{"id":17492,"date":"2012-07-10T15:51:04","date_gmt":"2012-07-10T13:51:04","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/?p=17492"},"modified":"2012-07-10T15:51:11","modified_gmt":"2012-07-10T13:51:11","slug":"2-ceyrek-buyumesi-yuzunu-gosterdi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/i\/2-ceyrek-buyumesi-yuzunu-gosterdi\/","title":{"rendered":"2. \u00c7eyrek B\u00fcy\u00fcmesi Y\u00fcz\u00fcn\u00fc G\u00f6sterdi"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>May\u0131s ay\u0131nda sanayi \u00fcretimi y\u00fczde 5.9 artt\u0131. Bu d\u00fczeyi ile y\u00fczde 3.2 olan beklentilerin de bir hayli \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131. Y\u0131l\u0131n ilk \u00e7eyre\u011finde y\u00fczde 2.8 artan sanayi \u00fcretimi ikinci \u00e7eyre\u011fin iki ay\u0131nda ortalama y\u00fczde 3.7&#8217;ye \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131. Y\u0131l\u0131n ilk \u00e7eyre\u011fine g\u00f6re giderek h\u0131zlanan bir art\u0131\u015f s\u00f6z konusu. Y\u00fczde 2.8 \u00fcretim art\u0131\u015f\u0131 ile y\u00fczde 3.2 milli gelir art\u0131\u015f\u0131 yakaland\u0131.<br \/>\n\u0130kinci \u00e7eyrekte sanayi \u00fcretimi ortalamas\u0131n\u0131n y\u00fczde 3.7&#8217;ye \u00e7\u0131kmas\u0131 ile GSMH&#8217;nin y\u00fckselmesini de kesinle\u015ftirdi.<br \/>\n\u25a0 \u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc sanayi \u00fcretiminin daha y\u00fcksek olmas\u0131n\u0131n yan\u0131nda bu y\u0131l tar\u0131m \u00fcretiminin ya\u011f\u0131\u015flar\u0131n iyi gitmesiyle t\u00fcm zamanlar\u0131n en y\u00fcksek d\u00fczeyine \u00e7\u0131kmas\u0131 beklenebilir. \u0130kinci \u00e7eyrekten itibaren tar\u0131m \u00fcretiminin artmas\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fcmeyi de pozitif y\u00f6nde desteklemeye ba\u015flayacak.<br \/>\n\u25a0 \u00dcretim art\u0131\u015flar\u0131 d\u0131\u015f\u0131nda baz etkisi de giderek b\u00fcy\u00fcmeyi y\u00fckseltici etki yapacak. Ge\u00e7en y\u0131l\u0131n ilk \u00e7eyre\u011finde y\u00fczde 11.9&#8217;luk, ikinci \u00e7eyre\u011finde y\u00fczde 9.1 &#8216;lik, \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc \u00e7eyre\u011finde y\u00fczde 8.4&#8217;l\u00fck ve son \u00e7eyrekte y\u00fczde 5.2 b\u00fcy\u00fcme ger\u00e7ekle\u015fmi\u015fti. Baz etkisi a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan y\u0131l\u0131n en k\u00f6t\u00fc \u00e7eyre\u011fi geride kald\u0131. \u0130kinci \u00e7eyrekten itibaren baz etkisi d\u00fczeliyor.<br \/>\n\u25a0 Haziran ve temmuz ay\u0131nda, may\u0131sa benzer bir h\u0131z\u0131 yakalamak baz etkisinin g\u00fcc\u00fc bak\u0131m\u0131ndan zor olabilir. Ge\u00e7en y\u0131l\u0131n haziran\u0131nda sanayi \u00fcretimi y\u00fczde 7.1, temmuzda da y\u00fczde 10 art\u0131\u015f kaydetmi\u015fti. Bu iki ayda \u00fcretim h\u0131z kestikten sonra a\u011fustos ay\u0131 ile birlikte baz etkisiyle yeniden ivme kazanabilir.<br \/>\n<strong><\/strong><\/p><div class=\"bilge-yaziust\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;\" id=\"bilge-1726600537\"><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7495567325667578\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"9580705384\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"rectangle\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p><strong>\u0130\u00c7 TALEB\u0130N CANLANMASI:<\/strong>\u00a0Ayr\u0131ca mevsim \u015fartlar\u0131ndan dolay\u0131 ilk \u00e7eyrekte i\u00e7 talebin dibe vurdu\u011fu tahmini yap\u0131labilir. Kar ya\u011f\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131n bol olmas\u0131, ula\u015f\u0131m\u0131 baz\u0131 b\u00f6lgelerde engelledi. Ula\u015f\u0131m zorlu\u011fu do\u011fal olarak t\u00fcketimi s\u0131n\u0131rlam\u0131\u015f olabilir. Nitekim sanayi \u00fcretiminin a\u00e7\u0131klanmas\u0131 \u00fczerine d\u00fcn bir a\u00e7\u0131klama yapan \u0130stanbul Sanayi Odas\u0131 Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Tan\u0131l K\u00fc\u00e7\u00fck &#8220;Bu i\u00e7 talebin yeniden artmaya ba\u015flad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6steriyor&#8221; dedi. Kabul etmek gerekiyor ki, bu y\u0131l b\u00fcy\u00fcme d\u00fc\u015fecek. Ama yine de y\u0131ll\u0131k resmi tahmin olan y\u00fczde 4&#8217;\u00fcn \u00fczerinde, y\u00fczde 5&#8217;lik bir ger\u00e7ekle\u015fmeye do\u011fru gidiyoruz. Bu oran\u0131n \u00fcst\u00fcne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131lmas\u0131 alt\u0131nda kal\u0131nmas\u0131ndan daha y\u00fcksek olas\u0131l\u0131k gibi geliyor bize. B\u00f6yle bir b\u00fcy\u00fcme oran\u0131 da geli\u015fmekte olan \u00fclkelerin ortalamas\u0131yla paralel.<\/p>\n<p>Yaz\u0131n\u0131n devam\u0131 i\u00e7in <strong><a href=\"http:\/\/www.bloomberght.com\/ht-yazarlar\/abdurrahman-yildirim\/1178942-2-ceyrek-buyumesi-yuzunu-gosterdi\" target=\"_blank\" data-wpel-link=\"external\" rel=\"nofollow external noopener\">TIKLAYINIZ.<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>May\u0131s ay\u0131nda sanayi \u00fcretimi y\u00fczde 5.9 artt\u0131. Bu d\u00fczeyi ile y\u00fczde 3.2 olan beklentilerin de bir hayli \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131. Y\u0131l\u0131n ilk \u00e7eyre\u011finde y\u00fczde 2.8 artan&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":994,"featured_media":12631,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-17492","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-tumyazilar"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/17492","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/994"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=17492"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/17492\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/12631"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=17492"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=17492"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bilgeyatirimci.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=17492"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}