{"id":17607,"date":"2012-07-14T07:30:34","date_gmt":"2012-07-14T05:30:34","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/?p=17607"},"modified":"2012-07-14T07:30:45","modified_gmt":"2012-07-14T05:30:45","slug":"arindirilmis-buyume-verileri-gerekiyor","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/i\/arindirilmis-buyume-verileri-gerekiyor\/","title":{"rendered":"Ar\u0131nd\u0131r\u0131lm\u0131\u015f B\u00fcy\u00fcme Verileri Gerekiyor"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>T\u00dc\u0130K&#8217;in gayri safi yurti\u00e7i has\u0131la rakamlar\u0131n\u0131, alt\u0131n ithalat\u0131 ve ihracat\u0131 de\u011ferlerinden ar\u0131nd\u0131rarak yay\u0131mlamas\u0131nda fayda var.<\/p><div class=\"bilge-yaziust\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-2303980880\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"9580705384\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p>Bu alt\u0131n ithalat\u0131-ihracat\u0131 meselesinde T\u00fcrkiye \u0130statistik Kurumu\u2019na (T\u00dc\u0130K) \u00f6nemli bir g\u00f6rev d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcyor. Bas\u0131nda yer alan haberler \u00e7er\u00e7evesinde durum \u015f\u00f6yle: \u0130ran\u2019dan ald\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131z ham petrol\u00fcn ve do\u011falgaz\u0131n paras\u0131n\u0131 yurti\u00e7inde bir bankaya \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n ilgili \u015firketlerinin ad\u0131na yat\u0131r\u0131yoruz. \u0130ran uluslararas\u0131 \u00f6demeler sisteminden tam anlam\u0131yla yararlanamad\u0131\u011f\u0131 i\u00e7in ilgili bankadan \u00f6demelerin alt\u0131n olarak yap\u0131lmas\u0131n\u0131 istiyor. O banka, \u0130ran \u015firketlerinin nezdindeki hesab\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131nda alt\u0131n ithal ediyor, sonra da bu alt\u0131nlar\u0131 \u0130ran\u2019a g\u00f6nderiyor.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Ger\u00e7e\u011fi maskeliyor<\/strong><br \/>\nB\u00fcy\u00fcme oran\u0131m\u0131z a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan durum \u015fu: Birincisi, alt\u0131n ayn\u0131 \u00e7eyrekte ithal edilip ayn\u0131 \u00e7eyrekte ihra\u00e7 ediliyorsa b\u00fcy\u00fcme oran\u0131m\u0131z bu ticaretten etkilenmiyor. \u0130kincisi, yeteri kadar uzun bir d\u00f6nem al\u0131n\u0131rsa, mesela alt\u0131n ithalat\u0131n\u0131n normalin \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131\u011f\u0131 2011\u2019in ikinci yar\u0131s\u0131 ile bu sefer alt\u0131n ihracat\u0131n\u0131n normalin \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131\u011f\u0131 2012\u2019nin ilk yar\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 kapsayan d\u00f6neme bak\u0131l\u0131rsa, ithalattaki anormallik ile ihracattaki anormallik birbirlerini g\u00f6t\u00fcrece\u011fi i\u00e7in bu d\u00f6nemin b\u00fcy\u00fcme oran\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan yine de\u011fi\u015fen bir \u015fey olmayacak. Yani, alt\u0131n ticaretinin, o d\u00f6nemdeki b\u00fcy\u00fcme oran\u0131n\u0131 \u2018sapt\u0131r\u0131c\u0131\u2019 bir etkisi olmayacak.<br \/>\nOysa biz \u00f6zellikle 2011\u2019in ikinci yar\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 ve 2012\u2019nin t\u00fcm\u00fcn\u00fc kapsayan d\u00f6nemdeki b\u00fcy\u00fcme dinami\u011fi ile yak\u0131ndan ilgiliyiz. Zira 2010\u2019da ba\u015flayan ve kabaca 2011\u2019in ilk yar\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 kapsayan d\u00f6nemde ekonomimiz a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 derecede \u0131s\u0131nm\u0131\u015ft\u0131. Bu \u0131s\u0131nman\u0131n do\u011furdu\u011fu k\u0131r\u0131lganl\u0131ktan (mesela y\u00fcksek cari a\u00e7\u0131ktan) korkuyorduk. Bu nedenle, 2011\u2019in ikinci yar\u0131s\u0131nda ve 2012\u2019de ekonomimizin ne \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde so\u011fudu\u011funu anlamak istiyoruz. Farkl\u0131 bir ifadeyle, her \u00e7eyrekteki b\u00fcy\u00fcme oran\u0131n\u0131n ald\u0131\u011f\u0131 de\u011fer, hem yorumcular a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan hem de ve daha \u00f6nemlisi ekonomi politikas\u0131n\u0131 tasarlayanlar a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan \u00e7ok \u00f6nemli.<\/p>\n<p>Yaz\u0131n\u0131n devam\u0131 i\u00e7in <strong><a href=\"http:\/\/www.radikal.com.tr\/Radikal.aspx?aType=RadikalYazar&amp;ArticleID=1094131&amp;Yazar=FATIH-OZATAY&amp;CategoryID=101\" target=\"_blank\" data-wpel-link=\"external\" rel=\"nofollow external noopener\">TIKLAYINIZ.<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>T\u00dc\u0130K&#8217;in gayri safi yurti\u00e7i has\u0131la rakamlar\u0131n\u0131, alt\u0131n ithalat\u0131 ve ihracat\u0131 de\u011ferlerinden ar\u0131nd\u0131rarak yay\u0131mlamas\u0131nda fayda var. Bu alt\u0131n ithalat\u0131-ihracat\u0131 meselesinde T\u00fcrkiye \u0130statistik Kurumu\u2019na (T\u00dc\u0130K) \u00f6nemli bir&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":16,"featured_media":894,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-17607","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-tumyazilar"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/17607","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/16"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=17607"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/17607\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/894"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=17607"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=17607"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=17607"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}