T\u00fcrkiye ekonomisinin yava\u015flad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 biliyoruz. Y\u0131l\u0131n ilk \u00fc\u00e7 ay\u0131\u0131nda b\u00fcyu\u00fcme h\u0131z\u0131n\u0131n y\u00fczde 3.2 d\u00fczeyine inmesi bunu g\u00f6steriyor.\u00a0 IMF ge\u00e7en hafta yay\u0131nlad\u0131\u011f\u0131 d\u00fcnya ekonomisi g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fcne ili\u015fkin raporda\u00a0 d\u00fcnyan\u0131n da yava\u015flad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131, \u00fcstelik yava\u015flama temposunun Nisan ay\u0131ndaki tahminlerine k\u0131yasala dahada\u00a0 h\u0131zl\u0131 oldu\u011funu\u00a0 s\u00f6yl\u00fcyor.
\nYava\u015fl\u0131yoruz diye yerinmemize gerek yok. Bizimle beraber herkesin yava\u015flad\u0131\u011f\u0131 anla\u015f\u0131l\u0131yor.\u00a0 \u00dcstelik, IMF bizimle ilgili b\u00fcy\u00fcme tahminini de\u011fi\u015ftirmedi\u011fine g\u00f6re,\u00a0 d\u00fcnya daha da yava\u015flarken bizim yava\u015flama tempomuzu korudu\u011fumuzu da s\u00f6yleyebiliriz. \u0130sterseniz bundan bir memnuniyet\u00a0 pay\u0131 da \u00e7\u0131kartabilirsiniz.
\n*\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 *\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 *
\nIMF’nin Nisan tahminlerine g\u00f6re 2012 y\u0131l\u0131nda d\u00fcnya ekonomisi y\u00fczde 3.6 h\u0131z\u0131nda b\u00fcy\u00fcyecekti. Yani, d\u00fcnya ekonomisi 2010 y\u0131l\u0131nda y\u00fczde 5.3 ve 2011 y\u0131l\u0131nda 3.9 oranlar\u0131ndan a\u015fa\u011f\u0131ya do\u011fru inen bir yava\u015flama\u00a0 patikas\u0131nda\u00a0 hareket ediyordu.\u00a0 Bu tahminlere bakarak Nisan ay\u0131nda IMF’nin d\u00fcnya ekonomisi i\u00e7in yumu\u015fak bir yava\u015flama \u00f6ng\u00f6rd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc s\u00f6yleyebiliriz.\u00a0\u00a0 2013 i\u00e7in yap\u0131lan tahminde b\u00fcy\u00fcme h\u0131z\u0131 y\u00fczde 3.9 d\u00fczeyine \u00e7\u0131kart\u0131lm\u0131\u015f olmas\u0131 IMF’nin\u00a0 yava\u015flamadan yukar\u0131ya d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn bu y\u0131l olaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 tahmin etti\u011fini g\u00f6steriyor. K\u0131sacas\u0131, IMF’nin Nisan tahminleri\u00a0 d\u00fcnya ekonomisinin bu y\u0131l\u00a0 yere \u00e7ak\u0131lmadan yava\u015flama d\u00f6ng\u00fcn\u00fc tamamlayaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6yl\u00fcyordu.
\nIMF’nin d\u00fcnya ekonomisindeki yava\u015flaman\u0131n\u00a0 yayg\u0131n olaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnd\u00fc\u011f\u00fc anla\u015f\u0131l\u0131yor. Yani yava\u015flama sadece bir grup \u00fclkenin s\u00fcr\u00fckledi\u011fi bir e\u011filim de\u011fil. Geli\u015fmi\u015f \u00fclkelerin yan\u0131 s\u0131ra geli\u015fmekte olan \u00fclkelerde de b\u00fcy\u00fcme h\u0131zlar\u0131n\u0131n d\u00fc\u015fece\u011fi tahmin ediliyor.\u00a0 Ancak geli\u015fmi\u015f \u00fclkelerin pek \u00e7o\u011funda\u00a0 b\u00fcy\u00fcme h\u0131zlar\u0131 negatif ya da \u00e7ok d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck pozitif rakkamlarla ifade edilirken geli\u015fmekte olan \u00fclkelerde yava\u015flamaya i\u015faret eden rakkamlar hala\u00a0 y\u00fczde d\u00f6rt, be\u015f d\u00fczeylerinde seyrediyor.
\nY\u0131llar\u0131n b\u00fcy\u00fcme \u015fampiyonlar\u0131 olan \u00c7in, Hindistan gibi \u00fclkelerde de \u00f6nemli \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde yava\u015flama olaca\u011f\u0131 tahmin ediliyor.\u00a0 IMF \u00c7in’in\u00a0 2010 y\u0131l\u0131nda y\u00fczde 10.4 olan b\u00fcy\u00fcme h\u0131z\u0131n\u0131n\u00a0 2011 de y\u00fczde 9.2’ye indi\u011fini, yava\u015flamn\u0131n bu y\u0131l da devam edece\u011fini ve b\u00fcy\u00fcme h\u0131z\u0131n\u0131n y\u00fczde alt\u0131n\u0131n alt\u0131na inece\u011fini tahmin ediyor. IMF \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcleri\u00a0 bu \u00fclkenin de genel yava\u015flama konjonkt\u00fcr\u00fcnden ka\u00e7amad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6steriyor. \u00d6te yandan ,\u00a0 \u00c7in ekonomisinin\u00a0 yava\u015flam\u0131\u015f olsa dahi hala kayda de\u011fer bir h\u0131zda b\u00fcy\u00fcd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc de g\u00f6zden ka\u00e7\u0131rmamak gerekiyor.<\/p>