e7 i\u00e7in\u00a0<a name=\"aspx1\" target=\"_blank\"><span><strong>en<\/strong><\/span><\/a> az\u0131ndan euroyu ve d\u00f6viz sepetini de hesaba katmak gerekti\u011fini biliyordum. Ama basiretim ba\u011fland\u0131. Daha do\u011frusu \u00fc\u015fendim. Sonucu fazla etkilemez dedim.<\/p>\n<p>Neyse, hatada \u0131srar\u0131 sevmem. \u00c7abuk d\u00f6nmenin faziletine inan\u0131r\u0131m. Ayr\u0131ca konuyu ger\u00e7ekten<a name=\"aspx1\" target=\"_blank\"><span><strong>\u00f6nemli<\/strong><\/span><\/a> buluyorum. Oturup \u00f6zel t\u00fcketim art\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131 ba\u015fka \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcler kullanarak yeniden hesaplad\u0131m.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Farkl\u0131 hesaplar<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Euro ile ba\u015flayal\u0131m. 2002\u2019de ortalama parite 0.94\u2019ten 2010\u2019da 1.33\u2019e y\u00fckseldi. Yani bu d\u00f6nemde dolar euro kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda y\u00fczde 40 de\u011fer kaybetti. Dolay\u0131s\u0131 ile \u00f6zel t\u00fcketimde euro ile hesaplanan art\u0131\u015f daha d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck \u00e7\u0131kacakt\u0131r.<\/p>\n<p>2002\u2019de \u00f6zel t\u00fcketim harcamas\u0131 179 milyar euro iken 2010\u2019da 371 milyar euroya y\u00fckseliyor. Ayn\u0131 d\u00f6nemde Euro B\u00f6lgesi enflasyonu y\u00fczde 17.5\u2019tir (ABD\u2019de y\u00fczde\u00a0<a name=\"aspx1\" target=\"_blank\"><span><strong>21<\/strong><\/span><\/a>). Y\u00fczde 10 n\u00fcfus art\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131 da ekleyince euro ile reel \u00f6zel t\u00fcketim art\u0131\u015f\u0131 y\u00fczde 70\u2019e geriliyor.<\/p>\n<p>Ancak dolar gibi euro da de\u011fi\u015fken bir \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fc birimidir. O nedenle T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin d\u0131\u015f ticaret yap\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 daha iyi yans\u0131tan \u201c0.5 dolar + 0.5 euro\u201d d\u00f6viz sepeti daha makul bir sonu\u00e7 verir. Ayr\u0131nt\u0131y\u0131 b\u0131rak\u0131yorum. \u00d6zel t\u00fcketim art\u0131\u015f\u0131 y\u00fczde 103 \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor.<\/p><div class=\"bilge-content-1\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-3429239089\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"3167340272\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p>Konu\u015fma s\u0131ras\u0131nda Ege bir ba\u015fka y\u00f6ntemi hat\u0131rlatt\u0131. \u00d6zel t\u00fcketimde sabit TL fiyatlar\u0131 ile art\u0131\u015f\u0131 reel kurdaki de\u011fi\u015fimi hesaba katarak d\u00fczeltebiliriz. Bana \u00e7ok makul geldi. Onu da yapt\u0131m.<\/p>\n<p>2002\u2019den 2010\u2019a sabit TL fiyatlar\u0131 ile ki\u015fi ba\u015f\u0131na \u00f6zel t\u00fcketim art\u0131\u015f\u0131 y\u00fczde 37, TL\u2019de reel de\u011fer art\u0131\u015f\u0131 y\u00fczde 29,5 \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor. B\u00f6ylece kur etkisi d\u00fczeltilmi\u015f sabit TL fiyatlar\u0131 ile \u00f6zel t\u00fcketim art\u0131\u015f\u0131 y\u00fczde 79 bulunuyor.<\/p>\n<p><strong>\u00d6zetliyoruz<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Sonu\u00e7lar\u0131 \u00f6zetleyelim. Bir: Ki\u015fi ba\u015f\u0131na milli gelir k\u0131sa d\u00f6nemde iyi bir refah \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcs\u00fc de\u011fildir. O nedenle se\u00e7men tercihini anlamak i\u00e7in ki\u015fi ba\u015f\u0131na \u00f6zel t\u00fcketim harcamas\u0131na bakt\u0131k. Kar\u015f\u0131m\u0131za ek \u00f6l\u00e7me sorunlar\u0131 \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131.<\/p><div class=\"bilge-content-2\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-3931387473\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"1818807385\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p>\u0130ki: Milli geliri d\u00f6nemler aras\u0131nda kar\u015f\u0131la\u015ft\u0131r\u0131rken tek do\u011fru y\u00f6ntem sabit TL fiyatlar\u0131d\u0131r. Buna kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k vatanda\u015f\u0131n refah\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6l\u00e7erken mutlaka d\u00f6viz kurunu hesaba katmak gerekir. \u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc d\u00f6viz kuru de\u011fi\u015fimi t\u00fcketimi (refah\u0131) bire bir etkiler.<\/p>\n<p>\u00dc\u00e7: Refah\u0131 kesinkes \u00f6l\u00e7en m\u00fckemmel bir \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fc bulmak hayaldir. Do\u011fru y\u00f6ntem birden fazla \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fc kullanarak \u00fcst ve alt s\u0131n\u0131rlar hesaplamakt\u0131r. B\u00f6ylece sa\u011fduyu ve g\u00f6zlemlerle uyumlu bir sonuca ula\u015f\u0131labilir.<\/p>\n<p>D\u00f6rt: Hesaplar AKP iktidar\u0131nda ki\u015fi ba\u015f\u0131na \u00f6zel t\u00fcketimin y\u00fczde 100 civar\u0131nda artt\u0131\u011f\u0131na i\u015faret ediyor. Etkileyici bir performanst\u0131r. Bu arada ki\u015fi ba\u015f\u0131na reel gelir art\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131n (y\u00fczde 32) \u00fc\u00e7 kat\u0131 oldu\u011funu da belirtelim.<\/p>\n<p>S\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fclebilir mi? Ekonomik ve siyasi g\u00fcndemin kritik sorusu budur.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Asaf \u00a0Sava\u015f AKAT<\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Son yaz\u0131da\u00a0\u00f6zel t\u00fcketim d\u00fczeyi ile se\u00e7im sonucu aras\u0131ndaki ili\u015fkiye bakt\u0131m. Dolarla hesaplay\u0131nca 2002\u2019den 2010\u2019a \u00f6zel t\u00fcketim harcamalar\u0131n\u0131n y\u00fczde 150 artt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6sterdim. Etkileyici dedim. Ola\u011fan pazar&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":13,"featured_media":919,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-1783","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-tumyazilar"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1783","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/13"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=1783"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1783\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/919"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=1783"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=1783"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=1783"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}