{"id":17676,"date":"2012-07-17T09:12:53","date_gmt":"2012-07-17T07:12:53","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/?p=17676"},"modified":"2012-07-17T13:13:38","modified_gmt":"2012-07-17T11:13:38","slug":"issizlikte-atalet-suruyor-2","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/i\/issizlikte-atalet-suruyor-2\/","title":{"rendered":"\u0130\u015fsizlikte Atalet S\u00fcr\u00fcyor"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Ola\u011fan\u00fcst\u00fc d\u00f6nemler d\u0131\u015f\u0131nda g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir atalet g\u00f6steriyor i\u015fsizlik oran\u0131. Oldu\u011fu d\u00fczeyde \u00e7ak\u0131l\u0131 kalmakta \u0131srar ediyor.<\/p><div class=\"bilge-yaziust\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-2678465321\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"9580705384\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p>Nisan d\u00f6nemine ait i\u015fsizlik verileri d\u00fcn a\u00e7\u0131kland\u0131. \u00c7o\u011fu makro g\u00f6sterge i\u00e7in \u00f6zellikle mevcut e\u011filimlerin de\u011fi\u015fmekte olup olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 anlamak i\u00e7in mevsim ve takvim etkisinden ar\u0131nd\u0131r\u0131lm\u0131\u015f verileri kullanmay\u0131 tercih etmiyorum. \u00c7ok say\u0131da fitreden ge\u00e7irilerek yay\u0131mlanan bu t\u00fcr veriler d\u00f6n\u00fcm zamanlar\u0131 hakk\u0131nda yanl\u0131\u015f bilgi verebiliyor \u00e7\u00fcnk\u00fc. Oysa i\u015fsizlik oran\u0131 i\u00e7in biraz farkl\u0131 bu durum. K\u00fcresel kriz gibi ola\u011fan\u00fcst\u00fc d\u00f6nemler d\u0131\u015f\u0131nda g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir atalet g\u00f6steriyor i\u015fsizlik oran\u0131. Oldu\u011fu d\u00fczeyde \u00e7ak\u0131l\u0131 kalmakta \u0131srar ediyor. Bu durumda mevsim etkisinden ar\u0131nd\u0131r\u0131lm\u0131\u015f i\u015fsizlik verileri olduk\u00e7a \u00f6nemli bilgi veriyor.<br \/>\nKriz s\u0131ras\u0131nda y\u00fczde 15\u2019e kadar s\u0131\u00e7rayan (mevsim etkisinden ar\u0131nd\u0131r\u0131lm\u0131\u015f) i\u015fsizlik oran\u0131, 2010 ile 2011\u2019in \u00f6nemli bir k\u0131sm\u0131ndaki h\u0131zl\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fcme sonras\u0131 keskin bi\u00e7imde d\u00fc\u015fm\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc. Son dokuz aydaki i\u015fsizlik oran\u0131, y\u00fczde 9.4 ile y\u00fczde 9 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda hareket etti. Mevsim etkisinden ar\u0131nd\u0131rma y\u00f6nteminin olu\u015fturabilece\u011fi k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fck oynamalar bir tarafa b\u0131rak\u0131l\u0131rsa \u015fu rahatl\u0131kla belirtilebilir: 2011\u2019in eyl\u00fcl ay\u0131ndan bu yana i\u015fsizlik oran\u0131 belirgin bir atalet g\u00f6steriyor. Nisan d\u00f6neminde i\u015fsizlik oran\u0131 s\u00f6z\u00fcn\u00fc etti\u011fim aral\u0131\u011f\u0131n alt s\u0131n\u0131r\u0131n\u0131n \u00e7ok az \u00fczerinde ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti: Y\u00fczde 9,03.<br \/>\nFiltreden ge\u00e7irilmemi\u015f veriler i\u00e7in de birka\u00e7 rakam vereyim: Nisan d\u00f6neminde i\u015fsizlik oran\u0131 y\u00fczde 9,0, i\u015fg\u00fcc\u00fcne kat\u0131l\u0131m oran\u0131 y\u00fczde 49,6 ve istihdam oran\u0131 y\u00fczde 45,2 oldu. 2011\u2019in ayn\u0131 d\u00f6neminde ise durum \u015f\u00f6yleydi: \u0130\u015fsizlik oran\u0131 y\u00fczde 9,9, i\u015fg\u00fcc\u00fcne kat\u0131l\u0131m oran\u0131 y\u00fczde 49,9 ve istihdam oran\u0131 y\u00fczde 44,9. Mart d\u00f6neminde i\u015fsizlik oran\u0131nda bir y\u0131l \u00f6ncesinin ayn\u0131 d\u00f6nemine k\u0131yasla ger\u00e7ekle\u015fen 0.9 puanl\u0131k azalman\u0131n bir k\u0131sm\u0131 i\u015fg\u00fcc\u00fcne kat\u0131l\u0131mdaki d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015ften kaynakland\u0131. Bir k\u0131sm\u0131 da istihdam oran\u0131n\u0131n artmas\u0131yla ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Yava\u015f b\u00fcy\u00fcme bitti\u00a0<\/strong><br \/>\nBir k\u00f6\u015fe yaz\u0131s\u0131 i\u00e7in fazlaya ka\u00e7an bu kadar rakam bir s\u00fcredir pe\u015finde ko\u015ftu\u011fum sorular\u0131n yan\u0131t\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan ne t\u00fcr bir bilgi veriyor? Yani T\u00fcrkiye ekonomisinin 2011\u2019in ilk \u00e7eyre\u011finden ba\u015flayarak i\u00e7ine girdi\u011fi yava\u015f b\u00fcy\u00fcme d\u00f6nemi sona erdi mi? \u0130kinci \u00e7eyrekte ekonomimizin performans\u0131 ilk \u00e7eyrektekinden farkl\u0131 oldu mu?<\/p>\n<p>Yaz\u0131n\u0131n devam\u0131 i\u00e7in <strong><a href=\"http:\/\/www.radikal.com.tr\/Radikal.aspx?aType=RadikalYazar&amp;ArticleID=1094393&amp;Yazar=FATIH-OZATAY&amp;CategoryID=101\" target=\"_blank\" data-wpel-link=\"external\" rel=\"nofollow external noopener\">TIKLAYINIZ.<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Ola\u011fan\u00fcst\u00fc d\u00f6nemler d\u0131\u015f\u0131nda g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir atalet g\u00f6steriyor i\u015fsizlik oran\u0131. Oldu\u011fu d\u00fczeyde \u00e7ak\u0131l\u0131 kalmakta \u0131srar ediyor. Nisan d\u00f6nemine ait i\u015fsizlik verileri d\u00fcn a\u00e7\u0131kland\u0131. \u00c7o\u011fu makro g\u00f6sterge&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":16,"featured_media":894,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-17676","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-tumyazilar"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/17676","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/16"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=17676"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/17676\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/894"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=17676"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=17676"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=17676"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}